← Props Picker, this week's games
at

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

Week 10 · Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Market line TEN +10.5 · total 46.5

Our read on this game

3 of the 18 rows we price on this game are strong tonight, and all of them are Jacksonville Jaguars players.

Strongest of themParker WashingtonWR · JAX64+ receiving yards-115DraftKings

Prices taken Wed 11 Nov, 17:56 UK.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 3. Pending 3.

18 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Oddsto

18 players across every market.

Receiving yards16
Parker Washington WR · JAX 64+ receiving yards-115DraftKings

Parker WashingtonWR · JAXReceiving yards

DataPitch 66% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +12pp

Under 63.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 90.2, median 83
The line
63.5

His last 5, receiving yards

61v BAL2026 week 9
16v IND2026 week 8
64v HOU2026 week 6
124v PHI2026 week 5
7v CIN2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 97% · Market 97%-2800book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 95% · Market 94%-1540book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 92% · Market 91%-980book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 90% · Market 87%-670book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 84% · Market 78%-355book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 77% · Market 68%-210book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 69% · Market 57%-135book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 61% · Market 47%+113book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 53% · Market 38%+167book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 45% · Market 29%+240book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 23%+344book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 17%+501book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 12%+710book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 21% · Market 9%+1020book price at this line
140+ receiving yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 7%+1440book price at this line
150+ receiving yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 5%+1900book price at this line
160+ receiving yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
170+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
Elic Ayomanor WR · TEN 22+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Elic AyomanorWR · TENReceiving yards

DataPitch 60% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +6pp

Under 21.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 32.4, median 27
The line
21.5

His last 5, receiving yards

34v CIN2026 week 8
44v CLE2026 week 7
3v IND2026 week 6
17v HOU2026 week 5
22v BAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

14+ receiving yardsDataPitch 74% · Market 75%-294book price at this line
24+ receiving yardsDataPitch 56% · Market 54%-116book price at this line
34+ receiving yardsDataPitch 40% · Market 42%+139book price at this line
44+ receiving yardsDataPitch 28% · Market 31%+220book price at this line
54+ receiving yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 21%+370book price at this line
64+ receiving yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 14%+600book price at this line
74+ receiving yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 9%+1050book price at this line
84+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 5%+1850book price at this line
94+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
More players (4)
Brenton Strange TE · JAX 36+ receiving yards-114DraftKings

Brenton StrangeTE · JAXReceiving yards

DataPitch 55% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 35.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 45.2, median 39
The line
35.5

His last 5, receiving yards

22v BAL2026 week 9
55v IND2026 week 8
44v HOU2026 week 6
68v PHI2026 week 5
95v CIN2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 88% · Market 91%-980book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 82% · Market 84%-530book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 76% · Market 77%-336book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 69% · Market 70%-228book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 63% · Market 62%-162book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 50% · Market 47%+111book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 35%+185book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 29% · Market 25%+300book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 21% · Market 17%+479book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 12%+730book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 9%+1080book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 6%+1580book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 3%+3200book price at this line
Gunnar Helm TE · TEN 20+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Gunnar HelmTE · TENReceiving yards

DataPitch 51% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 19.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 24.4, median 20
The line
19.5

His last 5, receiving yards

76v CIN2026 week 8
24v CLE2026 week 7
0v HOU2026 week 5
5v BAL2026 week 4
14v NYG2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 74% · Market 75%-294book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 33% · Market 42%+139book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 31%+220book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 22%+360book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 14%+600book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 9%+1000book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 5%+1800book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 34+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceiving yards

DataPitch 50% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -4pp

Under 33.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 38.4, median 33
The line
33.5

His last 5, receiving yards

57v CIN2026 week 8
7v CLE2026 week 7
22v IND2026 week 6
53v HOU2026 week 5
19v BAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

24+ receiving yardsDataPitch 66% · Market 66%-196book price at this line
44+ receiving yardsDataPitch 36% · Market 45%+121book price at this line
54+ receiving yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 38%+165book price at this line
64+ receiving yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 30%+230book price at this line
74+ receiving yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 24%+310book price at this line
84+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 19%+425book price at this line
94+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 14%+600book price at this line
104+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 11%+850book price at this line
114+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 7%+1250book price at this line
Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 41+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Jakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceiving yards

DataPitch 64%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 58.9, median 54
The line
40.5

His last 5, receiving yards

65v BAL2026 week 9
24v IND2026 week 8
83v HOU2026 week 6
37v PHI2026 week 5
33v CIN2026 week 4
Receiving yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player20+30+40+50+
Parker WashingtonWR · JAX
Brenton StrangeTE · JAX
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Receptions16
Parker Washington WR · JAX 5+ receptions+105Bet365

Parker WashingtonWR · JAXReceptions

DataPitch 58% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap +9pp

Under 4.5: -135Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 5.3, median 5
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

2v BAL2026 week 9
1v IND2026 week 8
4v HOU2026 week 6
6v PHI2026 week 5
1v CIN2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 94% · Market 97%-3000book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 86% · Market 86%-596book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 73% · Market 69%-220book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 43% · Market 32%+211book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 30% · Market 19%+426book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 20% · Market 11%+850book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 12% · Market 6%+1540book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 7% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
Elic Ayomanor WR · TEN 2+ receptions-166consensus market price

Elic AyomanorWR · TENReceptions

DataPitch 68% · Market 62%

Against this price: Gap +6pp

Under 1.5: +125consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.5, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

3v CIN2026 week 8
3v CLE2026 week 7
1v IND2026 week 6
1v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 44% · Market 42%+141book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 26% · Market 26%+280book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 14% · Market 15%+575book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 7% · Market 8%+1200book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
More players (4)
Brenton Strange TE · JAX 4+ receptions+110DraftKings

Brenton StrangeTE · JAXReceptions

DataPitch 50% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 3.5: -141DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.8, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

2v BAL2026 week 9
2v IND2026 week 8
5v HOU2026 week 6
7v PHI2026 week 5
7v CIN2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 84% · Market 90%-850book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 68% · Market 70%-230book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 33% · Market 31%+225book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 21% · Market 18%+450book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 12% · Market 11%+850book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 7% · Market 6%+1600book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 4% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
Gunnar Helm TE · TEN 3+ receptions-116Bet365

Gunnar HelmTE · TENReceptions

DataPitch 51% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 2.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.9, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

5v CIN2026 week 8
3v CLE2026 week 7
0v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
2v NYG2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 72% · Market 75%-303book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 33% · Market 34%+192book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 20% · Market 21%+370book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 11% · Market 12%+750book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 6%+1500book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+3200book price at this line
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 5+ receptions+130Bet365

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceptions

DataPitch 25% · Market 44%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 4.5: -167Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.3, median 3
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

6v CIN2026 week 8
4v CLE2026 week 7
3v IND2026 week 6
6v HOU2026 week 5
3v BAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

4+ receptionsDataPitch 40% · Market 67%-200book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 15% · Market 35%+185book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 8% · Market 24%+320book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 4% · Market 15%+550book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 2% · Market 10%+950book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+1750book price at this line
Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 4+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Jakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceptions

DataPitch 59%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.4, median 4
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

4v BAL2026 week 9
2v IND2026 week 8
5v HOU2026 week 6
2v PHI2026 week 5
3v CIN2026 week 4
Receptions at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player4+5+6+7+
Parker WashingtonWR · JAX
Elic AyomanorWR · TEN
Brenton StrangeTE · JAX
Gunnar HelmTE · TEN
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Rushing yards4
Cam Ward QB · TEN 11+ rushing yards-111Bet365

Cam WardQB · TENRushing yards

DataPitch 43% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -10pp

Under 10.5: -120Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 13.3, median 8
The line
10.5

His last 5, rushing yards

41v CIN2026 week 8
5v CLE2026 week 7
7v IND2026 week 6
2v HOU2026 week 5
27v BAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

5+ rushing yardsDataPitch 62% · Market 80%-390book price at this line
10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 45% · Market 59%-145book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 33% · Market 44%+130book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 24% · Market 32%+210book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 24%+320book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 18%+460book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 10%+875book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 6%+1500book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+2800book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 68+ rushing yards-114DraftKings

Bhayshul TutenRB · JAXRushing yards

DataPitch 34% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 67.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 58.7, median 53
The line
67.5

His last 5, rushing yards

29v BAL2026 week 9
104v IND2026 week 8
39v HOU2026 week 6
72v PHI2026 week 5
73v CIN2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 80% · Market 95%-1720book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 67% · Market 87%-640book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 54% · Market 76%-315book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 43% · Market 64%-174book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 32% · Market 51%-103book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 24% · Market 39%+154book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 30%+237book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 22%+362book price at this line
110+ rushing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 16%+541book price at this line
120+ rushing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 11%+800book price at this line
130+ rushing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 8%+1180book price at this line
140+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 5%+1740book price at this line
150+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
160+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3400book price at this line
More players (2)
Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX 10+ rushing yards-104DraftKings

Trevor LawrenceQB · JAXRushing yards

DataPitch 24% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap -27pp

Under 9.5: -120DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 6.9, median 2
The line
9.5

His last 5, rushing yards

-1v BAL2026 week 9
10v IND2026 week 8
11v HOU2026 week 6
25v PHI2026 week 5
0v CIN2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

5+ rushing yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 73%-275book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 38%+165book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 27%+270book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 20%+405book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 15%+575book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 8%+1100book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+1800book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX 40+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXRushing yards

DataPitch 23%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 26.4, median 20
The line
39.5

His last 5, rushing yards

19v BAL2026 week 9
41v IND2026 week 8
55v HOU2026 week 6
5v PHI2026 week 5
35v CIN2026 week 4
Rushing yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player30+40+50+60+
Cam WardQB · TEN
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAX
Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Passing yards12
Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX 234+ passing yards-114DraftKings

Trevor LawrenceQB · JAXPassing yards

DataPitch 61% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 233.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated passing yards
average 260, median 255
The line
233.5

His last 5, passing yards

242v BAL2026 week 9
175v IND2026 week 8
306v HOU2026 week 6
306v PHI2026 week 5
212v CIN2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

150+ passing yardsDataPitch 93% · Market 94%-1520book price at this line
160+ passing yardsDataPitch 91% · Market 91%-1020book price at this line
170+ passing yardsDataPitch 88% · Market 88%-700book price at this line
180+ passing yardsDataPitch 85% · Market 83%-496book price at this line
190+ passing yardsDataPitch 81% · Market 78%-359book price at this line
200+ passing yardsDataPitch 77% · Market 73%-272book price at this line
210+ passing yardsDataPitch 72% · Market 67%-205book price at this line
220+ passing yardsDataPitch 68% · Market 61%-158book price at this line
230+ passing yardsDataPitch 63% · Market 55%-122book price at this line
240+ passing yardsDataPitch 58% · Market 49%+104book price at this line
250+ passing yardsDataPitch 53% · Market 43%+132book price at this line
260+ passing yardsDataPitch 48% · Market 38%+165book price at this line
270+ passing yardsDataPitch 43% · Market 32%+209book price at this line
280+ passing yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 28%+264book price at this line
290+ passing yardsDataPitch 34% · Market 23%+330book price at this line
300+ passing yardsDataPitch 29% · Market 20%+411book price at this line
310+ passing yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 16%+510book price at this line
320+ passing yardsDataPitch 21% · Market 14%+630book price at this line
330+ passing yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 11%+780book price at this line
340+ passing yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 9%+970book price at this line
350+ passing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 8%+1200book price at this line
360+ passing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 7%+1440book price at this line
370+ passing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 5%+1740book price at this line
380+ passing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 5%+2000book price at this line
390+ passing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
400+ passing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
410+ passing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
Cam Ward QB · TEN 205+ passing yards-114consensus market price

Cam WardQB · TENPassing yards

DataPitch 30% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 204.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated passing yards
average 176.9, median 172
The line
204.5

His last 5, passing yards

284v CIN2026 week 8
181v CLE2026 week 7
102v IND2026 week 6
130v HOU2026 week 5
214v BAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

150+ passing yardsDataPitch 66% · Market 85%-548book price at this line
160+ passing yardsDataPitch 59% · Market 80%-396book price at this line
170+ passing yardsDataPitch 52% · Market 74%-290book price at this line
180+ passing yardsDataPitch 45% · Market 69%-217book price at this line
190+ passing yardsDataPitch 39% · Market 62%-165book price at this line
200+ passing yardsDataPitch 33% · Market 56%-128book price at this line
206+ passing yardsDataPitch 30% · Market 53%-111book price at this line
210+ passing yardsDataPitch 27% · Market 50%-101book price at this line
220+ passing yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 44%+127book price at this line
230+ passing yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 39%+160book price at this line
240+ passing yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 33%+201book price at this line
250+ passing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 28%+255book price at this line
260+ passing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 24%+324book price at this line
270+ passing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 20%+410book price at this line
280+ passing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 16%+510book price at this line
290+ passing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 14%+630book price at this line
300+ passing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 11%+790book price at this line
310+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 9%+980book price at this line
320+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 8%+1220book price at this line
330+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 6%+1540book price at this line
340+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+1840book price at this line
350+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+2100book price at this line
360+ passing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
370+ passing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+2900book price at this line
Passing yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player200+210+220+230+
Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX
Cam WardQB · TEN

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

Around this game

Week 10 NFL player props, every gameTennessee Titans season simulation and futures pricesJacksonville Jaguars season simulation and futures pricesWeek 9 resultsEvery NFL futures price on the Futures SimulatorHow the simulator works

Other week 10 games

Washington Commanders at New York Giants player propsNew England Patriots at Detroit Lions player propsBuffalo Bills at New York Jets player propsCarolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints player propsHouston Texans at Cleveland Browns player propsKansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons player props

Also from DataPitch

Futures SimulatorLock a result, re-run the season, and every price re-reads.Pregame PicksToday's fixtures, every player market we price, re-priced to your own numbers.In-Play AlertsCustomised in-play alerts on football player props: pick a player's shots, shots on target, fouls or cards, change the numbers, and the card lands in your Telegram while the match is on, priced when we hold live odds.GuidesPlain-word explainers on futures, player props, in-play alerts and the scenario tool.
Live Drive AlertsThe NFL watched live, with alerts on the markets we price in play.Upcoming

Free on Telegram

Live player alerts, about 20 seconds behind the pitch

Shots, fouls and bookings as they happen, plus the daily match cards. Join the channel, it is free.