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Your model for Portugal v Denmark

UEFA Nations League · Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

162 players across every market.

Fouls committed18
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-4pp
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3-4pp
More players (16)
Alexander BahRB · #18-5pp
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8-5pp
Rúben NevesRDM · #21-5pp
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23-6pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9-6pp
Gonçalo RamosST · #9-7pp
Bruno FernandesLM · #8-8pp
Joakim MæhleLB · #5-9pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #13-10pp
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21-10pp
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14-10pp
VitinhaLDM · #23-11pp
João FélixCAM · #11-15pp
Pedro NetoRM · #17-16pp
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2-17pp
Diogo DalotLB · #2-17pp
Fouls drawn18
Gonçalo RamosST · #9-7pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-7pp
More players (16)
Rúben NevesRDM · #21-9pp
Diogo DalotLB · #2-10pp
Alexander BahRB · #18-14pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #13-16pp
Pedro NetoRM · #17-18pp
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2-18pp
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23-19pp
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21-21pp
Joakim MæhleLB · #5-21pp
VitinhaLDM · #23-24pp
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3-25pp
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14-26pp
Bruno FernandesLM · #8-27pp
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8-30pp
João FélixCAM · #11-30pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9-32pp
Tackles17
João FélixCAM · #11+12pp
Gonçalo RamosST · #9+6pp
More players (15)
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2+0pp
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3-5pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-6pp
Pedro NetoRM · #17-6pp
Diogo DalotLB · #2-10pp
Alexander BahRB · #18-12pp
VitinhaLDM · #23-12pp
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8-13pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #13-16pp
Rúben NevesRDM · #21-19pp
Joakim MæhleLB · #5-20pp
Bruno FernandesLM · #8-21pp
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21-23pp
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14-27pp
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23-34pp
Shots18
Alexander BahRB · #18+35pp
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21+13pp
More players (16)
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8+5pp
Joakim MæhleLB · #5+4pp
Bruno FernandesLM · #8+2pp
Rúben NevesRDM · #21+1pp
Diogo DalotLB · #2+1pp
João FélixCAM · #11+0pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9+0pp
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3-2pp
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2-3pp
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14-4pp
Gonçalo RamosST · #9-8pp
Pedro NetoRM · #17-9pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-15pp
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23-16pp
VitinhaLDM · #23-31pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #13-33pp
Shots on target18
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2+10pp
Alexander BahRB · #18+9pp
More players (16)
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3+7pp
Rúben NevesRDM · #21+4pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+2pp
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21+0pp
Diogo DalotLB · #2-1pp
Joakim MæhleLB · #5-2pp
VitinhaLDM · #23-3pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #13-4pp
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8-5pp
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23-6pp
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14-9pp
Pedro NetoRM · #17-14pp
João FélixCAM · #11-21pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9-21pp
Bruno FernandesLM · #8-21pp
Gonçalo RamosST · #9-37pp
To be booked21

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Gonçalo RamosST · #9+0pp
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3-2pp
More players (19)
VitinhaLDM · #23-4pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #13-5pp
Alexander BahRB · #18-6pp
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2-6pp
Rúben NevesRDM · #21-6pp
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8-6pp
Bruno FernandesLM · #8-7pp
Diogo DalotLB · #2-8pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-8pp
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14-8pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9-8pp
Diogo CostaGK · #1-8pp
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21-9pp
Alberto BaioRB · #20-9pp
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23-9pp
Pedro NetoRM · #17-9pp
Joakim MæhleLB · #5-9pp
Mohamed DaramyLM · #20-9pp
João FélixCAM · #11-11pp
Offsides18
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9+11pp
Mohamed DaramyLM · #20-4pp
More players (6)
Pedro NetoRM · #17-8pp
Gonçalo RamosST · #9-9pp
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8-9pp
João FélixCAM · #11-30pp
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14
Bruno FernandesLM · #8
Headed shot on target22
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2+5pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+4pp
More players (20)
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3+3pp
Diogo DalotLB · #2+2pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #13+0pp
Joakim MæhleLB · #5-1pp
Rúben NevesRDM · #21-1pp
Alexander BahRB · #18-1pp
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14-2pp
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23-3pp
VitinhaLDM · #23-3pp
Pedro NetoRM · #17-6pp
Mohamed DaramyLM · #20-7pp
Bruno FernandesLM · #8-9pp
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21-9pp
João FélixCAM · #11-10pp
Gonçalo RamosST · #9-12pp
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8-12pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9-14pp
Alberto BaioRB · #20
Diogo CostaGK · #1
Mads HermansenGK · #16
Shot on target from outside the box22
Gonçalo RamosST · #9+11pp
VitinhaLDM · #23+3pp
More players (20)
Rasmus HøjlundST · #9+3pp
Joakim MæhleLB · #5+2pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #13+2pp
Mohamed DaramyLM · #20+1pp
Diogo DalotLB · #2-1pp
Pedro NetoRM · #17-2pp
Oliver ProvstgaardLCB · #3-2pp
Joachim AndersenRCB · #2-2pp
Alexander BahRB · #18-3pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-3pp
Pierre-Emile HøjbjergLDM · #23-4pp
Morten HjulmandRDM · #21-5pp
Gustav IsaksenRM · #8-8pp
Bruno FernandesLM · #8-10pp
Rúben NevesRDM · #21-11pp
Mikkel DamsgaardCAM · #14-13pp
João FélixCAM · #11-24pp
Alberto BaioRB · #20
Diogo CostaGK · #1
Mads HermansenGK · #16
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Portugal
Denmark

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Rade Obrenovic will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

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