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New York Giants at Houston Texans

Week 7 · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · Market line HOU -10 · total 42.5

Our read on this game

3 of the 23 rows we price on this game are strong tonight, and 2 of them are New York Giants players.

Strongest of themCam SkatteboRB · NYG32+ rushing yards-112consensus market price

Prices taken Wed 21 Oct, 23:43 UK.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 3. Pending 3.

23 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Oddsto

23 players across every market.

Receiving yards9
Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 13+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Kayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceiving yards

DataPitch 84% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +31pp

Under 12.5: -117consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 51.4, median 44
The line
12.5

His last 5, receiving yards

16v JAX2026 week 6
38v TEN2026 week 5
36v DAL2026 week 4
21v IND2026 week 3
37v CIN2026 week 2
Xavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 11+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceiving yards

DataPitch 84% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +31pp

Under 10.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 41.6, median 36
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

10v JAX2026 week 6
65v TEN2026 week 5
46v DAL2026 week 4
51v IND2026 week 3
37v CIN2026 week 2
More players (7)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 10+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYGReceiving yards

DataPitch 64% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +11pp

Under 9.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 20.4, median 15
The line
9.5

His last 5, receiving yards

27v NO2026 week 6
25v WAS2026 week 5
0v ARI2026 week 4
0v TEN2026 week 3
0v LA2026 week 2
Dalton Schultz TE · HOU 29+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Dalton SchultzTE · HOUReceiving yards

DataPitch 54% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +0pp

Under 28.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 36.1, median 31
The line
28.5

His last 5, receiving yards

33v JAX2026 week 6
30v TEN2026 week 5
9v DAL2026 week 4
30v IND2026 week 3
140v CIN2026 week 2
Nico Collins WR · HOU 70+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Nico CollinsWR · HOUReceiving yards

DataPitch 41% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -12pp

Under 69.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 66.4, median 60
The line
69.5

His last 5, receiving yards

74v JAX2026 week 6
56v TEN2026 week 5
118v DAL2026 week 4
75v BUF2026 week 1
21v PIT2025 week 19
Malik Nabers WR · NYG 69+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Malik NabersWR · NYGReceiving yards

DataPitch 17% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -36pp

Under 68.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 39.6, median 33
The line
68.5

His last 5, receiving yards

165v NO2026 week 6
121v WAS2026 week 5
112v ARI2026 week 4
26v TEN2026 week 3
1v LA2026 week 2
Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 50+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGReceiving yards

DataPitch 14% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -40pp

Under 49.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 24.9, median 19
The line
49.5

His last 5, receiving yards

99v NO2026 week 6
94v WAS2026 week 5
66v ARI2026 week 4
13v TEN2026 week 3
33v LA2026 week 2
Cam Skattebo RB · NYG 5+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-21 capture; an older price is not shown

Cam SkatteboRB · NYGReceiving yards

DataPitch 79%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 18.9, median 14
The line
4.5

His last 5, receiving yards

12v WAS2026 week 5
8v ARI2026 week 4
40v TEN2026 week 3
19v LA2026 week 2
0v DAL2026 week 1
Darnell Mooney WR · NYG 11+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-21 capture; an older price is not shown

Darnell MooneyWR · NYGReceiving yards

DataPitch 73%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 30.8, median 25
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v NO2026 week 6
14v WAS2026 week 5
0v ARI2026 week 4
20v TEN2026 week 3
48v LA2026 week 2
Receptions29
Cam Skattebo RB · NYG 2+ receptions+130consensus market price

Cam SkatteboRB · NYGReceptions

DataPitch 62% · Market 44%

Against this price: Gap +18pp

Under 1.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.3, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v WAS2026 week 5
1v ARI2026 week 4
3v TEN2026 week 3
4v LA2026 week 2
0v DAL2026 week 1
Dalton Schultz TE · HOU 4+ receptions+115consensus market price

Dalton SchultzTE · HOUReceptions

DataPitch 52% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap +5pp

Under 3.5: -157consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.9, median 4
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

4v JAX2026 week 6
3v TEN2026 week 5
2v DAL2026 week 4
3v IND2026 week 3
12v CIN2026 week 2
More players (7)
Xavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 2+ receptions+163consensus market price

Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceptions

DataPitch 77% · Market 38%

Against this price: Gap +39pp

Under 1.5: -224consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.1, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v JAX2026 week 6
4v TEN2026 week 5
3v DAL2026 week 4
3v IND2026 week 3
3v CIN2026 week 2
Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 2+ receptions+136consensus market price

Kayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceptions

DataPitch 72% · Market 42%

Against this price: Gap +30pp

Under 1.5: -181consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.8, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v JAX2026 week 6
3v TEN2026 week 5
3v DAL2026 week 4
2v IND2026 week 3
3v CIN2026 week 2
Darnell Mooney WR · NYG 2+ receptions+124consensus market price

Darnell MooneyWR · NYGReceptions

DataPitch 59% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap +14pp

Under 1.5: +100consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.2, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v NO2026 week 6
2v WAS2026 week 5
0v ARI2026 week 4
2v TEN2026 week 3
2v LA2026 week 2
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 2+ receptions-108consensus market price

Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYGReceptions

DataPitch 63% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +11pp

Under 1.5: -120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.4, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v NO2026 week 6
2v WAS2026 week 5
0v ARI2026 week 4
0v TEN2026 week 3
0v LA2026 week 2
Nico Collins WR · HOU 5+ receptions-147consensus market price

Nico CollinsWR · HOUReceptions

DataPitch 45% · Market 60%

Against this price: Gap -15pp

Under 4.5: +110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.5, median 4
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

3v JAX2026 week 6
5v TEN2026 week 5
7v DAL2026 week 4
7v BUF2026 week 1
3v PIT2025 week 19
Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 6+ receptions-105consensus market price

Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGReceptions

DataPitch 7% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap -44pp

Under 5.5: -116consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.5, median 2
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

6v NO2026 week 6
11v WAS2026 week 5
7v ARI2026 week 4
2v TEN2026 week 3
5v LA2026 week 2
Malik Nabers WR · NYG 6+ receptions-128consensus market price

Malik NabersWR · NYGReceptions

DataPitch 8% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap -48pp

Under 5.5: -101consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.7, median 2
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

12v NO2026 week 6
11v WAS2026 week 5
6v ARI2026 week 4
5v TEN2026 week 3
1v LA2026 week 2
Rushing yards14
Cam Skattebo RB · NYG 32+ rushing yards-112consensus market price

Cam SkatteboRB · NYGRushing yards

DataPitch 72% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +19pp

Under 31.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 53.1, median 47
The line
31.5

His last 5, rushing yards

59v WAS2026 week 5
58v ARI2026 week 4
60v TEN2026 week 3
36v LA2026 week 2
81v DAL2026 week 1
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 24+ rushing yards-112consensus market price

Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYGRushing yards

DataPitch 36% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -17pp

Under 23.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 22, median 16
The line
23.5

His last 5, rushing yards

18v NO2026 week 6
6v WAS2026 week 5
-1v ARI2026 week 4
3v TEN2026 week 3
0v LA2026 week 2
More players (2)
C.J. Stroud QB · HOU 10+ rushing yards-113consensus market price

C.J. StroudQB · HOURushing yards

DataPitch 30% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 9.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 9.3, median 3
The line
9.5

His last 5, rushing yards

5v JAX2026 week 6
5v TEN2026 week 5
12v DAL2026 week 4
10v IND2026 week 3
29v CIN2026 week 2
Devin Singletary RB · NYG 10+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-21 capture; an older price is not shown

Devin SingletaryRB · NYGRushing yards

DataPitch 79%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 28.3, median 23
The line
9.5

His last 5, rushing yards

14v NO2026 week 6
9v LA2026 week 2
16v DAL2026 week 1
26v DAL2025 week 18
45v LV2025 week 17
Passing yards1
C.J. Stroud QB · HOU 256+ passing yards-114consensus market price

C.J. StroudQB · HOUPassing yards

DataPitch 38% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -15pp

Under 255.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 239, median 234
The line
255.5

His last 5, passing yards

312v JAX2026 week 6
250v TEN2026 week 5
335v DAL2026 week 4
153v IND2026 week 3
314v CIN2026 week 2

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we like him to go over well beyond what the price says, red means the price likes him more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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