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Your model for Romania v Poland

UEFA Nations League · Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

147 players across every market.

Fouls committed16
Matthew CashRB · #2-1pp
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14-3pp
More players (14)
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23-4pp
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16-4pp
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4-5pp
Lisav EissatLB · #5-7pp
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3-7pp
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21-7pp
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9-8pp
Dennis ManLS · #20-9pp
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22-10pp
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11-10pp
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8-11pp
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6-13pp
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20-16pp
Andrei RațiuRB · #2-27pp
Fouls drawn116
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4+17pp
Andrei RațiuRB · #2-1pp
More players (14)
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23-6pp
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22-7pp
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3-8pp
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14-8pp
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8-9pp
Lisav EissatLB · #5-9pp
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16-12pp
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21-13pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-17pp
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9-19pp
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11-20pp
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20-25pp
Dennis ManLS · #20-28pp
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6-28pp
Tackles116
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4+5pp
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9+14pp
More players (14)
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3-4pp
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6-7pp
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23-7pp
Lisav EissatLB · #5-9pp
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8-13pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-19pp
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14-20pp
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11-21pp
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22-22pp
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20-24pp
Andrei RațiuRB · #2-25pp
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16-26pp
Dennis ManLS · #20-26pp
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21-30pp
Shots16
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16+16pp
Lisav EissatLB · #5+9pp
More players (14)
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6+6pp
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8+2pp
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11-1pp
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9-2pp
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20-3pp
Dennis ManLS · #20-3pp
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14-6pp
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21-7pp
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3-9pp
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22-12pp
Andrei RațiuRB · #2-15pp
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23-17pp
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4-17pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-26pp
Shots on target16
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14+9pp
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4+7pp
More players (14)
Lisav EissatLB · #5+5pp
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23+2pp
Andrei RațiuRB · #2+2pp
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3+0pp
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22-5pp
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21-6pp
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16-6pp
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6-6pp
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8-7pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-7pp
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20-13pp
Dennis ManLS · #20-13pp
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11-16pp
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9-31pp
To be booked118

The books expect about 5 cards.

Matthew CashRB · #2+9pp
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21+0pp
More players (16)
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23-1pp
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3-1pp
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6-3pp
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4-3pp
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9-3pp
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16-4pp
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14-4pp
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11-4pp
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8-5pp
Andrei RațiuRB · #2-9pp
Dennis ManLS · #20-9pp
Bartłomiej DrągowskiGK · #22-9pp
Florinel ComanRS · #7-10pp
Ianis HagiCAM · #14-11pp
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20-11pp
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22-16pp
Offsides7
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9
Dennis ManLS · #20
More players (5)
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11
Florinel ComanRS · #7
Marcel RegułaRM · #18
Ianis HagiCAM · #14
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21
Headed shot on target20
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23+8pp
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14+7pp
More players (18)
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3+5pp
Andrei RațiuRB · #2+0pp
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4-1pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-2pp
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6-3pp
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8-3pp
Ianis HagiCAM · #14-6pp
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22-6pp
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11-8pp
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16-9pp
Dennis ManLS · #20-10pp
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21-11pp
Florinel ComanRS · #7-14pp
Marcel RegułaRM · #18-14pp
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20-20pp
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9-36pp
Bartłomiej DrągowskiGK · #22
Ottó HindrichGK · #12
Shot on target from outside the box122
O. KubiakLB · #5+6pp
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14+11pp
More players (20)
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8+9pp
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22+8pp
Andrei RațiuRB · #2+4pp
Lisav EissatLB · #5+4pp
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3+2pp
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11+1pp
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6+1pp
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23+0pp
Florinel ComanRS · #7-1pp
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16-3pp
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4-3pp
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9-4pp
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20-6pp
Ianis HagiCAM · #14-9pp
Marcel RegułaRM · #18-9pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-11pp
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21-11pp
Dennis ManLS · #20-15pp
Ottó HindrichGK · #12
Bartłomiej DrągowskiGK · #22
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Romania
Poland

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Sebastian Gishamer will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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