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Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans

Week 7 · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · Market line TEN +1.5 · total 38.5

Our read on this game

2 of the 22 rows we price on this game are strong tonight, and all of them are Cleveland Browns players.

Strongest of themHarold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE31+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Prices taken Wed 21 Oct, 23:43 UK.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 2. Pending 2.

22 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Oddsto

22 players across every market.

Receiving yards18
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 31+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceiving yards

DataPitch 73% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +20pp

Under 30.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 53.7, median 49
The line
30.5

His last 5, receiving yards

9v BAL2026 week 6
4v NYJ2026 week 5
27v PIT2026 week 4
51v CAR2026 week 3
54v TB2026 week 2
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 23+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceiving yards

DataPitch 79% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +25pp

Under 22.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 51.7, median 46
The line
22.5

His last 5, receiving yards

69v BAL2026 week 6
19v NYJ2026 week 5
36v PIT2026 week 4
0v TB2026 week 2
26v JAX2026 week 1
More players (6)
Elic Ayomanor WR · TEN 13+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Elic AyomanorWR · TENReceiving yards

DataPitch 60% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +7pp

Under 12.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 23.6, median 18
The line
12.5

His last 5, receiving yards

3v IND2026 week 6
17v HOU2026 week 5
22v BAL2026 week 4
11v NYG2026 week 3
69v PHI2026 week 2
Gunnar Helm TE · TEN 15+ receiving yards-118consensus market price

Gunnar HelmTE · TENReceiving yards

DataPitch 48% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 14.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 18.5, median 14
The line
14.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v HOU2026 week 5
5v BAL2026 week 4
14v NYG2026 week 3
13v PHI2026 week 2
28v NYJ2026 week 1
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 35+ receiving yards-117consensus market price

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceiving yards

DataPitch 33% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -21pp

Under 34.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 28.3, median 23
The line
34.5

His last 5, receiving yards

22v IND2026 week 6
53v HOU2026 week 5
19v BAL2026 week 4
57v NYG2026 week 3
9v PHI2026 week 2
Calvin Ridley WR · TEN 15+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-21 capture; an older price is not shown

Calvin RidleyWR · TENReceiving yards

DataPitch 60%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 27.3, median 21
The line
14.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v IND2026 week 6
33v HOU2026 week 5
13v BAL2026 week 4
0v NYG2026 week 3
35v PHI2026 week 2
Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 13+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-21 capture; an older price is not shown

Tyjae SpearsRB · TENReceiving yards

DataPitch 51%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 17.8, median 13
The line
12.5

His last 5, receiving yards

7v IND2026 week 6
28v HOU2026 week 5
-1v BAL2026 week 4
0v NYG2026 week 3
29v PHI2026 week 2
Tony Pollard RB · TEN 10+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-21 capture; an older price is not shown

Tony PollardRB · TENReceiving yards

DataPitch 44%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 11.9, median 8
The line
9.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v IND2026 week 6
0v HOU2026 week 5
2v BAL2026 week 4
22v NYG2026 week 3
1v PHI2026 week 2
Receptions19
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 4+ receptions-110consensus market price

Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEReceptions

DataPitch 68% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +16pp

Under 3.5: -120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 5, median 5
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

1v BAL2026 week 6
1v NYJ2026 week 5
3v PIT2026 week 4
7v CAR2026 week 3
5v TB2026 week 2
Chimere Dike WR · TEN 1+ receptions+148consensus market price

Chimere DikeWR · TENReceptions

DataPitch 87% · Market 40%

Against this price: Gap +47pp

Under 0.5: -220consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.4, median 2
The line
0.5

His last 5, receptions

0v IND2026 week 6
3v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
1v NYG2026 week 3
0v PHI2026 week 2
More players (7)
Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 2+ receptions-203consensus market price

Jerry JeudyWR · CLEReceptions

DataPitch 85% · Market 67%

Against this price: Gap +18pp

Under 1.5: +149consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.6, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

4v BAL2026 week 6
3v NYJ2026 week 5
3v PIT2026 week 4
0v TB2026 week 2
2v JAX2026 week 1
Calvin Ridley WR · TEN 2+ receptions+155consensus market price

Calvin RidleyWR · TENReceptions

DataPitch 48% · Market 39%

Against this price: Gap +9pp

Under 1.5: -235consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.7, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v IND2026 week 6
2v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
0v NYG2026 week 3
2v PHI2026 week 2
Elic Ayomanor WR · TEN 2+ receptions+145consensus market price

Elic AyomanorWR · TENReceptions

DataPitch 49% · Market 41%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 1.5: -200consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.8, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v IND2026 week 6
1v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
1v NYG2026 week 3
2v PHI2026 week 2
Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 2+ receptions-195consensus market price

Tyjae SpearsRB · TENReceptions

DataPitch 60% · Market 66%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 1.5: +130consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.3, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v IND2026 week 6
9v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
0v NYG2026 week 3
2v PHI2026 week 2
Gunnar Helm TE · TEN 3+ receptions+133consensus market price

Gunnar HelmTE · TENReceptions

DataPitch 32% · Market 43%

Against this price: Gap -11pp

Under 2.5: -177consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

0v HOU2026 week 5
1v BAL2026 week 4
2v NYG2026 week 3
2v PHI2026 week 2
4v NYJ2026 week 1
Tony Pollard RB · TEN 2+ receptions-122consensus market price

Tony PollardRB · TENReceptions

DataPitch 42% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 1.5: -109consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.5, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v IND2026 week 6
0v HOU2026 week 5
2v BAL2026 week 4
4v NYG2026 week 3
1v PHI2026 week 2
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 5+ receptions+125consensus market price

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TENReceptions

DataPitch 12% · Market 44%

Against this price: Gap -32pp

Under 4.5: -165consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.3, median 2
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

3v IND2026 week 6
6v HOU2026 week 5
3v BAL2026 week 4
7v NYG2026 week 3
1v PHI2026 week 2
Rushing yards4
Tony Pollard RB · TEN 66+ rushing yards-115consensus market price

Tony PollardRB · TENRushing yards

DataPitch 56% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 65.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 77, median 71
The line
65.5

His last 5, rushing yards

76v IND2026 week 6
52v HOU2026 week 5
48v BAL2026 week 4
74v NYG2026 week 3
64v PHI2026 week 2
Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 12+ rushing yards-108consensus market price

Tyjae SpearsRB · TENRushing yards

DataPitch 42% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -10pp

Under 11.5: -108consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 14.5, median 9
The line
11.5

His last 5, rushing yards

1v IND2026 week 6
0v HOU2026 week 5
7v BAL2026 week 4
5v NYG2026 week 3
41v PHI2026 week 2
More players (2)
Cam Ward QB · TEN 10+ rushing yards-118consensus market price

Cam WardQB · TENRushing yards

DataPitch 35% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 9.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 10.5, median 5
The line
9.5

His last 5, rushing yards

7v IND2026 week 6
2v HOU2026 week 5
27v BAL2026 week 4
2v NYG2026 week 3
7v PHI2026 week 2
Deshaun Watson QB · CLE 30+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Deshaun WatsonQB · CLERushing yards

DataPitch 24% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -29pp

Under 29.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 19.3, median 13
The line
29.5

His last 5, rushing yards

29v BAL2026 week 6
40v NYJ2026 week 5
22v PIT2026 week 4
45v CAR2026 week 3
22v TB2026 week 2
Passing yards1
Cam Ward QB · TEN 188+ passing yards-114consensus market price

Cam WardQB · TENPassing yards

DataPitch 41% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -12pp

Under 187.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 177.6, median 172
The line
187.5

His last 5, passing yards

102v IND2026 week 6
130v HOU2026 week 5
214v BAL2026 week 4
181v NYG2026 week 3
169v PHI2026 week 2

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we like him to go over well beyond what the price says, red means the price likes him more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

Around this game

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