v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Irfan Peljto runs average on cards, and 2 of the 2 rows we would back are Austria's.
159 players across every market.
Finn AzazLCM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Philipp LienhartRCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.80 to 1.75 Ladbrokes.
Dara O'SheaRCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Adam IdahLS · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 1.70 to 1.67 Ladbrokes.
Ryan ManningLM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.60 to 1.57 Ladbrokes.
Kevin DansoLCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
Liam ScalesLCB · #3-11ppLiam ScalesLCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Nicolas SeiwaldLDM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.61 to 1.53 Ladbrokes.
Nathan CollinsCB · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
Troy ParrottRS · #7-13ppTroy ParrottRS · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.60 to 1.53 Bet365.
Christoph BaumgartnerCAM · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 71% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Konrad LaimerRDM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 71% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.17 to 1.14 Ladbrokes.
Stefan PoschRB · #5-17ppStefan PoschRB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.28 to 1.25 Ladbrokes.
Christoph LangLM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Jayson MolumbyCM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Phillipp MweneLB · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Michael GregoritschST · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 42% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.65 to 1.57 Ladbrokes.
James AbankwahRM · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Jack MoylanRCM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Romano SchmidRM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
Shortened since this morning: 1.33 to 1.30 Ladbrokes.
Nathan CollinsCB · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 50% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Liam ScalesLCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Philipp LienhartRCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
James AbankwahRM · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
Nicolas SeiwaldLDM · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Christoph LangLM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
Kevin DansoLCB · #3-15ppKevin DansoLCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
Jayson MolumbyCM · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Dara O'SheaRCB · #4-18ppDara O'SheaRCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Troy ParrottRS · #7-19ppTroy ParrottRS · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Stefan PoschRB · #5-19ppStefan PoschRB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 50% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Jack MoylanRCM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Ryan ManningLM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
Konrad LaimerRDM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Finn AzazLCM · #11-24ppFinn AzazLCM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Romano SchmidRM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Phillipp MweneLB · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
Adam IdahLS · #10-29ppAdam IdahLS · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
Christoph BaumgartnerCAM · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
Michael GregoritschST · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
Finn AzazLCM · #11+10ppFinn AzazLCM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
price too long
Michael GregoritschST · #11Tackles
DataPitch 25% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
price too long
Nathan CollinsCB · #22Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Christoph LangLM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Philipp LienhartRCB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Kevin DansoLCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Troy ParrottRS · #7Tackles
DataPitch 25% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Jayson MolumbyCM · #6Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Romano SchmidRM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 2.38 to 2.10 Bet365.
Jack MoylanRCM · #17Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Phillipp MweneLB · #16Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Dara O'SheaRCB · #4-21ppDara O'SheaRCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Ryan ManningLM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
James AbankwahRM · #2Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Liam ScalesLCB · #3-23ppLiam ScalesLCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Christoph BaumgartnerCAM · #19Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Konrad LaimerRDM · #20Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.33 to 1.36 Bet365.
Adam IdahLS · #10-25ppAdam IdahLS · #10Tackles
DataPitch 0% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too long
Nicolas SeiwaldLDM · #6Tackles
DataPitch 51% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
Stefan PoschRB · #5-38ppStefan PoschRB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
Nathan CollinsCB · #22Shots
DataPitch 52% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Finn AzazLCM · #11+14ppFinn AzazLCM · #11Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.25 to 1.40 Ladbrokes.
Liam ScalesLCB · #3+12ppLiam ScalesLCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 48% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.75 to 2.80 Ladbrokes.
Jayson MolumbyCM · #6Shots
DataPitch 55% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Christoph BaumgartnerCAM · #19Shots
DataPitch 95% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Michael GregoritschST · #11Shots
DataPitch 96% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.02 to 1.03 Bet365.
Jack MoylanRCM · #17Shots
DataPitch 74% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.25 to 1.33 Bet365.
Dara O'SheaRCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 30% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.75 to 3.20 Ladbrokes.
Troy ParrottRS · #7Shots
DataPitch 83% · Market 87%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.10 to 1.15 Ladbrokes.
Adam IdahLS · #10Shots
DataPitch 78% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.14 to 1.20 Bet365.
Ryan ManningLM · #18Shots
DataPitch 49% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.65 to 1.80 Ladbrokes.
Christoph LangLM · #7Shots
DataPitch 87% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Kevin DansoLCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 43% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Phillipp MweneLB · #16Shots
DataPitch 50% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
James AbankwahRM · #2Shots
DataPitch 18% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Romano SchmidRM · #10Shots
DataPitch 74% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.08 to 1.10 Ladbrokes.
Stefan PoschRB · #5-23ppStefan PoschRB · #5Shots
DataPitch 46% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Philipp LienhartRCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 15% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Konrad LaimerRDM · #20Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.40 to 1.33 Bet365.
Nicolas SeiwaldLDM · #6Shots
DataPitch 26% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.53 to 1.57 Ladbrokes.
Dara O'SheaRCB · #4+11ppDara O'SheaRCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 6.50 to 7.50 Ladbrokes.
Nathan CollinsCB · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Ryan ManningLM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 4.80 to 5.50 Ladbrokes.
Liam ScalesLCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 6.50 to 7.00 Ladbrokes.
Finn AzazLCM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 35% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.90 to 3.10 Ladbrokes.
Phillipp MweneLB · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Jayson MolumbyCM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
James AbankwahRM · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 8.00 to 8.50 Ladbrokes.
Kevin DansoLCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 4.60 to 5.00 Ladbrokes.
Jack MoylanRCM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.40 to 2.50 Bet365.
Christoph BaumgartnerCAM · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 59% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Stefan PoschRB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Philipp LienhartRCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Konrad LaimerRDM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.25 to 2.63 Bet365.
Nicolas SeiwaldLDM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 3.90 to 4.20 Ladbrokes.
Adam IdahLS · #10-15ppAdam IdahLS · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 35% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.10 to 2.00 Bet365.
Troy ParrottRS · #7-17ppTroy ParrottRS · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 39% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.67 to 1.80 Ladbrokes.
Romano SchmidRM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.73 to 1.83 Bet365.
Michael GregoritschST · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 50% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.30 to 1.36 Ladbrokes.
Christoph LangLM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 42% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
The books expect about 3.5 cards.
Konrad LaimerRDM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 31% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Drifted since this morning: 3.90 to 4.33 Ladbrokes.
It was not a positive trade this morning and is now.
Kevin DansoLCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Drifted since this morning: 4.50 to 4.60 Ladbrokes.
It was not a positive trade this morning and is now.
Stefan PoschRB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 4.80 to 5.00 Ladbrokes.
Phillipp MweneLB · #16To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Romano SchmidRM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Nicolas SeiwaldLDM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 8.00 to 7.50 Bet365.
Christoph BaumgartnerCAM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Philipp LienhartRCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 6.00 to 6.50 Ladbrokes.
Christoph LangLM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Michael GregoritschST · #11To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 6.50 to 7.50 Paddy Power.
Alexander SchlagerGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 13.00 to 15.00 Ladbrokes.
Adam IdahLS · #10Offsides
DataPitch 37%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Michael GregoritschST · #11Offsides
DataPitch 33%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Troy ParrottRS · #7Offsides
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Christoph LangLM · #7Offsides
DataPitch 22%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Christoph BaumgartnerCAM · #19Offsides
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ryan ManningLM · #18Offsides
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Romano SchmidRM · #10Offsides
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James AbankwahRM · #2Offsides
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nathan CollinsCB · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
centre back, wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Kevin DansoLCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
centre back, level in the air (190cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side; held at his shot on target number
Adam IdahLS · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
striker, wins headers against a smaller marker (190cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 5.50 to 6.50 Bet365.
Liam ScalesLCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
centre back, wins headers against a smaller marker (187cm over a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Nicolas SeiwaldLDM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Phillipp MweneLB · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
full back, gives up height in the air (170cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Konrad LaimerRDM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 15.00 to 17.00 Bet365.
James AbankwahRM · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (182cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Romano SchmidRM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (168cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Finn AzazLCM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
level in the air (185cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 8.00 to 9.00 Bet365.
Troy ParrottRS · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
striker, level in the air (185cm against a 184cm back line); the book expects 3.0 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 5.00 to 5.50 Bet365.
Stefan PoschRB · #5-13ppStefan PoschRB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
full back, level in the air (189cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Philipp LienhartRCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
centre back, level in the air (189cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side; held at his shot on target number
Drifted since this morning: 4.33 to 4.50 Bet365.
Christoph BaumgartnerCAM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Michael GregoritschST · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
striker, wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Drifted since this morning: 1.91 to 2.00 Bet365.
Christoph LangLM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
wide forward, gives up height in the air (178cm against a 190cm back line); the book expects 5.0 corners for his side
Caoimhín KelleherGK · #1Caoimhín KelleherGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alexander SchlagerGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Michael GregoritschST · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 26% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 5.00 to 5.50 Bet365.
Christoph LangLM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 11 logged matches
Adam IdahLS · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 15 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 9.00 to 10.00 Bet365.
Jack MoylanRCM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 20% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 15 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 6.00 to 6.50 Bet365.
Ryan ManningLM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 9.00 to 13.00 Bet365.
Jayson MolumbyCM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
Stefan PoschRB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
Kevin DansoLCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
Phillipp MweneLB · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
Liam ScalesLCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
Christoph BaumgartnerCAM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 6 logged matches
Philipp LienhartRCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
Nathan CollinsCB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
Dara O'SheaRCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 13 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 29.00 to 34.00 Bet365.
James AbankwahRM · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 13 logged matches
Finn AzazLCM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 15 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 5.50 to 6.00 Bet365.
Konrad LaimerRDM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
Shortened since this morning: 4.50 to 4.33 Bet365.
Romano SchmidRM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
Troy ParrottRS · #7-13ppTroy ParrottRS · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
Drifted since this morning: 4.50 to 5.00 Bet365.
Nicolas SeiwaldLDM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
Alexander SchlagerGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Caoimhín KelleherGK · #1Caoimhín KelleherGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Irfan Peljto will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 60 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.53/match · Away 2.48/match
4.56/match in tight games · 3.58/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.