Jaguars season simulation and futures prices

Jaguars

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+1564DataPitch 7%Market 6% · Gap +1pp

Do not win the conference-853DataPitch 88%Market 90% · Gap -2pp

Win the division-224DataPitch 72%Market 69% · Gap +3pp

Make the playoffs-429DataPitch 83%Market 81% · Gap +2pp

Expected wins11.1Market 6.9EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Indianapolis ColtsGap +24pp+340EXCHANGE

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB

Trevor LawrenceJAX+6712

DataPitch 3%Market 1%Gap +2pp

Our own projection.

Most Valuable PlayerQB

Trevor LawrenceJAX+1337

Market +1337

The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Win total: 11.1

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Browns leverage 86pp

vs Broncos leverage 86pp

vs Patriots leverage 86pp

vs Bengals leverage 86pp

vs Eagles leverage 86pp

vs Texans leverage 86pp

vs Colts leverage 20pp

vs Colts leverage 18pp

Advanced: force a playoff path

Jaguars reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.