DATAPITCH
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Lions

Our prices from 20,000 simulated seasons, then a slider to build your own.

Do not win the Super Bowl-2433DataPitch 94%Market 96% · Gap -2pp
Do not win the conference-1030DataPitch 89%Market 91% · Gap -2pp
Win the division+186DataPitch 39%Market 35% · Gap +4pp
Make the playoffs-188DataPitch 68%Market 65% · Gap +3pp
Expected wins10.7Market 10.6EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Chicago BearsGap +8pp+305EXCHANGE
vs Green Bay PackersGap -8pp+172EXCHANGE
vs Minnesota VikingsGap -4pp+147EXCHANGE

Players

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB
Jared GoffDET+764
DataPitch 9%Market 12%Gap -2pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
Jahmyr GibbsDET+612
DataPitch 4%Market 14%Gap -10pp
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET+1295
DataPitch 4%Market 7%Gap -3pp
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Jameson WilliamsDETn/a
Market n/a
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Jared GoffDET+8440
Market +8440
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.

Sim it yourself

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Force a result

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Vikings leverage 27pp
vs Bears leverage 27pp
vs Packers leverage 26pp
vs Packers leverage 26pp
vs Buccaneers leverage 26pp
vs Vikings leverage 26pp
vs Giants leverage 25pp
vs Panthers leverage 25pp
Advanced: force a playoff path

Lions reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.