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Your model for Norway v Wales

UEFA Nations League · Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

167 players across every market.

Fouls committed20
Joseph RodonRCB · #6+3pp
Oscar BobbRM · #22+0pp
More players (18)
Daniel JamesRM · #20-1pp
Thelo AasgaardLCM · #19-6pp
David Møller WolfeLB · #5-6pp
Julian RyersonRB · #14-7pp
Torbjørn HeggemLCB · #17-7pp
Brennan JohnsonLM · #11-7pp
Kristoffer AjerRCB · #3-8pp
Jay DasilvaLB · #15-9pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #4-13pp
Sander BergeDM · #8-13pp
Liam CullenLCM · #10-14pp
Neco WilliamsRB · #3-15pp
Harry WilsonRS · #8-16pp
Antonio NusaLM · #20-17pp
Lewis KoumasLS · #9-19pp
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10-19pp
Ethan AmpaduRCM · #5-21pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-21pp
Fouls drawn20
Liam CullenLCM · #10+3pp
Ethan AmpaduRCM · #5-7pp
More players (18)
Joseph RodonRCB · #6-12pp
Neco WilliamsRB · #3-14pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #4-14pp
Torbjørn HeggemLCB · #17-15pp
Kristoffer AjerRCB · #3-16pp
Brennan JohnsonLM · #11-20pp
Jay DasilvaLB · #15-20pp
Daniel JamesRM · #20-23pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-23pp
Thelo AasgaardLCM · #19-24pp
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10-24pp
Julian RyersonRB · #14-24pp
Sander BergeDM · #8-24pp
David Møller WolfeLB · #5-26pp
Antonio NusaLM · #20-29pp
Lewis KoumasLS · #9-29pp
Oscar BobbRM · #22-41pp
Harry WilsonRS · #8-44pp
Tackles20
Harry WilsonRS · #8+4pp
Thelo AasgaardLCM · #19+0pp
More players (18)
Kristoffer AjerRCB · #3+0pp
Oscar BobbRM · #22+0pp
Brennan JohnsonLM · #11-4pp
Joseph RodonRCB · #6-4pp
Liam CullenLCM · #10-4pp
Antonio NusaLM · #20-5pp
Sander BergeDM · #8-6pp
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10-6pp
Torbjørn HeggemLCB · #17-9pp
Daniel JamesRM · #20-10pp
David Møller WolfeLB · #5-11pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-12pp
Ethan AmpaduRCM · #5-14pp
Lewis KoumasLS · #9-15pp
Julian RyersonRB · #14-17pp
Jay DasilvaLB · #15-24pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #4-34pp
Neco WilliamsRB · #3-39pp
Shots20
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #4+8pp
Erling HaalandST · #9+2pp
More players (18)
Antonio NusaLM · #20+1pp
Brennan JohnsonLM · #11-5pp
Daniel JamesRM · #20-6pp
Jay DasilvaLB · #15-7pp
Thelo AasgaardLCM · #19-8pp
Ethan AmpaduRCM · #5-8pp
Neco WilliamsRB · #3-10pp
Joseph RodonRCB · #6-10pp
Oscar BobbRM · #22-11pp
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10-11pp
Lewis KoumasLS · #9-12pp
Kristoffer AjerRCB · #3-15pp
Liam CullenLCM · #10-17pp
Harry WilsonRS · #8-19pp
David Møller WolfeLB · #5-24pp
Julian RyersonRB · #14-26pp
Torbjørn HeggemLCB · #17-28pp
Sander BergeDM · #8-34pp
Shots on target20
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #4+9pp
Jay DasilvaLB · #15+7pp
More players (18)
Ethan AmpaduRCM · #5+5pp
Joseph RodonRCB · #6+4pp
Kristoffer AjerRCB · #3+1pp
Neco WilliamsRB · #3+0pp
Daniel JamesRM · #20-4pp
Sander BergeDM · #8-5pp
Torbjørn HeggemLCB · #17-6pp
Liam CullenLCM · #10-8pp
David Møller WolfeLB · #5-8pp
Lewis KoumasLS · #9-11pp
Julian RyersonRB · #14-11pp
Thelo AasgaardLCM · #19-15pp
Harry WilsonRS · #8-16pp
Brennan JohnsonLM · #11-16pp
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10-18pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-19pp
Oscar BobbRM · #22-24pp
Antonio NusaLM · #20-29pp
To be booked18

The books expect about 4 cards.

Ethan AmpaduRCM · #5+4pp
Julian RyersonRB · #14+2pp
More players (16)
Daniel JamesRM · #20-1pp
Sander BergeDM · #8-1pp
Torbjørn HeggemLCB · #17-1pp
Kristoffer AjerRCB · #3-2pp
David Møller WolfeLB · #5-3pp
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10-3pp
Thelo AasgaardLCM · #19-3pp
Antonio NusaLM · #20-3pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-3pp
Neco WilliamsRB · #3-5pp
Brennan JohnsonLM · #11-5pp
Oscar BobbRM · #22-7pp
Harry WilsonRS · #8-8pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #4-10pp
Liam CullenLCM · #10-10pp
Joseph RodonRCB · #6-10pp
Offsides8
Erling HaalandST · #9-3pp
Lewis KoumasLS · #9-7pp
More players (6)
Daniel JamesRM · #20-10pp
Oscar BobbRM · #22-11pp
Antonio NusaLM · #20-13pp
Brennan JohnsonLM · #11-14pp
Liam CullenLCM · #10
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10
Headed shot on target19
Sander BergeDM · #8+12pp
Kristoffer AjerRCB · #3+10pp
More players (17)
Julian RyersonRB · #14+5pp
Joseph RodonRCB · #6+4pp
Neco WilliamsRB · #3+0pp
Brennan JohnsonLM · #11-2pp
Jay DasilvaLB · #15-3pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #4-4pp
Daniel JamesRM · #20-4pp
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10-5pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-6pp
Ethan AmpaduRCM · #5-6pp
Harry WilsonRS · #8-6pp
Antonio NusaLM · #20-7pp
Oscar BobbRM · #22-9pp
Liam CullenLCM · #10-11pp
Thelo AasgaardLCM · #19-33pp
Egil SelvikGK · #13
Karl DarlowGK · #1
Shot on target from outside the box22
Ethan AmpaduRCM · #5+4pp
Neco WilliamsRB · #3+2pp
More players (20)
David Møller WolfeLB · #5-1pp
Kristoffer AjerRCB · #3-1pp
Torbjørn HeggemLCB · #17-2pp
Joseph RodonRCB · #6-2pp
Jay DasilvaLB · #15-4pp
Sander BergeDM · #8-6pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #4-7pp
Liam CullenLCM · #10-8pp
Julian RyersonRB · #14-8pp
Thelo AasgaardLCM · #19-10pp
Oscar BobbRM · #22-10pp
Daniel JamesRM · #20-10pp
Brennan JohnsonLM · #11-13pp
Lewis KoumasLS · #9-14pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-19pp
Martin ØdegaardRCM · #10-20pp
Antonio NusaLM · #20-21pp
Harry WilsonRS · #8-28pp
Egil SelvikGK · #13
Karl DarlowGK · #1
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Norway
Wales

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Oleksiy Derevinskiy will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

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We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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