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Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns

Week 10 · Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Market line CLE +4.5 · total 40.5

Our read on this game

6 of the 23 rows we price on this game are strong tonight, and they split evenly between the two sides.

Strongest of themQuinshon JudkinsRB · CLE6+ receiving yards-120DraftKings

Prices taken Wed 11 Nov, 17:56 UK. 1 row on this game carries a doubtful man, marked on the row and with the reason behind its tap.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 6. Pending 6.

23 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Oddsto

23 players across every market.

Receiving yards39
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 6+ receiving yards-120DraftKings

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceiving yards

DataPitch 87% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap +32pp

Under 5.5: -104DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 26.3, median 22
The line
5.5

His last 5, receiving yards

2v NO2026 week 9
24v PIT2026 week 8
8v TEN2026 week 7
6v NYJ2026 week 5
43v PIT2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

16+ receiving yardsDataPitch 63% · Market 43%+132book price at this line
26+ receiving yardsDataPitch 42% · Market 33%+200book price at this line
36+ receiving yardsDataPitch 27% · Market 24%+310book price at this line
46+ receiving yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 17%+475book price at this line
56+ receiving yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 11%+775book price at this line
66+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 7%+1250book price at this line
76+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 5%+2100book price at this line
86+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+3800book price at this line
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 38+ receiving yards-114DraftKings

Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceiving yards

DataPitch 72% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +19pp

Under 37.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 59.9, median 55
The line
37.5

His last 5, receiving yards

42v NO2026 week 9
154v PIT2026 week 8
91v TEN2026 week 7
9v BAL2026 week 6
4v NYJ2026 week 5

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 97% · Market 93%-1420book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 94% · Market 88%-710book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 91% · Market 81%-416book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 86% · Market 73%-274book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 81% · Market 65%-189book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 70% · Market 50%-101book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 57% · Market 37%+172book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 45% · Market 26%+285book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 34% · Market 18%+450book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 12%+720book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 8%+1120book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 5%+1740book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 3%+3600book price at this line
More players (7)
Xavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 27+ receiving yards-110DraftKings

Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceiving yards

DataPitch 67% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +15pp

Under 26.5: -116DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 45.1, median 39
The line
26.5

His last 5, receiving yards

29v LAC2026 week 9
17v NYG2026 week 7
10v JAX2026 week 6
65v TEN2026 week 5
46v DAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 86% · Market 83%-498book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 84% · Market 74%-287book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 76% · Market 65%-186book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 70% · Market 56%-128book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 63% · Market 48%+109book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 50% · Market 34%+194book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 23%+336book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 28% · Market 15%+559book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 21% · Market 10%+890book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 7%+1420book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 4%+2200book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 14+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceiving yards

DataPitch 91% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +37pp

Under 13.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 51.6, median 47
The line
13.5

His last 5, receiving yards

37v NO2026 week 9
0v PIT2026 week 8
21v TEN2026 week 7
69v BAL2026 week 6
19v NYJ2026 week 5

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 93% · Market 67%-200book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 85% · Market 43%+135book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 74% · Market 28%+260book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 61% · Market 18%+450book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 47% · Market 13%+700book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 36% · Market 8%+1100book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 6%+1500book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 5%+2100book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
125+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Dalton Schultz TE · HOU 31+ receiving yards-119consensus market price

Dalton SchultzTE · HOUReceiving yards

DataPitch 56% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 30.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 40, median 36
The line
30.5

His last 5, receiving yards

42v LAC2026 week 9
45v NYG2026 week 7
33v JAX2026 week 6
30v TEN2026 week 5
9v DAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 89% · Market 88%-760book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 82% · Market 81%-414book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 74% · Market 72%-258book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 66% · Market 64%-175book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 58% · Market 56%-125book price at this line
32+ receiving yardsDataPitch 55% · Market 52%-110book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 44% · Market 40%+148book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 28%+256book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 21% · Market 19%+425book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 13%+690book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 9%+1080book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 6%+1660book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Nico Collins WR · HOU 55+ receiving yards-112DraftKings

Nico CollinsWR · HOUReceiving yards

DataPitch 54% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 54.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 65.4, median 59
The line
54.5

His last 5, receiving yards

55v LAC2026 week 9
6v NYG2026 week 7
74v JAX2026 week 6
56v TEN2026 week 5
118v DAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 95% · Market 97%-2800book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 93% · Market 94%-1460book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 90% · Market 90%-860book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 86% · Market 85%-578book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 81% · Market 81%-417book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 70% · Market 70%-229book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 60% · Market 59%-141book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 49% · Market 48%+110book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 40% · Market 38%+164book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 29%+240book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 24% · Market 22%+351book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 17%+501book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 12%+730book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 9%+1040book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 6%+1460book price at this line
140+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 5%+2000book price at this line
150+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 3%+2800book price at this line
160+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+3600book price at this line
Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 16+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Kayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceiving yards

DataPitch 84%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 50.7, median 44
The line
15.5

His last 5, receiving yards

125v LAC2026 week 9
25v NYG2026 week 7
16v JAX2026 week 6
38v TEN2026 week 5
36v DAL2026 week 4
Blake Whiteheart TE · CLE 1+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Blake WhiteheartTE · CLEReceiving yards

DataPitch 68%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 12.9, median 8
The line
0.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v NO2026 week 9
9v PIT2026 week 8
8v BAL2026 week 6
0v PIT2026 week 4
17v TB2026 week 2
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · HOU 17+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOUReceiving yards

DataPitch 65%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 31.7, median 26
The line
16.5

His last 5, receiving yards

20v LAC2026 week 9
6v NYG2026 week 7
34v JAX2026 week 6
12v NYG2026 week 4
40v SF2026 week 3
Receiving yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player10+20+30+40+
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU
Jerry JeudyWR · CLE
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU
Nico CollinsWR · HOU

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Receptions38
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 4+ receptions-116Bet365

Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceptions

DataPitch 82% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +28pp

Under 3.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.1, median 6
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

2v NO2026 week 9
10v PIT2026 week 8
6v TEN2026 week 7
1v BAL2026 week 6
1v NYJ2026 week 5

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 97% · Market 94%-1520book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 91% · Market 80%-387book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 69% · Market 41%+142book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 55% · Market 26%+289book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 42% · Market 15%+559book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 29% · Market 9%+1060book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 19% · Market 5%+1840book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 12% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
Dalton Schultz TE · HOU 4+ receptions+101DraftKings

Dalton SchultzTE · HOUReceptions

DataPitch 58% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 3.5: -130DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.3, median 4
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

2v LAC2026 week 9
5v NYG2026 week 7
4v JAX2026 week 6
3v TEN2026 week 5
2v DAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 88% · Market 91%-1000book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 74% · Market 71%-250book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 42% · Market 33%+205book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 28% · Market 20%+400book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 18% · Market 11%+800book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 11% · Market 7%+1400book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 4% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
More players (6)
Xavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 3+ receptions-120Bet365

Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceptions

DataPitch 60% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap +5pp

Under 2.5: -111Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.3, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v LAC2026 week 9
3v NYG2026 week 7
2v JAX2026 week 6
4v TEN2026 week 5
3v DAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 80% · Market 81%-420book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 41% · Market 36%+175book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 26% · Market 21%+375book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 15% · Market 12%+750book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 8% · Market 7%+1400book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 4% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 2+ receptions+172Bet365

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEReceptions

DataPitch 78% · Market 37%

Against this price: Gap +41pp

Under 1.5: -227Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.3, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v NO2026 week 9
2v PIT2026 week 8
1v TEN2026 week 7
3v NYJ2026 week 5
6v PIT2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 59% · Market 27%+270book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 40% · Market 15%+550book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 26% · Market 8%+1150book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 15% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 2+ receptions+105Bet365

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceptions

DataPitch 88% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap +39pp

Under 1.5: -135Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.9, median 4
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v NO2026 week 9
0v PIT2026 week 8
4v TEN2026 week 7
4v BAL2026 week 6
3v NYJ2026 week 5

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 72% · Market 33%+200book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 53% · Market 18%+450book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 36% · Market 9%+1050book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 22% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
Nico Collins WR · HOU 5+ receptions+121DraftKings

Nico CollinsWR · HOUReceptions

DataPitch 45% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap +0pp

Under 4.5: -156DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.5, median 4
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

4v LAC2026 week 9
2v NYG2026 week 7
3v JAX2026 week 6
5v TEN2026 week 5
7v DAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 91% · Market 95%-1860book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 78% · Market 82%-459book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 61% · Market 64%-175book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 30% · Market 28%+255book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 19% · Market 16%+515book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 11% · Market 10%+950book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 6%+1700book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Kayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceptions

DataPitch 71%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.8, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

4v LAC2026 week 9
1v NYG2026 week 7
2v JAX2026 week 6
3v TEN2026 week 5
3v DAL2026 week 4
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · HOU 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOUReceptions

DataPitch 59%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.2, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v LAC2026 week 9
1v NYG2026 week 7
3v JAX2026 week 6
1v NYG2026 week 4
3v SF2026 week 3
Receptions at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player2+3+4+5+
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU
Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE
Jerry JeudyWR · CLE
Nico CollinsWR · HOU

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Rushing yards5
Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 44+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLERushing yards

DataPitch 51% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -2pp

Under 43.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 49.6, median 45
The line
43.5

His last 5, rushing yards

43v NO2026 week 9
25v PIT2026 week 8
96v TEN2026 week 7
44v NYJ2026 week 5
53v PIT2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 92% · Market 97%-2900book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 86% · Market 92%-1180book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 80% · Market 86%-598book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 73% · Market 78%-351book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 58% · Market 61%-156book price at this line
45+ rushing yardsDataPitch 50% · Market 53%-112book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 43% · Market 44%+126book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 31%+221book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 21%+369book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 15%+586book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 10%+910book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 7%+1380book price at this line
110+ rushing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 5%+2000book price at this line
120+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+2900book price at this line
130+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 2%+4000book price at this line
Dylan Sampson RB · CLE 21+ rushing yards-108DraftKings

Dylan SampsonRB · CLERushing yards

DataPitch 28% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -24pp

Under 20.5: -119DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 15.8, median 11
The line
20.5

His last 5, rushing yards

21v NO2026 week 9
7v PIT2026 week 8
45v TEN2026 week 7
0v JAX2026 week 1
32v CIN2025 week 18

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 53% · Market 83%-475book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 40% · Market 68%-215book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 30% · Market 56%-125book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 23% · Market 44%+125book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 35%+185book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 22%+360book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 13%+650book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 8%+1100book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 6%+1700book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
110+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
More players (3)
C.J. Stroud QB · HOU 8+ rushing yards-119DraftKings

C.J. StroudQB · HOURushing yards

DataPitch 30% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -24pp

Under 7.5: -108DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 7.6, median 2
The line
7.5

His last 5, rushing yards

20v LAC2026 week 9
4v NYG2026 week 7
5v JAX2026 week 6
5v TEN2026 week 5
12v DAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

5+ rushing yardsDataPitch 39% · Market 70%-230book price at this line
10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 48%+110book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 34%+195book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 24%+315book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 18%+460book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 13%+675book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 8%+1200book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 5%+2000book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+2800book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
DoubtfulDeshaun Watson QB · CLE 28+ rushing yards-116Bet365

Deshaun WatsonQB · CLERushing yards

Doubtful: Concussion (status not in our vocabulary): Inactive for Week 9 at New Orleans

DataPitch 25% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -29pp

Under 27.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 19.3, median 14
The line
27.5

His last 5, rushing yards

2v PIT2026 week 8
19v TEN2026 week 7
29v BAL2026 week 6
40v NYJ2026 week 5
22v PIT2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 62% · Market 92%-1120book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 49% · Market 83%-483book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 72%-259book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 30% · Market 61%-157book price at this line
29+ rushing yardsDataPitch 24% · Market 52%-110book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 23% · Market 50%-101book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 32%+215book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 18%+443book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 11%+830book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 6%+1460book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3700book price at this line
Woody Marks RB · HOU 64+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Woody MarksRB · HOURushing yards

DataPitch 23%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 44.9, median 39
The line
63.5

His last 5, rushing yards

70v LAC2026 week 9
66v NYG2026 week 7
56v JAX2026 week 6
62v TEN2026 week 5
22v DAL2026 week 4
Rushing yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player15+20+25+30+
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE
Dylan SampsonRB · CLE
C.J. StroudQB · HOU
Deshaun WatsonDoubtfulQB · CLE

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Passing yards1
C.J. Stroud QB · HOU 242+ passing yards-115consensus market price

C.J. StroudQB · HOUPassing yards

DataPitch 42% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -12pp

Under 241.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated passing yards
average 233.3, median 228
The line
241.5

His last 5, passing yards

374v LAC2026 week 9
155v NYG2026 week 7
312v JAX2026 week 6
250v TEN2026 week 5
335v DAL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

160+ passing yardsDataPitch 85% · Market 93%-1320book price at this line
170+ passing yardsDataPitch 81% · Market 90%-870book price at this line
180+ passing yardsDataPitch 76% · Market 86%-620book price at this line
190+ passing yardsDataPitch 71% · Market 82%-457book price at this line
200+ passing yardsDataPitch 66% · Market 78%-346book price at this line
210+ passing yardsDataPitch 61% · Market 72%-261book price at this line
220+ passing yardsDataPitch 55% · Market 67%-201book price at this line
230+ passing yardsDataPitch 49% · Market 61%-158book price at this line
240+ passing yardsDataPitch 43% · Market 55%-124book price at this line
244+ passing yardsDataPitch 41% · Market 53%-113book price at this line
250+ passing yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 50%+102book price at this line
260+ passing yardsDataPitch 33% · Market 44%+129book price at this line
270+ passing yardsDataPitch 29% · Market 38%+161book price at this line
280+ passing yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 33%+201book price at this line
290+ passing yardsDataPitch 21% · Market 29%+251book price at this line
300+ passing yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 24%+312book price at this line
310+ passing yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 21%+388book price at this line
320+ passing yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 17%+481book price at this line
330+ passing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 14%+596book price at this line
340+ passing yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 12%+730book price at this line
350+ passing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 10%+910book price at this line
360+ passing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 8%+1120book price at this line
370+ passing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 7%+1360book price at this line
380+ passing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 6%+1640book price at this line
390+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 5%+1940book price at this line
400+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2200book price at this line
410+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
420+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+2900book price at this line

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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