We use analytics to see what works.
← All futuresOur numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.
Win the Super Bowl+2815DataPitch 4%Market 3% · Gap +1pp
Do not win the conference-1370DataPitch 92%Market 93% · Gap -1pp
Do not win the division-344DataPitch 79%Market 77% · Gap +2pp
Make the playoffs-152DataPitch 63%Market 60% · Gap +3pp
Expected wins10.1Market 7.1EXCHANGE
Model 10.1, you10.1
Players
These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.
Passing yards leaderQB
Jared GoffDET+848DataPitch 9%Market 11%Gap -1pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
Jahmyr GibbsDET+524DataPitch 4%Market 16%Gap -12pp
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET+1263DataPitch 4%Market 7%Gap -3pp
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Jameson WilliamsDETn/aMarket n/a
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Jared GoffDET+2815Market +2815
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.
Sim it yourself
Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.
Force a result
Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.
vs Saints leverage 65pp
vs Bills leverage 65pp
vs Jets leverage 65pp
vs Panthers leverage 65pp
vs Cardinals leverage 65pp
vs Packers leverage 30pp
vs Bears leverage 29pp
vs Packers leverage 29ppAdvanced: force a playoff path
Lions reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.