v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil runs average on cards, and 2 of the 2 rows we would back are Atletico-MG's.
158 players across every market.
FredCAM · #7+25ppFredCAM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 100% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap +25pp
our number here has no precedent, so we stand it down
ShaylonCAM · #7-1ppShaylonCAM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.29 to 1.40 Ladbrokes.
Neto MouraRDM · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
Igor GomesRDM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
João VictorRCB · #34Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
Renan LodiLB · #6-13ppRenan LodiLB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
Bruno SantosST · #30Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.20 to 1.36 Ladbrokes.
Mateo CassierraST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
ReinaldoLB · #6-16ppReinaldoLB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Lucas OliveiraLCB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 39% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
BernardLM · #11-18ppBernardLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.17 to 1.28 Ladbrokes.
Igor FormigaRB · #32Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.25 to 1.28 Ladbrokes.
Kevin CastañoLDM · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
NatanaelRB · #2-19ppNatanaelRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.22 to 1.36 Ladbrokes.
DenilsonLDM · #27-20ppDenilsonLDM · #27Fouls committed
DataPitch 67% · Market 87%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.11 to 1.15 Ladbrokes.
AlessonLM · #77-22ppAlessonLM · #77Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.22 to 1.25 Ladbrokes.
Carlos EduardoRM · #96Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
FredCAM · #7+14ppFredCAM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 76% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
ReinaldoLB · #6+2ppReinaldoLB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
ShaylonCAM · #7-2ppShaylonCAM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Neto MouraRDM · #25Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Mateo CassierraST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
Bruno SantosST · #30Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
BernardLM · #11-13ppBernardLM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 54% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
João VictorRCB · #34Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Shortened since this morning: 2.00 to 1.91 Paddy Power.
Igor FormigaRB · #32Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lucas OliveiraLCB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
AlessonLM · #77-20ppAlessonLM · #77Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Renan LodiLB · #6-21ppRenan LodiLB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
NatanaelRB · #2-25ppNatanaelRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
Kevin CastañoLDM · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
Carlos EduardoRM · #96Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
Igor GomesRDM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
DenilsonLDM · #27-42ppDenilsonLDM · #27Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
price too short
Bruno SantosST · #30Tackles
DataPitch 21% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 2.63 to 6.00 Ladbrokes.
Mateo CassierraST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 16% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
price too long
Lucas OliveiraLCB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Igor GomesRDM · #17Tackles
DataPitch 22% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
ShaylonCAM · #7-10ppShaylonCAM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 17% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too long
Kevin CastañoLDM · #15Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
BernardLM · #11-11ppBernardLM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 1.67 to 2.05 Ladbrokes.
FredCAM · #7-16ppFredCAM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 1.67 to 2.00 Ladbrokes.
AlessonLM · #77-20ppAlessonLM · #77Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.40 to 1.75 Ladbrokes.
Neto MouraRDM · #25Tackles
DataPitch 48% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
Renan LodiLB · #6-27ppRenan LodiLB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Igor FormigaRB · #32Tackles
DataPitch 50% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
DenilsonLDM · #27-42ppDenilsonLDM · #27Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
price too short
FredCAM · #7-1ppFredCAM · #7Shots
DataPitch 76% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.29 to 1.30 Unibet.
Renan LodiLB · #6Shots
DataPitch 70% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.40 to 1.36 Bet365.
Mateo CassierraST · #9Shots
DataPitch 87% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 1.11 to 1.10 Bet365.
BernardLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 70% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.27 to 1.28 Unibet.
Bruno SantosST · #30Shots
DataPitch 89% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.01 to 1.02 Bet365.
NatanaelRB · #2-10ppNatanaelRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 47% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.67 to 1.75 Ladbrokes.
AlessonLM · #77-15ppAlessonLM · #77Shots
DataPitch 79% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.05 to 1.06 Paddy Power.
ReinaldoLB · #6-21ppReinaldoLB · #6Shots
DataPitch 72% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.07 to 1.08 Paddy Power.
Carlos EduardoRM · #96Shots
DataPitch 71% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
João VictorRCB · #34Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.53 to 1.57 Paddy Power.
Lucas OliveiraLCB · #2Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
ShaylonCAM · #7-30ppShaylonCAM · #7Shots
DataPitch 60% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Neto MouraRDM · #25Shots
DataPitch 37% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Igor FormigaRB · #32Shots
DataPitch 37% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.36 to 1.40 Ladbrokes.
Kevin CastañoLDM · #15Shots
DataPitch 25% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Igor GomesRDM · #17Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
DenilsonLDM · #27-61ppDenilsonLDM · #27Shots
DataPitch 10% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -61pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.17 to 1.40 Ladbrokes.
Renan LodiLB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 3.40 to 3.25 Bet365.
NatanaelRB · #2+0ppNatanaelRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 4.50 to 4.20 Ladbrokes.
João VictorRCB · #34Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 3.50 to 3.60 Paddy Power.
Kevin CastañoLDM · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
DenilsonLDM · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.91 to 2.00 Bet365.
BernardLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.50 to 2.40 Unibet.
FredCAM · #7-8ppFredCAM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.25 to 2.10 Bet365.
Lucas OliveiraLCB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Neto MouraRDM · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Igor GomesRDM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Igor FormigaRB · #32Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Shortened since this morning: 2.85 to 2.80 Unibet.
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Shots on target
DataPitch 40% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.80 to 1.83 Unibet.
ShaylonCAM · #7-17ppShaylonCAM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
ReinaldoLB · #6-23ppReinaldoLB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Mateo CassierraST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Bruno SantosST · #30Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.25 to 1.40 Ladbrokes.
AlessonLM · #77-30ppAlessonLM · #77Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.50 to 1.57 Ladbrokes.
Carlos EduardoRM · #96Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
ShaylonCAM · #7-7ppShaylonCAM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
FredCAM · #7-8ppFredCAM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
AlessonLM · #77-10ppAlessonLM · #77To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 3.50 to 4.33 Bet365.
Bruno SantosST · #30To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Neto MouraRDM · #25To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
BernardLM · #11-13ppBernardLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 3.25 to 4.33 Bet365.
Mateo CassierraST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
DenilsonLDM · #27-14ppDenilsonLDM · #27To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 2.25 to 2.75 Bet365.
Renan LodiLB · #6-14ppRenan LodiLB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 2.80 to 2.88 Bet365.
EversonGK · #22-14ppEversonGK · #22To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 5.25 to 7.00 Bet365.
Kevin CastañoLDM · #15To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Igor GomesRDM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Tomás CuelloRM · #28To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 3.10 to 3.40 Bet365.
Igor FormigaRB · #32To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
WalterGK · #22-17ppWalterGK · #22To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
NatanaelRB · #2-19ppNatanaelRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 3.10 to 3.50 Ladbrokes.
Lucas OliveiraLCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Léo DuarteRCB · #3-22ppLéo DuarteRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
RuanLCB · #4RuanLCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
ReinaldoLB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
João VictorRCB · #34To be booked
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Carlos EduardoRM · #96To be booked
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mateo CassierraST · #9Offsides
DataPitch 36% · Market 30%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Offsides
DataPitch 29% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Shortened since this morning: 3.25 to 3.20 Ladbrokes.
Bruno SantosST · #30Offsides
DataPitch 35% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
AlessonLM · #77Offsides
DataPitch 19% · Market 26%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
Drifted since this morning: 3.60 to 3.80 Ladbrokes.
Carlos EduardoRM · #96Offsides
DataPitch 31%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
BernardLM · #11Offsides
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
ShaylonCAM · #7Offsides
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
FredCAM · #7Offsides
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
João VictorRCB · #34Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno SantosST · #30Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
RuanLCB · #4RuanLCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mateo CassierraST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas OliveiraLCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
EversonGK · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Léo DuarteRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
ShaylonCAM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Igor GomesRDM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Carlos EduardoRM · #96Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
ReinaldoLB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Igor FormigaRB · #32Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
AlessonLM · #77Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Neto MouraRDM · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
BernardLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Renan LodiLB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
NatanaelRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kevin CastañoLDM · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
FredCAM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
ReinaldoLB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 37%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
AlessonLM · #77Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 33%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tomás CuelloRM · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Igor FormigaRB · #32Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
FredCAM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno SantosST · #30Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
NatanaelRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
DenilsonLDM · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
BernardLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Neto MouraRDM · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
ShaylonCAM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Renan LodiLB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mateo CassierraST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
João VictorRCB · #34Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Igor GomesRDM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Carlos EduardoRM · #96Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas OliveiraLCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Léo DuarteRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
WalterGK · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
EversonGK · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
RuanLCB · #4RuanLCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kevin CastañoLDM · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 108 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.99/match · Away 2.26/match
3.72/match in tight games · 3.8/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.