v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Rade Obrenovic runs average on cards, and 1 of the 1 rows we would back are Denmark's.
162 players across every market.
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.55 to 1.57 Ladbrokes.
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.80 to 1.75 Ladbrokes.
Alexander BahRB · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 70% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.53 to 1.55 Ladbrokes.
Rúben NevesRDM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 68%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.44 to 1.48 Ladbrokes.
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.57 to 1.67 Ladbrokes.
Gonçalo RamosST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.40 to 1.36 Ladbrokes.
Bruno FernandesLM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
Joakim MæhleLB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 43% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Renato VeigaLCB · #13Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.44 to 1.40 Ladbrokes.
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 63%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
VitinhaLDM · #23-11ppVitinhaLDM · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.73 to 1.67 Ladbrokes.
João FélixCAM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 68%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.44 to 1.48 Ladbrokes.
Pedro NetoRM · #17-16ppPedro NetoRM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 76%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.40 to 1.32 Unibet.
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Diogo DalotLB · #2-17ppDiogo DalotLB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.50 to 1.30 Ladbrokes.
Gonçalo RamosST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Rúben NevesRDM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Diogo DalotLB · #2-10ppDiogo DalotLB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Alexander BahRB · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Renato VeigaLCB · #13Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Pedro NetoRM · #17-18ppPedro NetoRM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 1.73 to 1.80 Paddy Power.
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
Joakim MæhleLB · #5-21ppJoakim MæhleLB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
VitinhaLDM · #23-24ppVitinhaLDM · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 31% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
Bruno FernandesLM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
João FélixCAM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 56% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
João FélixCAM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 48% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Shortened since this morning: 3.00 to 2.80 Ladbrokes.
Gonçalo RamosST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 26%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 4.00 to 3.90 Ladbrokes.
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 2.80 to 2.63 Bet365.
Pedro NetoRM · #17Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 2.75 to 2.63 Bet365.
Diogo DalotLB · #2-10ppDiogo DalotLB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Shortened since this morning: 1.83 to 1.70 Ladbrokes.
Alexander BahRB · #18Tackles
DataPitch 53% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
VitinhaLDM · #23-12ppVitinhaLDM · #23Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 2.30 to 2.25 Bet365.
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 20% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Renato VeigaLCB · #13Tackles
DataPitch 24% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 2.60 to 2.50 Bet365.
Rúben NevesRDM · #21Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Joakim MæhleLB · #5-20ppJoakim MæhleLB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 51% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Bruno FernandesLM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 1.95 to 1.80 Bet365.
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14Tackles
DataPitch 44% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
Alexander BahRB · #18Shots
DataPitch 75% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap +35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21Shots
DataPitch 71% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8Shots
DataPitch 95% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.13 to 1.11 Paddy Power.
Joakim MæhleLB · #5Shots
DataPitch 60% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.79 to 1.80 Ladbrokes.
Bruno FernandesLM · #8Shots
DataPitch 96% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Rúben NevesRDM · #21Shots
DataPitch 79% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Diogo DalotLB · #2Shots
DataPitch 55% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.90 to 1.85 Unibet.
João FélixCAM · #11Shots
DataPitch 95% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.11 to 1.08 Paddy Power.
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.60 to 2.62 Ladbrokes.
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.60 to 2.75 Ladbrokes.
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14Shots
DataPitch 76% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Gonçalo RamosST · #9Shots
DataPitch 90% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Pedro NetoRM · #17Shots
DataPitch 79% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-15ppRúben DiasRCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 29% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23Shots
DataPitch 49% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
VitinhaLDM · #23-31ppVitinhaLDM · #23Shots
DataPitch 49% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Renato VeigaLCB · #13Shots
DataPitch 18% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.00 to 1.95 Unibet.
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 6.50 to 7.00 Paddy Power.
Alexander BahRB · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Rúben NevesRDM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 30%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 5.80 to 5.00 Unibet.
Diogo DalotLB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 4.10 to 4.00 Ladbrokes.
Joakim MæhleLB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
VitinhaLDM · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 3.20 to 2.85 Unibet.
Renato VeigaLCB · #13Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 5.75 to 6.00 Ladbrokes.
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 52% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.85 to 1.75 Ladbrokes.
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 3.60 to 3.50 Bet365.
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 31% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Pedro NetoRM · #17-14ppPedro NetoRM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.98 to 1.91 Ladbrokes.
João FélixCAM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 54% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.30 to 1.33 Ladbrokes.
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 50% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.73 to 1.40 Bet365.
Bruno FernandesLM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 48% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.50 to 1.44 Unibet.
Gonçalo RamosST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.20 to 1.25 Bet365.
The books expect about 3.5 cards.
Gonçalo RamosST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
The numbers turned against it since this morning.
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 5.25 to 5.50 Ladbrokes.
The numbers turned against it since this morning.
VitinhaLDM · #23To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Renato VeigaLCB · #13To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Alexander BahRB · #18To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
not in the expected eleven
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 4.33 to 4.50 Paddy Power.
Rúben NevesRDM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Bruno FernandesLM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 5.50 to 4.80 Ladbrokes.
Diogo DalotLB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 5.75 to 4.75 Bet365.
Rúben DiasRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 5.00 to 4.80 Ladbrokes.
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
not in the expected eleven
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 5% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 7.00 to 7.50 Ladbrokes.
Diogo CostaGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 3.40 to 3.50 Ladbrokes.
Alberto BaioRB · #20To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
not in the expected eleven
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 4.50 to 4.33 Paddy Power.
Pedro NetoRM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Joakim MæhleLB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 5.75 to 5.50 Ladbrokes.
Mohamed DaramyLM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 5% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
João FélixCAM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9Offsides
DataPitch 62% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Mohamed DaramyLM · #20Offsides
DataPitch 39% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Pedro NetoRM · #17Offsides
DataPitch 18% · Market 26%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Shortened since this morning: 4.20 to 3.80 Ladbrokes.
Gonçalo RamosST · #9Offsides
DataPitch 33% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Shortened since this morning: 2.87 to 2.37 Ladbrokes.
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8Offsides
DataPitch 18% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
João FélixCAM · #11Offsides
DataPitch 12% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Shortened since this morning: 2.80 to 2.40 Ladbrokes.
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14Offsides
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno FernandesLM · #8Offsides
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
centre back, wins headers against a smaller marker (192cm over a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
centre back, level in the air (187cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
centre back, wins headers against a smaller marker (192cm over a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Diogo DalotLB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
full back, gives up height in the air (183cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 17.00 to 19.00 Bet365.
Renato VeigaLCB · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
centre back, level in the air (188cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side; held at his shot on target number
Joakim MæhleLB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
full back, level in the air (185cm against a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Rúben NevesRDM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Alexander BahRB · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
full back, gives up height in the air (183cm against a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
level in the air (187cm against a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
VitinhaLDM · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (172cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Pedro NetoRM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (172cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Mohamed DaramyLM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (180cm against a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 11.00 to 10.00 Bet365.
Bruno FernandesLM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (179cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
level in the air (185cm against a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 13.00 to 8.00 Bet365.
João FélixCAM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
gives up height in the air (181cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Gonçalo RamosST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
striker, gives up height in the air (185cm against a 188cm back line); the book expects 6.0 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 3.40 to 3.50 Bet365.
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (178cm against a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
striker, level in the air (185cm against a 186cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Shortened since this morning: 6.00 to 4.33 Bet365.
Alberto BaioRB · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Diogo CostaGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mads HermansenGK · #16Mads HermansenGK · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gonçalo RamosST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 26% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 15 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 6.00 to 6.50 Bet365.
VitinhaLDM · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 32% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 15 logged matches; held at his shot on target number
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 13.00 to 12.00 Unibet.
Joakim MæhleLB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 4 logged matches
Renato VeigaLCB · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
Mohamed DaramyLM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 2 logged matches
Diogo DalotLB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 10.00 to 11.00 Bet365.
Pedro NetoRM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 14 logged matches
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
no shots from outside the box in the 14 matches we have logged
Alexander BahRB · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 12 logged matches
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 13 logged matches
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 13.00 to 8.00 Bet365.
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 13 logged matches
Bruno FernandesLM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 48% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
shoots from range 1.4 times a game across 15 logged matches; held at his shot on target number
Drifted since this morning: 1.67 to 1.73 Bet365.
Rúben NevesRDM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 7 logged matches
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 13 logged matches
João FélixCAM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 20% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 7 logged matches
Alberto BaioRB · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Diogo CostaGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mads HermansenGK · #16Mads HermansenGK · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Rade Obrenovic will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 73 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.99/match · Away 2.04/match
4.97/match in tight games · 3.57/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.