We use analytics to see what works.
Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.
Win the Super Bowl+4466DataPitch 2%Market 2% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the conference-1919DataPitch 96%Market 95% · Gap +1pp
Win the division+132DataPitch 38%Market 43% · Gap -5pp
Make the playoffs+112DataPitch 42%Market 47% · Gap -5pp
Expected wins7.9Market 5.9EXCHANGE
Season series
Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.
vs Philadelphia EaglesGap -5pp+184EXCHANGEModel 7.9, you7.9
Players
These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.
Passing yards leaderQB
Dak PrescottDAL+2091DataPitch 6%Market 5%Gap +1pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
Javonte WilliamsDAL+3335 DataPitch 2%Market 3%Gap -1pp
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
CeeDee LambDAL+567 DataPitch 2%Market 15%Gap -13pp
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
George PickensDAL+4012 DataPitch 3%Market 2%Gap +1pp
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Dak PrescottDAL+2247 Market +2247
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.
Sim it yourself
Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.
Force a result
Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.
vs Giants leverage 36pp
vs Commanders leverage 36pp
vs Ravens leverage 36pp
vs Texans leverage 36pp
vs Buccaneers leverage 36pp
vs Packers leverage 36ppvs Eagles leverage 32pp vs Eagles leverage 31pp Advanced: force a playoff path
Cowboys reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.
