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Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals

Week 10 · Sun Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET · Market line ARI +9.5 · total 39.5

Our read on this game

1 of the 10 rows we price on this game is strong tonight.

Strongest of themElijah HigginsTE · ARI3+ receptions+155Bet365

Prices taken Wed 11 Nov, 17:56 UK.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 1. Pending 1.

10 rows on 3 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Oddsto

10 players across every market.

Receiving yards4
Elijah Higgins TE · ARI 18+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Elijah HigginsTE · ARIReceiving yards

DataPitch 63% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +9pp

Under 17.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 31.3, median 26
The line
17.5

His last 5, receiving yards

11v SEA2026 week 9
10v DAL2026 week 8
17v DEN2026 week 7
28v LA2026 week 6
57v DET2026 week 5
Kyren Williams RB · LA 21+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 50% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -4pp

Under 20.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 25.1, median 21
The line
20.5

His last 5, receiving yards

16v WAS2026 week 9
3v LAC2026 week 8
22v LV2026 week 7
17v ARI2026 week 6
27v BUF2026 week 5
More players (2)
Michael Wilson WR · ARI 57+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Michael WilsonWR · ARIReceiving yards

DataPitch 80%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 98.3, median 93
The line
56.5

His last 5, receiving yards

60v SEA2026 week 9
111v DAL2026 week 8
55v DEN2026 week 7
32v LA2026 week 6
30v DET2026 week 5
Trey McBride TE · ARI 66+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-11 capture; an older price is not shown

Trey McBrideTE · ARIReceiving yards

DataPitch 68%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 88.8, median 84
The line
65.5

His last 5, receiving yards

54v SEA2026 week 9
72v DAL2026 week 8
111v DEN2026 week 7
53v LA2026 week 6
66v DET2026 week 5
Receptions13
Elijah Higgins TE · ARI 3+ receptions+155Bet365

Elijah HigginsTE · ARIReceptions

DataPitch 55% · Market 39%

Against this price: Gap +16pp

Under 2.5: -200Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.1, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v SEA2026 week 9
2v DAL2026 week 8
3v DEN2026 week 7
3v LA2026 week 6
3v DET2026 week 5
Trey McBride TE · ARI 8+ receptions-111Bet365

Trey McBrideTE · ARIReceptions

DataPitch 65% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +12pp

Under 7.5: -120Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 9.2, median 9
The line
7.5

His last 5, receptions

7v SEA2026 week 9
7v DAL2026 week 8
10v DEN2026 week 7
7v LA2026 week 6
9v DET2026 week 5
More players (1)
Kyren Williams RB · LA 4+ receptions+105Bet365

Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceptions

DataPitch 36% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 3.5: -135Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.1, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

3v WAS2026 week 9
1v LAC2026 week 8
2v LV2026 week 7
3v ARI2026 week 6
6v BUF2026 week 5
Rushing yards3
Kyren Williams RB · LA 66+ rushing yards-116Bet365

Kyren WilliamsRB · LARushing yards

DataPitch 57% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 65.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 78.7, median 72
The line
65.5

His last 5, rushing yards

45v WAS2026 week 9
56v LAC2026 week 8
99v LV2026 week 7
50v ARI2026 week 6
49v BUF2026 week 5
Blake Corum RB · LA 58+ rushing yards-116Bet365

Blake CorumRB · LARushing yards

DataPitch 41% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 57.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 56.8, median 48
The line
57.5

His last 5, rushing yards

58v WAS2026 week 9
73v LAC2026 week 8
93v LV2026 week 7
42v ARI2026 week 6
19v BUF2026 week 5
More players (1)
Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 47+ rushing yards-116Bet365

Tyler AllgeierRB · ARIRushing yards

DataPitch 20% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -34pp

Under 46.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 30.2, median 25
The line
46.5

His last 5, rushing yards

46v SEA2026 week 9
147v DAL2026 week 8
19v DEN2026 week 7
38v LA2026 week 6
7v DET2026 week 5

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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