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Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints

Week 10 · Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Market line NO -2.5 · total 48.5

Our read on this game

3 of the 27 rows we price on this game are strong tonight, and all of them are New Orleans Saints players.

Strongest of themJuwan JohnsonTE · NO24+ receiving yards-118consensus market price

Prices taken Wed 11 Nov, 17:56 UK.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 3. Pending 3.

27 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Oddsto

27 players across every market.

Receiving yards211
Juwan Johnson TE · NO 24+ receiving yards-118consensus market price

Juwan JohnsonTE · NOReceiving yards

DataPitch 70% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +16pp

Under 23.5: -120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 43.1, median 38
The line
23.5

His last 5, receiving yards

34v CLE2026 week 9
7v PIT2026 week 7
0v NYG2026 week 6
16v MIN2026 week 5
59v ATL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 89% · Market 80%-400book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 83% · Market 70%-235book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 76% · Market 60%-152book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 68% · Market 52%-108book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 61% · Market 44%+130book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 47% · Market 30%+236book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 35% · Market 20%+395book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 14%+640book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 9%+1000book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 6%+1540book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 3%+3200book price at this line
Devaughn Vele WR · NO 32+ receiving yards-110DraftKings

Devaughn VeleWR · NOReceiving yards

DataPitch 60% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 31.5: -116DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 43.6, median 39
The line
31.5

His last 5, receiving yards

17v CLE2026 week 9
54v PIT2026 week 7
42v NYG2026 week 6
26v MIN2026 week 5
54v ATL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 89% · Market 88%-750book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 84% · Market 80%-409book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 77% · Market 72%-257book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 70% · Market 64%-175book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 63% · Market 55%-124book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 48% · Market 41%+145book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 36% · Market 29%+250book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 20%+413book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 14%+640book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 9%+1000book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 6%+1480book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 4%+2200book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+3100book price at this line
More players (9)
Alvin Kamara RB · NO 20+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Alvin KamaraRB · NOReceiving yards

DataPitch 48% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 19.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 23.1, median 19
The line
19.5

His last 5, receiving yards

17v CLE2026 week 9
57v PIT2026 week 7
35v NYG2026 week 6
-6v MIN2026 week 5
35v ATL2026 week 4
Chris Olave WR · NO 75+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Chris OlaveWR · NOReceiving yards

DataPitch 47% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -7pp

Under 74.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 77.5, median 72
The line
74.5

His last 5, receiving yards

98v CLE2026 week 9
56v PIT2026 week 7
43v NYG2026 week 6
46v MIN2026 week 5
116v ATL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 94% · Market 96%-2200book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 90% · Market 93%-1340book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 83% · Market 86%-630book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 73% · Market 78%-347book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 63% · Market 68%-216book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 53% · Market 58%-138book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 42% · Market 48%+107book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 33% · Market 39%+156book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 31%+226book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 24%+319book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 18%+444book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 14%+630book price at this line
140+ receiving yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 10%+900book price at this line
150+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 8%+1240book price at this line
160+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 5%+1740book price at this line
170+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
180+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+3200book price at this line
John Metchie III WR · CAR 21+ receiving yards-116Bet365

John Metchie IIIWR · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 45% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 20.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 22.9, median 18
The line
20.5

His last 5, receiving yards

40v DEN2026 week 9
14v GB2026 week 8
20v TB2026 week 7
24v PHI2026 week 6
37v DET2026 week 4
Darren Waller TE · CAR 30+ receiving yards-111DraftKings

Darren WallerTE · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 42% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -11pp

Under 29.5: -114DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 30.3, median 25
The line
29.5

His last 5, receiving yards

90v DEN2026 week 9
11v GB2026 week 8
50v TB2026 week 7
0v PHI2026 week 6
36v DET2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 72% · Market 85%-581book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 68% · Market 78%-346book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 57% · Market 69%-225book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 50% · Market 61%-157book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 30% · Market 38%+162book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 27%+274book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 18%+444book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 13%+700book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 8%+1100book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 5%+1740book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Mitchell Evans TE · CAR 9+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Mitchell EvansTE · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 42% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -12pp

Under 8.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 11.3, median 6
The line
8.5

His last 5, receiving yards

20v DEN2026 week 9
22v GB2026 week 8
39v TB2026 week 7
0v PHI2026 week 6
8v DET2026 week 4
Jalen Coker WR · CAR 48+ receiving yards-114DraftKings

Jalen CokerWR · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 40% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 47.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 44.4, median 39
The line
47.5

His last 5, receiving yards

29v DEN2026 week 9
36v GB2026 week 8
9v TB2026 week 7
97v PHI2026 week 6
18v CLE2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 86% · Market 97%-2800book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 83% · Market 93%-1320book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 75% · Market 88%-740book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 70% · Market 83%-474book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 62% · Market 77%-325book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 49% · Market 63%-171book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 51%-102book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 28% · Market 38%+161book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 28%+253book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 20%+390book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 15%+592book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 10%+890book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 7%+1340book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 5%+1940book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+2800book price at this line
140+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3700book price at this line
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 19+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Chuba HubbardRB · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 30% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 18.5: -120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 14.7, median 10
The line
18.5

His last 5, receiving yards

17v DEN2026 week 9
38v GB2026 week 8
27v TB2026 week 7
1v PHI2026 week 6
7v DET2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 50% · Market 75%-300book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 37% · Market 61%-158book price at this line
18+ receiving yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 54%-115book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 28% · Market 49%+104book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 21% · Market 39%+157book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 30%+233book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 18%+459book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 11%+840book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 7%+1400book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Tommy Tremble TE · CAR 21+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Tommy TrembleTE · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 29% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -25pp

Under 20.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 15.4, median 11
The line
20.5

His last 5, receiving yards

24v DEN2026 week 9
19v GB2026 week 8
8v TB2026 week 7
46v PHI2026 week 6
12v DET2026 week 4
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 66+ receiving yards-121consensus market price

Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARReceiving yards

DataPitch 21% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -34pp

Under 65.5: -120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 42.1, median 37
The line
65.5

His last 5, receiving yards

56v DEN2026 week 9
58v GB2026 week 8
40v TB2026 week 7
86v PHI2026 week 6
192v DET2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 73% · Market 95%-1940book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 65% · Market 92%-1160book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 58% · Market 88%-760book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 45% · Market 80%-394book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 34% · Market 69%-223book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 58%-140book price at this line
65+ receiving yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 53%-114book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 48%+108book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 39%+159book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 30%+235book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 23%+344book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 17%+501book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 12%+730book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 9%+1020book price at this line
140+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 7%+1420book price at this line
150+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+1900book price at this line
160+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
170+ receiving yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3700book price at this line
Receiving yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player25+30+40+50+
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO
Devaughn VeleWR · NO
Chris OlaveWR · NO
Darren WallerTE · CAR
Jalen CokerWR · CAR
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Receptions111
Juwan Johnson TE · NO 3+ receptions-133DraftKings

Juwan JohnsonTE · NOReceptions

DataPitch 72% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap +15pp

Under 2.5: +104DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.1, median 4
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v CLE2026 week 9
1v PIT2026 week 7
0v NYG2026 week 6
4v MIN2026 week 5
6v ATL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 87% · Market 80%-409book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 54% · Market 35%+184book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 38% · Market 19%+421book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 25% · Market 10%+910book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 16% · Market 5%+1780book price at this line
Chris Olave WR · NO 6+ receptions-116Bet365

Chris OlaveWR · NOReceptions

DataPitch 57% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 5.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.3, median 6
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

7v CLE2026 week 9
6v PIT2026 week 7
4v NYG2026 week 6
4v MIN2026 week 5
8v ATL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 92% · Market 97%-3200book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 83% · Market 89%-800book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 71% · Market 76%-324book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 43% · Market 45%+123book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 31% · Market 31%+228book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 21% · Market 20%+409book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 14% · Market 12%+710book price at this line
11+ receptionsDataPitch 8% · Market 8%+1220book price at this line
12+ receptionsDataPitch 5% · Market 5%+1980book price at this line
13+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+2900book price at this line
More players (9)
John Metchie III WR · CAR 3+ receptions+145Bet365

John Metchie IIIWR · CARReceptions

DataPitch 42% · Market 41%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 2.5: -185Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.4, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v DEN2026 week 9
3v GB2026 week 8
2v TB2026 week 7
2v PHI2026 week 6
3v DET2026 week 4
Devaughn Vele WR · NO 4+ receptions+125Bet365

Devaughn VeleWR · NOReceptions

DataPitch 41% · Market 44%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 3.5: -161Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.4, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

2v CLE2026 week 9
5v PIT2026 week 7
3v NYG2026 week 6
4v MIN2026 week 5
6v ATL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 80% · Market 91%-1060book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 61% · Market 75%-300book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 26% · Market 36%+182book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 15% · Market 21%+379book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 8% · Market 12%+750book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 4% · Market 7%+1400book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
Mitchell Evans TE · CAR 2+ receptions+155Bet365

Mitchell EvansTE · CARReceptions

DataPitch 30% · Market 39%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 1.5: -200Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.1, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v DEN2026 week 9
2v GB2026 week 8
2v TB2026 week 7
0v PHI2026 week 6
1v DET2026 week 4
Darren Waller TE · CAR 3+ receptions-120DraftKings

Darren WallerTE · CARReceptions

DataPitch 40% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -15pp

Under 2.5: -108DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.4, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

8v DEN2026 week 9
1v GB2026 week 8
1v TB2026 week 7
0v PHI2026 week 6
3v DET2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 63% · Market 85%-560book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 23% · Market 43%+133book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 13% · Market 27%+270book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 17%+500book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 9%+1000book price at this line
Jalen Coker WR · CAR 5+ receptions+110Bet365

Jalen CokerWR · CARReceptions

DataPitch 25% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 4.5: -141Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.3, median 3
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

4v DEN2026 week 9
2v GB2026 week 8
1v TB2026 week 7
6v PHI2026 week 6
2v CLE2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 79% · Market 96%-2600book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 59% · Market 85%-585book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 40% · Market 69%-220book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 15% · Market 33%+206book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 8% · Market 20%+411book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 4% · Market 11%+780book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 2% · Market 6%+1500book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
Tommy Tremble TE · CAR 3+ receptions-105Bet365

Tommy TrembleTE · CARReceptions

DataPitch 26% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap -25pp

Under 2.5: -125Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.7, median 1
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

4v DEN2026 week 9
1v GB2026 week 8
1v TB2026 week 7
4v PHI2026 week 6
4v DET2026 week 4
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 3+ receptions-156DraftKings

Chuba HubbardRB · CARReceptions

DataPitch 27% · Market 61%

Against this price: Gap -34pp

Under 2.5: +122DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.8, median 1
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

4v DEN2026 week 9
7v GB2026 week 8
4v TB2026 week 7
1v PHI2026 week 6
1v DET2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 48% · Market 83%-481book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 13% · Market 39%+160book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 21%+369book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 11%+780book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 1% · Market 6%+1540book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 0% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 6+ receptions+122Bet365

Tetairoa McMillanWR · CARReceptions

DataPitch 10% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap -35pp

Under 5.5: -156Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.8, median 3
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

4v DEN2026 week 9
6v GB2026 week 8
4v TB2026 week 7
6v PHI2026 week 6
14v DET2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 50% · Market 93%-1340book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 31% · Market 82%-451book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 18% · Market 66%-190book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 5% · Market 33%+202book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 2% · Market 21%+368book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 1% · Market 13%+670book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 0% · Market 8%+1220book price at this line
11+ receptionsDataPitch 0% · Market 5%+2000book price at this line
Alvin Kamara RB · NO 3+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Alvin KamaraRB · NOReceptions

DataPitch 53%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.9, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v CLE2026 week 9
7v PIT2026 week 7
2v NYG2026 week 6
2v MIN2026 week 5
5v ATL2026 week 4
Receptions at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player3+4+5+6+
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO
Chris OlaveWR · NO
Devaughn VeleWR · NO
Darren WallerTE · CAR
Jalen CokerWR · CAR
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Rushing yards3
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 77+ rushing yards-111DraftKings

Chuba HubbardRB · CARRushing yards

DataPitch 44% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 76.5: -115DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 76.1, median 71
The line
76.5

His last 5, rushing yards

79v DEN2026 week 9
81v GB2026 week 8
33v TB2026 week 7
120v PHI2026 week 6
122v DET2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 91% · Market 97%-2800book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 83% · Market 91%-990book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 73% · Market 82%-463book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 62% · Market 72%-252book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 51% · Market 61%-153book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 41% · Market 50%+101book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 32% · Market 40%+153book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 24% · Market 31%+227book price at this line
110+ rushing yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 23%+329book price at this line
120+ rushing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 18%+472book price at this line
130+ rushing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 13%+670book price at this line
140+ rushing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 9%+960book price at this line
150+ rushing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 7%+1360book price at this line
160+ rushing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 5%+1960book price at this line
170+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
180+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Tyler Shough QB · NO 17+ rushing yards-116Bet365

Tyler ShoughQB · NORushing yards

DataPitch 27% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -27pp

Under 16.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 12.4, median 6
The line
16.5

His last 5, rushing yards

51v CLE2026 week 9
7v PIT2026 week 7
32v NYG2026 week 6
0v MIN2026 week 5
5v ATL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

5+ rushing yardsDataPitch 57% · Market 89%-800book price at this line
10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 42% · Market 74%-290book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 59%-146book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 23% · Market 45%+124book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 33%+200book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 24%+310book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 14%+640book price at this line
More players (1)
Bryce Young QB · CAR 9+ rushing yards-118consensus market price

Bryce YoungQB · CARRushing yards

DataPitch 21% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -33pp

Under 8.5: -122consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 5.5, median 0
The line
8.5

His last 5, rushing yards

13v DEN2026 week 9
0v GB2026 week 8
9v TB2026 week 7
6v PHI2026 week 6
3v DET2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

5+ rushing yardsDataPitch 30% · Market 70%-235book price at this line
10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 50%+102book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 34%+194book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 24%+320book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 15%+550book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 11%+850book price at this line
Rushing yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player10+15+20+30+
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR···
Tyler ShoughQB · NO
Bryce YoungQB · CAR

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Passing yards2
Tyler Shough QB · NO 254+ passing yards-119consensus market price

Tyler ShoughQB · NOPassing yards

DataPitch 35% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 253.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated passing yards
average 229.8, median 225
The line
253.5

His last 5, passing yards

236v CLE2026 week 9
263v PIT2026 week 7
144v NYG2026 week 6
87v MIN2026 week 5
270v ATL2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

170+ passing yardsDataPitch 81% · Market 93%-1340book price at this line
180+ passing yardsDataPitch 76% · Market 90%-910book price at this line
190+ passing yardsDataPitch 71% · Market 86%-630book price at this line
200+ passing yardsDataPitch 65% · Market 82%-454book price at this line
210+ passing yardsDataPitch 59% · Market 77%-341book price at this line
220+ passing yardsDataPitch 53% · Market 72%-259book price at this line
230+ passing yardsDataPitch 48% · Market 67%-200book price at this line
240+ passing yardsDataPitch 42% · Market 61%-157book price at this line
250+ passing yardsDataPitch 37% · Market 55%-122book price at this line
260+ passing yardsDataPitch 32% · Market 49%+105book price at this line
270+ passing yardsDataPitch 27% · Market 43%+132book price at this line
280+ passing yardsDataPitch 23% · Market 38%+164book price at this line
290+ passing yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 33%+205book price at this line
300+ passing yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 28%+256book price at this line
310+ passing yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 24%+317book price at this line
320+ passing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 20%+397book price at this line
330+ passing yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 17%+493book price at this line
340+ passing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 14%+620book price at this line
350+ passing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 11%+780book price at this line
360+ passing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 9%+980book price at this line
370+ passing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 8%+1200book price at this line
380+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 6%+1500book price at this line
390+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 5%+1800book price at this line
400+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+2100book price at this line
410+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
420+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+2900book price at this line
Bryce Young QB · CAR 247+ passing yards-121consensus market price

Bryce YoungQB · CARPassing yards

DataPitch 18% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -37pp

Under 246.5: -120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated passing yards
average 189.1, median 184
The line
246.5

His last 5, passing yards

257v DEN2026 week 9
176v GB2026 week 8
131v TB2026 week 7
273v PHI2026 week 6
318v DET2026 week 4

His other lines in this market

170+ passing yardsDataPitch 58% · Market 92%-1200book price at this line
180+ passing yardsDataPitch 52% · Market 89%-780book price at this line
190+ passing yardsDataPitch 46% · Market 85%-560book price at this line
200+ passing yardsDataPitch 40% · Market 80%-410book price at this line
210+ passing yardsDataPitch 34% · Market 75%-307book price at this line
220+ passing yardsDataPitch 29% · Market 70%-231book price at this line
230+ passing yardsDataPitch 24% · Market 64%-179book price at this line
240+ passing yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 58%-139book price at this line
249+ passing yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 53%-112book price at this line
250+ passing yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 52%-109book price at this line
260+ passing yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 46%+116book price at this line
270+ passing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 40%+148book price at this line
280+ passing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 35%+188book price at this line
290+ passing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 29%+240book price at this line
300+ passing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 25%+303book price at this line
310+ passing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 21%+387book price at this line
320+ passing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 17%+488book price at this line
330+ passing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 14%+620book price at this line
340+ passing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 11%+790book price at this line
350+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 9%+980book price at this line
360+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 8%+1200book price at this line
370+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 6%+1500book price at this line
380+ passing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+1860book price at this line
390+ passing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 4%+2200book price at this line
400+ passing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
410+ passing yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+2900book price at this line
Passing yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player240+250+260+270+
Tyler ShoughQB · NO
Bryce YoungQB · CAR

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

Around this game

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