We use analytics to see what works.
Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.
Win the Super Bowl+1327DataPitch 5%Market 7% · Gap -2pp
Do not win the conference-770DataPitch 92%Market 89% · Gap +3pp
Do not win the division-1149DataPitch 94%Market 92% · Gap +2pp
Miss the playoffs-115DataPitch 59%Market 53% · Gap +6pp
Expected wins8.5Market 6.8EXCHANGE
Season series
Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.
vs Seattle SeahawksGap +6pp+466EXCHANGEModel 8.5, you8.5
Players
These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.
Passing yards leaderQB
Matthew StaffordLA+1708DataPitch 9%Market 6%Gap +4pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
Kyren WilliamsLA+3283 DataPitch 6%Market 3%Gap +3pp
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Puka NacuaLA+3159 DataPitch 13%Market 3%Gap +10pp
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Matthew StaffordLA+5534 Market +5534
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.
Sim it yourself
Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.
Force a result
Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.
vs 49ers leverage 36pp
vs Giants leverage 36pp
vs Broncos leverage 36pp
vs Eagles leverage 36pp
vs Bills leverage 36pp
vs Cardinals leverage 36ppvs Seahawks leverage 32pp vs Seahawks leverage 30pp Advanced: force a playoff path
Rams reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.
