How many of the games left does your team win?
Dimmed teams miss the playoffs in this season; their price is for missing. Records are each club's average over 20,000 simulated seasons, which is why they bunch together. One season is spikier: 80% of the time a club lands within about 2 to 3 wins either side of its average.
Dimmed teams miss the playoffs in this season; their price is for missing. Records are each club's average over 20,000 simulated seasons, which is why they bunch together. One season is spikier: 80% of the time a club lands within about 2 to 3 wins either side of its average.
Tap a side to change and the season re-runs around that result.
Prices are the latest market price for the outcome named on the tile. The dot marks a positive gap: our simulated probability sits above that price's implied one.
This is our simulated season. Tap any team or bracket slot to change one, or start from the button above the tables, and share the result from the two buttons beside it.
The DataPitch Futures Simulator is an NFL futures tool: lock a result, the season re-runs, and every market is re-priced beside the market's own price.
Every price here is a real market price, de-vigged; our simulated season is shrunk toward it before any gap is claimed, and a gap we cannot explain is a watch, not a bet.
How this works →An NFL futures tool. We simulate the 2026 season thousands of times, read off how often each team wins its division, its conference or the Super Bowl and how often it makes the playoffs, and show our number beside the latest market price for the same market.
Every simulated season plays the whole league at once, so a division race, a conference seed and a Super Bowl come from the same imagined season. Run that thousands of times and every market becomes a count: in how many seasons did this team win it. That share is the price, pulled towards the market before it reaches the board.
Our number minus the market's, in percentage points. A big gap early in the season usually means our model has not settled yet, not that the market is wrong. Read it as a reason to look closer, not an instruction.
Yes. On any team page, lock a result or a win total and the season is re-run around it, with every market re-priced. Reset undoes everything in one tap, and the page URL remembers your scenario so a shared link hands someone exactly what you built.
Live prices from bookmakers and exchanges, fetched and never invented. Every price shown is the market's own, labelled by source, and a row carries a Back tag when it is published against the freshest price we hold: a bookmaker's when one is fresh, the exchange's when none is. Where we hold no price it is a Watch, and a feed we could not reach keeps its last captured price and says so.
No. There are no accounts, no login and no push notifications. Your slip lives in your browser only. The tool is free.
