We use analytics to see what works.
Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.
Win the Super Bowl+90809DataPitch <1%Market <1% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the conference-66667DataPitch >99%Market >99% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the division-10417DataPitch 99%Market 99% · Gap +0pp
Miss the playoffs-1527DataPitch 96%Market 94% · Gap +2pp
Expected wins5.4Market 3.7EXCHANGE
Model 5.4, you5.4
Players
These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.
Passing yards leaderQB
Jacoby BrissettARIn/aMarket n/a
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderTE
Trey McBrideARI+4615 DataPitch 1%Market 2%Gap -1pp
Our own projection.
Sim it yourself
Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.
Force a result
Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.
vs Seahawks leverage 5pp
vs Rams leverage 4pp
vs 49ers leverage 3pp
vs Cowboys leverage 3pp
vs Chiefs leverage 3pp
vs Broncos leverage 3pp
vs Saints leverage 3pp
vs Eagles leverage 3ppAdvanced: force a playoff path
Cardinals reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.
