v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Sebastian Gishamer runs average on cards, and the 4 rows we would back lean evenly between the two sides.
147 players across every market.
Matthew CashRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 70% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
price too short
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
price too short
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 71% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.28 to 1.20 Bet365.
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lisav EissatLB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.57 to 1.44 Bet365.
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.48 to 1.50 Ladbrokes.
Dennis ManLS · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.48 to 1.40 Ladbrokes.
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.35 to 1.33 Ladbrokes.
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 45% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Andrei RațiuRB · #2-27ppAndrei RațiuRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 41% · Market 68%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.57 to 1.48 Ladbrokes.
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Andrei RațiuRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
price too short
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 39% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 50% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
Lisav EissatLB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 75% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
Matthew CashRB · #2-17ppMatthew CashRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 50% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.44 to 1.50 Paddy Power.
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
Dennis ManLS · #20-28ppDennis ManLS · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
price too long
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6Tackles
DataPitch 58% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lisav EissatLB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Matthew CashRB · #2-19ppMatthew CashRB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 50% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 2.20 to 1.91 Bet365.
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11Tackles
DataPitch 17% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Andrei RațiuRB · #2-25ppAndrei RațiuRB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 52% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16Tackles
DataPitch 47% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
Dennis ManLS · #20-26ppDennis ManLS · #20Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16Shots
DataPitch 96% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.25 to 1.18 Bet365.
Lisav EissatLB · #5Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6Shots
DataPitch 73% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 82% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.05 to 1.06 Ladbrokes.
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9Shots
DataPitch 97% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20Shots
DataPitch 87% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.07 to 1.11 Ladbrokes.
Dennis ManLS · #20Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14Shots
DataPitch 50% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.00 to 1.80 Bet365.
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21Shots
DataPitch 81% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.14 to 1.13 Ladbrokes.
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 22% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 3.00 to 3.20 Ladbrokes.
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22Shots
DataPitch 63% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.29 to 1.33 Ladbrokes.
Andrei RațiuRB · #2-15ppAndrei RațiuRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.73 to 1.80 Ladbrokes.
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.00 to 1.83 Ladbrokes.
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Matthew CashRB · #2-26ppMatthew CashRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.22 to 1.30 Ladbrokes.
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 5.00 to 5.50 Ladbrokes.
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lisav EissatLB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 4.40 to 5.00 Ladbrokes.
Andrei RațiuRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 4.33 to 5.50 Bet365.
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 7.50 to 8.00 Ladbrokes.
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 30%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 3.10 to 3.30 Ladbrokes.
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.25 to 2.50 Ladbrokes.
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.37 to 2.62 Ladbrokes.
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Matthew CashRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.70 to 3.00 Ladbrokes.
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.80 to 1.95 Ladbrokes.
Dennis ManLS · #20-13ppDennis ManLS · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.88 to 1.95 Unibet.
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 45% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.70 to 1.65 Ladbrokes.
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 51% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.18 to 1.22 Ladbrokes.
The books expect about 5 cards.
Matthew CashRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 31% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Drifted since this morning: 4.40 to 4.50 Ladbrokes.
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 19%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 4.75 to 5.25 Ladbrokes.
The numbers turned against it since this morning.
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 4.00 to 4.20 Paddy Power.
It was on our board this morning and is not now: the numbers turned against it.
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 19%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 4.50 to 5.25 Ladbrokes.
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 26%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 4.80 to 6.00 Ladbrokes.
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 5.00 to 5.50 Paddy Power.
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 5.00 to 5.50 Paddy Power.
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Andrei RațiuRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 4.75 to 4.80 Ladbrokes.
Dennis ManLS · #20To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Bartłomiej DrągowskiGK · #22To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 12.00 to 11.00 Ladbrokes.
Florinel ComanRS · #7To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Ianis HagiCAM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 4.20 to 4.00 Ladbrokes.
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 5.00 to 5.50 Ladbrokes.
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 3.70 to 4.00 Ladbrokes.
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9Offsides
DataPitch 39%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dennis ManLS · #20Offsides
DataPitch 32%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11Offsides
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Florinel ComanRS · #7Offsides
DataPitch 22%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marcel RegułaRM · #18Offsides
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ianis HagiCAM · #14Offsides
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21Offsides
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
centre back, wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 188cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side; held at his shot on target number
Shortened since this morning: 9.00 to 7.00 Bet365.
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
centre back, level in the air (189cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 9.00 to 7.00 Bet365.
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
centre back, level in the air (191cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side; held at his shot on target number
Drifted since this morning: 11.00 to 13.00 Bet365.
Andrei RațiuRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
full back, gives up height in the air (183cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 21.00 to 23.00 Bet365.
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
centre back, level in the air (189cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
Matthew CashRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
full back, gives up height in the air (185cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 13.00 to 11.00 Bet365.
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (192cm over a 190cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
Ianis HagiCAM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (182cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 10.00 to 11.00 Bet365.
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 11.00 to 13.00 Bet365.
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (184cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 7.00 to 6.50 Bet365.
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
level in the air (187cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 7.00 to 6.00 Bet365.
Dennis ManLS · #20-10ppDennis ManLS · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
striker, gives up height in the air (183cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 5.50 to 6.00 Bet365.
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (164cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 9.00 to 7.00 Bet365.
Florinel ComanRS · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
striker, gives up height in the air (182cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 3.5 corners for his side
Marcel RegułaRM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
gives up height in the air (174cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 4.50 to 4.33 Bet365.
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
striker, gives up height in the air (185cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 2.20 to 2.00 Bet365.
Bartłomiej DrągowskiGK · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ottó HindrichGK · #12Ottó HindrichGK · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
O. KubiakLB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 37% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 5 logged matches
Jakub KiwiorLCB · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
Alexandru CicâldăuRCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 20% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 7 logged matches
Vlad DragomirLCM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 6 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 7.00 to 8.00 Bet365.
Andrei RațiuRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 11 logged matches
Lisav EissatLB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
Radu DrăgușinRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 14 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 34.00 to 41.00 Bet365.
Karol ŚwiderskiRS · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 3 logged matches
Tudor BăluţăCDM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 7 logged matches
Kacper PotulskiRCB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 13 logged matches
Florinel ComanRS · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
2.1 shots per 90 overall; no minute log on him from range yet
Wiktor NowakRCM · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 8 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 9.00 to 7.00 Bet365.
Andrei CoubișLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
Robert LewandowskiLS · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 5.50 to 5.00 Bet365.
Sebastian SzymańskiLCM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 27% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 15 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 3.25 to 3.00 Bet365.
Ianis HagiCAM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 12 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 4.00 to 4.50 Bet365.
Marcel RegułaRM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 3 logged matches
Matthew CashRB · #2-11ppMatthew CashRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 6.00 to 4.50 Bet365.
Nicola ZalewskiLM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 5.50 to 4.50 Bet365.
Dennis ManLS · #20-15ppDennis ManLS · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 5.50 to 6.00 Bet365.
Ottó HindrichGK · #12Ottó HindrichGK · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bartłomiej DrągowskiGK · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 0%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Sebastian Gishamer will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 118 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.78/match · Away 2.31/match
4.23/match in tight games · 3.75/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.