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Patriots

Our prices from 20,000 simulated seasons, then a slider to build your own.

Do not win the Super Bowl-2564DataPitch 96%Market 96% · Gap -1pp
Do not win the conference-952DataPitch 91%Market 90% · Gap +1pp
Do not win the division-170DataPitch 63%Market 63% · Gap +0pp
Make the playoffs-159DataPitch 61%Market 61% · Gap -1pp
Expected wins9.5Market 9.8EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Buffalo BillsGap -5pp+278EXCHANGE
vs Miami DolphinsGap -7pp-231EXCHANGE
vs New York JetsGap -4pp-142EXCHANGE

Players

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB
Drake MayeNE+4374
DataPitch 4%Market 2%Gap +1pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
TreVeyon HendersonNEn/a
Market n/a
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
A.J. BrownNE+1304
DataPitch 1%Market 7%Gap -6pp
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Drake MayeNE+990
Market +990
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.

Sim it yourself

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Force a result

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Bills leverage 29pp
vs Bills leverage 29pp
vs Jets leverage 29pp
vs Broncos leverage 28pp
vs Jets leverage 28pp
vs Dolphins leverage 28pp
vs Raiders leverage 27pp
vs Dolphins leverage 27pp
Advanced: force a playoff path

Patriots reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.