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3 of the 17 rows we price on this game are strong tonight, and all of them are San Francisco 49ers players.
Strongest of themChristian McCaffreyRB · SF33+ receiving yards-115consensus market pricePrices taken Wed 11 Nov, 17:56 UK.
Called before kickoff: 3. Pending 3.
17 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
17 players across every market.
Christian McCaffreyRB · SFReceiving yards
DataPitch 73% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +19pp
Under 32.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
George KittleTE · SFReceiving yards
DataPitch 57% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 61.5: -111DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Javonte WilliamsRB · DALReceiving yards
DataPitch 42% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 12.5: -108DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFReceiving yards
DataPitch 41% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 38.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CeeDee LambWR · DALReceiving yards
DataPitch 23% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 89.5: -114DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Christian McCaffreyRB · SFReceptions
DataPitch 67% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 4.5: -132DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
George KittleTE · SFReceptions
DataPitch 59% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 5.5: -141Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFReceptions
DataPitch 44% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 3.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Javonte WilliamsRB · DALReceptions
DataPitch 31% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 2.5: +113DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CeeDee LambWR · DALReceptions
DataPitch 15% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 7.5: -141Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kaelon BlackRB · SFRushing yards
DataPitch 49% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 33.5: -111DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Javonte WilliamsRB · DALRushing yards
DataPitch 44% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 65.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Christian McCaffreyRB · SFRushing yards
DataPitch 38% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 61.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Brock PurdyQB · SFRushing yards
DataPitch 29% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 18.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Dak PrescottQB · DALRushing yards
DataPitch 25% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 9.5: -108DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Brock PurdyQB · SFPassing yards
DataPitch 52% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 253.5: -112DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Dak PrescottQB · DALPassing yards
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 267.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.