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New England Patriots at Detroit Lions

Week 10 · Sun Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET · Market line DET -2.5 · total 50.5

Our read on this game

3 of the 18 rows we price on this game are strong tonight, and all of them are New England Patriots players.

Strongest of themHunter HenryTE · NE34+ receiving yards-118consensus market price

Prices taken Wed 11 Nov, 17:56 UK.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 3. Pending 3.

18 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Oddsto

18 players across every market.

Receiving yards16
Hunter Henry TE · NE 34+ receiving yards-118consensus market price

Hunter HenryTE · NEReceiving yards

DataPitch 70% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +16pp

Under 33.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 57, median 51
The line
33.5

His last 5, receiving yards

35v GB2026 week 9
30v MIA2026 week 8
71v CHI2026 week 7
48v NYJ2026 week 6
44v LV2026 week 5

His other lines in this market

24+ receiving yardsDataPitch 82% · Market 71%-244book price at this line
44+ receiving yardsDataPitch 59% · Market 44%+129book price at this line
54+ receiving yardsDataPitch 47% · Market 34%+193book price at this line
64+ receiving yardsDataPitch 37% · Market 26%+290book price at this line
74+ receiving yardsDataPitch 29% · Market 18%+450book price at this line
84+ receiving yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 13%+675book price at this line
94+ receiving yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 8%+1100book price at this line
104+ receiving yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 5%+1800book price at this line
114+ receiving yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET 32+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Jahmyr GibbsRB · DETReceiving yards

DataPitch 51% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 31.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 37.2, median 33
The line
31.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v MIA2026 week 9
15v MIN2026 week 8
27v GB2026 week 7
56v ARI2026 week 5
31v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 89% · Market 89%-800book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 81% · Market 81%-412book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 73% · Market 72%-254book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 64% · Market 63%-170book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 55% · Market 55%-120book price at this line
31+ receiving yardsDataPitch 53% · Market 53%-112book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 39% · Market 39%+154book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 27% · Market 28%+264book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 19%+434book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 13%+680book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 9%+1080book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 6%+1640book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
More players (4)
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET 79+ receiving yards-116consensus market price

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETReceiving yards

DataPitch 51% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 78.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 84.5, median 80
The line
78.5

His last 5, receiving yards

86v MIA2026 week 9
46v MIN2026 week 8
153v GB2026 week 7
69v ARI2026 week 5
75v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 93% · Market 95%-1860book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 87% · Market 89%-820book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 79% · Market 81%-426book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 69% · Market 72%-252book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 59% · Market 61%-159book price at this line
78+ receiving yardsDataPitch 52% · Market 53%-113book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 50% · Market 51%-104book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 41% · Market 41%+144book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 32% · Market 32%+210book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 25%+307book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 19%+437book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 14%+610book price at this line
140+ receiving yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 10%+860book price at this line
150+ receiving yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 8%+1220book price at this line
160+ receiving yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 6%+1700book price at this line
170+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
180+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
190+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+3900book price at this line
Sam LaPorta TE · DET 44+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Sam LaPortaTE · DETReceiving yards

DataPitch 40% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 43.5: -121consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 41.1, median 36
The line
43.5

His last 5, receiving yards

32v MIA2026 week 9
33v MIN2026 week 8
18v GB2026 week 7
88v ARI2026 week 5
84v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 89% · Market 95%-1940book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 82% · Market 91%-960book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 74% · Market 85%-558book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 67% · Market 78%-357book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 59% · Market 71%-248book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 45% · Market 57%-134book price at this line
43+ receiving yardsDataPitch 41% · Market 53%-114book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 33% · Market 44%+127book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 23% · Market 33%+206book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 23%+330book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 17%+506book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 12%+770book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 8%+1160book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 5%+1760book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3700book price at this line
Isaac TeSlaa WR · DET 18+ receiving yards-112DraftKings

Isaac TeSlaaWR · DETReceiving yards

DataPitch 37% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -16pp

Under 17.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 16.8, median 12
The line
17.5

His last 5, receiving yards

9v MIA2026 week 9
10v GB2026 week 7
0v ARI2026 week 5
95v CAR2026 week 4
66v NYJ2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 53% · Market 69%-224book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 44% · Market 59%-144book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 34% · Market 49%+103book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 41%+147book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 33%+201book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 23%+342book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 15%+567book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 10%+940book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 6%+1460book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2200book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3200book price at this line
Brock Wright TE · DET 1+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Brock WrightTE · DETReceiving yards

DataPitch 82%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 18.8, median 14
The line
0.5

His last 5, receiving yards

11v ARI2026 week 5
8v CAR2026 week 4
7v NYJ2026 week 3
0v BUF2026 week 2
5v NO2026 week 1
Receiving yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player30+40+50+60+
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET
Sam LaPortaTE · DET
Isaac TeSlaaWR · DET

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Receptions15
Hunter Henry TE · NE 4+ receptions+120consensus market price

Hunter HenryTE · NEReceptions

DataPitch 57% · Market 46%

Against this price: Gap +11pp

Under 3.5: -156consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.2, median 4
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

3v GB2026 week 9
3v MIA2026 week 8
7v CHI2026 week 7
4v NYJ2026 week 6
3v LV2026 week 5

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 74% · Market 70%-238book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 41% · Market 31%+220book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 28% · Market 19%+425book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 17% · Market 11%+850book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 10% · Market 5%+1750book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 3%+3700book price at this line
Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET 5+ receptions+122Bet365

Jahmyr GibbsRB · DETReceptions

DataPitch 46% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 4.5: -156Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.5, median 4
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

0v MIA2026 week 9
2v MIN2026 week 8
5v GB2026 week 7
5v ARI2026 week 5
4v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 90% · Market 93%-1380book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 77% · Market 80%-402book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 61% · Market 63%-172book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 32% · Market 31%+226book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 21% · Market 20%+413book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 13% · Market 12%+740book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 8% · Market 7%+1300book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 5% · Market 5%+2100book price at this line
More players (3)
Sam LaPorta TE · DET 5+ receptions+122DraftKings

Sam LaPortaTE · DETReceptions

DataPitch 40% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap -5pp

Under 4.5: -156DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.2, median 4
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

4v MIA2026 week 9
3v MIN2026 week 8
1v GB2026 week 7
5v ARI2026 week 5
8v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 87% · Market 95%-1900book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 73% · Market 83%-476book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 56% · Market 64%-181book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 26% · Market 29%+251book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 17% · Market 17%+500book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 10% · Market 10%+950book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 5% · Market 6%+1680book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET 8+ receptions+117DraftKings

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETReceptions

DataPitch 38% · Market 46%

Against this price: Gap -8pp

Under 7.5: -152DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.8, median 7
The line
7.5

His last 5, receptions

8v MIA2026 week 9
7v MIN2026 week 8
9v GB2026 week 7
6v ARI2026 week 5
8v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

4+ receptionsDataPitch 87% · Market 95%-1880book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 76% · Market 87%-650book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 64% · Market 75%-295book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 51% · Market 61%-154book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 28% · Market 33%+202book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 19% · Market 22%+348book price at this line
11+ receptionsDataPitch 12% · Market 15%+590book price at this line
12+ receptionsDataPitch 8% · Market 9%+1000book price at this line
13+ receptionsDataPitch 5% · Market 6%+1620book price at this line
14+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
Isaac TeSlaa WR · DET 2+ receptions-101DraftKings

Isaac TeSlaaWR · DETReceptions

DataPitch 33% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -17pp

Under 1.5: -127DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.2, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v MIA2026 week 9
1v GB2026 week 7
0v ARI2026 week 5
4v CAR2026 week 4
3v NYJ2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 15% · Market 35%+189book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 21%+370book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 2% · Market 12%+750book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 1% · Market 6%+1550book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3200book price at this line
Receptions at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player4+5+6+7+
Hunter HenryTE · NE
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET
Sam LaPortaTE · DET
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET
Isaac TeSlaaWR · DET

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Rushing yards5
Jared Goff QB · DET 1+ rushing yards+110Bet365

Jared GoffQB · DETRushing yards

DataPitch 48% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap +0pp

Under 0.5: -141Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 5.8, median 0
The line
0.5

His last 5, rushing yards

5v MIA2026 week 9
0v MIN2026 week 8
-1v GB2026 week 7
1v ARI2026 week 5
0v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 21% · Market 14%+610book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 7%+1280book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 4%+2200book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Sione Vaki RB · DET 14+ rushing yards-116DraftKings

Sione VakiRB · DETRushing yards

DataPitch 38% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -16pp

Under 13.5: -110DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 14.9, median 9
The line
13.5

His last 5, rushing yards

14v MIA2026 week 9
65v MIN2026 week 8
5v GB2026 week 7
11v ARI2026 week 5
0v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

5+ rushing yardsDataPitch 63% · Market 88%-700book price at this line
10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 47% · Market 68%-215book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 36% · Market 52%-110book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 27% · Market 40%+150book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 21% · Market 31%+225book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 23%+330book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 14%+625book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 8%+1100book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 5%+1800book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
More players (3)
Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET 98+ rushing yards-115DraftKings

Jahmyr GibbsRB · DETRushing yards

DataPitch 27% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -27pp

Under 97.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 77.1, median 71
The line
97.5

His last 5, rushing yards

74v MIA2026 week 9
153v MIN2026 week 8
116v GB2026 week 7
151v ARI2026 week 5
46v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 73% · Market 94%-1540book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 62% · Market 88%-730book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 51% · Market 80%-404book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 41% · Market 71%-244book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 33% · Market 61%-157book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 52%-106book price at this line
110+ rushing yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 42%+137book price at this line
120+ rushing yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 34%+194book price at this line
130+ rushing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 27%+275book price at this line
140+ rushing yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 21%+388book price at this line
150+ rushing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 16%+541book price at this line
160+ rushing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 12%+750book price at this line
170+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 9%+1020book price at this line
180+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 7%+1420book price at this line
190+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+1920book price at this line
200+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
Drake Maye QB · NE 27+ rushing yards-110DraftKings

Drake MayeQB · NERushing yards

DataPitch 11% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -41pp

Under 26.5: -116DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 10.3, median 5
The line
26.5

His last 5, rushing yards

3v GB2026 week 9
5v MIA2026 week 8
26v CHI2026 week 7
24v NYJ2026 week 6
25v LV2026 week 5

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 35% · Market 92%-1200book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 80%-410book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 69%-220book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 57%-135book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 48%+110book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 31%+220book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 20%+400book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 13%+675book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 8%+1100book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 6%+1700book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+2800book price at this line
110+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
125+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Corey Kiner RB · NE 52+ rushing yards-111DraftKings

Corey KinerRB · NERushing yards

DataPitch 11% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -42pp

Under 51.5: -114DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 21.8, median 15
The line
51.5

His last 5, rushing yards

55v GB2026 week 9
38v MIA2026 week 8
13v CHI2026 week 7
57v NYJ2026 week 6
52v LV2026 week 5

His other lines in this market

20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 41% · Market 94%-1600book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 33% · Market 89%-840book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 27% · Market 84%-516book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 70%-237book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 56%-125book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 42%+138book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 31%+224book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 22%+354book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 16%+543book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 11%+820book price at this line
110+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 8%+1220book price at this line
120+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+1800book price at this line
130+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
140+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3700book price at this line
Rushing yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player20+25+50+60+
Jared GoffQB · DET··
Sione VakiRB · DET
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET··
Drake MayeQB · NE
Corey KinerRB · NE

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Passing yards12
Drake Maye QB · NE 261+ passing yards-114DraftKings

Drake MayeQB · NEPassing yards

DataPitch 61% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 260.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated passing yards
average 288.2, median 283
The line
260.5

His last 5, passing yards

272v GB2026 week 9
182v MIA2026 week 8
310v CHI2026 week 7
235v NYJ2026 week 6
371v LV2026 week 5

His other lines in this market

170+ passing yardsDataPitch 94% · Market 94%-1560book price at this line
180+ passing yardsDataPitch 92% · Market 91%-1040book price at this line
190+ passing yardsDataPitch 89% · Market 88%-740book price at this line
200+ passing yardsDataPitch 86% · Market 84%-533book price at this line
210+ passing yardsDataPitch 83% · Market 80%-394book price at this line
220+ passing yardsDataPitch 79% · Market 75%-302book price at this line
230+ passing yardsDataPitch 75% · Market 70%-233book price at this line
240+ passing yardsDataPitch 70% · Market 65%-182book price at this line
250+ passing yardsDataPitch 66% · Market 59%-146book price at this line
260+ passing yardsDataPitch 61% · Market 54%-116book price at this line
270+ passing yardsDataPitch 56% · Market 48%+108book price at this line
280+ passing yardsDataPitch 52% · Market 43%+134book price at this line
290+ passing yardsDataPitch 47% · Market 38%+167book price at this line
300+ passing yardsDataPitch 42% · Market 33%+207book price at this line
310+ passing yardsDataPitch 37% · Market 28%+255book price at this line
320+ passing yardsDataPitch 33% · Market 24%+315book price at this line
330+ passing yardsDataPitch 30% · Market 20%+394book price at this line
340+ passing yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 17%+481book price at this line
350+ passing yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 14%+599book price at this line
360+ passing yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 12%+740book price at this line
370+ passing yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 10%+900book price at this line
380+ passing yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 9%+1080book price at this line
390+ passing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 7%+1300book price at this line
400+ passing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 6%+1600book price at this line
410+ passing yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 5%+1920book price at this line
420+ passing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 4%+2200book price at this line
430+ passing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
440+ passing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 3%+2900book price at this line
Jared Goff QB · DET 268+ passing yards-114DraftKings

Jared GoffQB · DETPassing yards

DataPitch 32% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -21pp

Under 267.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated passing yards
average 236.6, median 232
The line
267.5

His last 5, passing yards

157v MIA2026 week 9
154v MIN2026 week 8
296v GB2026 week 7
249v ARI2026 week 5
406v CAR2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

180+ passing yardsDataPitch 78% · Market 94%-1660book price at this line
190+ passing yardsDataPitch 73% · Market 92%-1080book price at this line
200+ passing yardsDataPitch 68% · Market 88%-740book price at this line
210+ passing yardsDataPitch 62% · Market 84%-527book price at this line
220+ passing yardsDataPitch 57% · Market 79%-383book price at this line
230+ passing yardsDataPitch 51% · Market 75%-292book price at this line
240+ passing yardsDataPitch 46% · Market 69%-224book price at this line
250+ passing yardsDataPitch 40% · Market 63%-173book price at this line
260+ passing yardsDataPitch 35% · Market 58%-136book price at this line
270+ passing yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 52%-109book price at this line
280+ passing yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 46%+117book price at this line
290+ passing yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 41%+147book price at this line
300+ passing yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 35%+184book price at this line
310+ passing yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 30%+232book price at this line
320+ passing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 26%+289book price at this line
330+ passing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 22%+360book price at this line
340+ passing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 18%+449book price at this line
350+ passing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 15%+566book price at this line
360+ passing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 12%+710book price at this line
370+ passing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 10%+870book price at this line
380+ passing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 9%+1060book price at this line
390+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 7%+1300book price at this line
400+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 6%+1580book price at this line
410+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+1860book price at this line
420+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2200book price at this line
430+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
440+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+2900book price at this line
Passing yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player250+260+270+280+
Drake MayeQB · NE
Jared GoffQB · DET

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

Around this game

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