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Your model for Northern Ireland v Ukraine

UEFA Nations League · Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

143 players across every market.

Fouls committed16
Tom AtchesonRCB · #4-1pp
Ethan GalbraithRM · #7-5pp
More players (14)
Trai HumeRCM · #5-6pp
Illia ZabarnyiRB · #13-6pp
Jamie DonleyST · #10-8pp
Justin DevennyLWB · #3-10pp
Terry DevlinRWB · #2-14pp
Danylo SikanRS · #14-16pp
Ciaron BrownLCB · #22-16pp
Oleh OcheretkoLCM · #18-17pp
Shea CharlesLCM · #19-17pp
Roman YaremchukLS · #9-19pp
Heorhii SudakovLM · #8-22pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16-24pp
Isaac PriceLM · #14-24pp
Ruairi McConvilleCB · #15-30pp
Fouls drawn16
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16-7pp
Ruairi McConvilleCB · #15-11pp
More players (14)
Heorhii SudakovLM · #8-12pp
Ciaron BrownLCB · #22-13pp
Danylo SikanRS · #14-15pp
Isaac PriceLM · #14-16pp
Roman YaremchukLS · #9-16pp
Terry DevlinRWB · #2-17pp
Jamie DonleyST · #10-18pp
Trai HumeRCM · #5-18pp
Ethan GalbraithRM · #7-19pp
Oleh OcheretkoLCM · #18-21pp
Justin DevennyLWB · #3-22pp
Illia ZabarnyiRB · #13-25pp
Shea CharlesLCM · #19-28pp
Tom AtchesonRCB · #4-29pp
Tackles113
Ruairi McConvilleCB · #15+6pp
Roman YaremchukLS · #9+6pp
More players (11)
Ciaron BrownLCB · #22+3pp
Tom AtchesonRCB · #4-5pp
Ethan GalbraithRM · #7-7pp
Illia ZabarnyiRB · #13-10pp
Shea CharlesLCM · #19-15pp
Terry DevlinRWB · #2-18pp
Isaac PriceLM · #14-20pp
Jamie DonleyST · #10-22pp
Oleh OcheretkoLCM · #18-26pp
Trai HumeRCM · #5-28pp
Justin DevennyLWB · #3-32pp
Shots16
Terry DevlinRWB · #2+15pp
Illia ZabarnyiRB · #13+11pp
More players (14)
Ethan GalbraithRM · #7+6pp
Danylo SikanRS · #14-3pp
Tom AtchesonRCB · #4-3pp
Oleh OcheretkoLCM · #18-4pp
Isaac PriceLM · #14-5pp
Heorhii SudakovLM · #8-6pp
Ciaron BrownLCB · #22-6pp
Ruairi McConvilleCB · #15-7pp
Jamie DonleyST · #10-8pp
Justin DevennyLWB · #3-14pp
Shea CharlesLCM · #19-15pp
Trai HumeRCM · #5-15pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16-23pp
Roman YaremchukLS · #9-59pp
Shots on target16
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16+7pp
Terry DevlinRWB · #2+6pp
More players (14)
Ciaron BrownLCB · #22+6pp
Ruairi McConvilleCB · #15+6pp
Tom AtchesonRCB · #4+2pp
Illia ZabarnyiRB · #13+2pp
Ethan GalbraithRM · #7+0pp
Danylo SikanRS · #14-2pp
Shea CharlesLCM · #19-2pp
Justin DevennyLWB · #3-2pp
Trai HumeRCM · #5-4pp
Oleh OcheretkoLCM · #18-6pp
Heorhii SudakovLM · #8-10pp
Jamie DonleyST · #10-17pp
Isaac PriceLM · #14-19pp
Roman YaremchukLS · #9-25pp
To be booked19

The books expect about 4.5 cards.

Jamie DonleyST · #10-2pp
Ethan GalbraithRM · #7-3pp
More players (17)
Terry DevlinRWB · #2-3pp
Trai HumeRCM · #5-4pp
Tom AtchesonRCB · #4-4pp
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16-5pp
Ciaron BrownLCB · #22-5pp
Mykola MatvienkoLCB · #22-5pp
Isaac PriceLM · #14-5pp
Illia ZabarnyiRB · #13-7pp
Ruairi McConvilleCB · #15-7pp
Shea CharlesLCM · #19-9pp
Oleh OcheretkoLCM · #18-9pp
Anatolii TrubinGK · #12-10pp
Heorhii SudakovLM · #8-12pp
Roman YaremchukLS · #9-13pp
Danylo SikanRS · #14-16pp
Eduard SarapyiRCB · #3
E. YarmolyukRCM · #18
Offsides9
Roman YaremchukLS · #9
Danylo SikanRS · #14
More players (7)
Jamie DonleyST · #10
Oleksii KashchukRM · #7
Justin DevennyLWB · #3
Isaac PriceLM · #14
Ethan GalbraithRM · #7
Heorhii SudakovLM · #8
Terry DevlinRWB · #2
Headed shot on target16
Ruairi McConvilleCB · #15+9pp
Roman YaremchukLS · #9+3pp
More players (14)
Illia ZabarnyiRB · #13-2pp
Trai HumeRCM · #5-3pp
Ethan GalbraithRM · #7-3pp
Justin DevennyLWB · #3-3pp
Oleh OcheretkoLCM · #18-4pp
Ciaron BrownLCB · #22-6pp
Anatolii TrubinGK · #12
Danylo SikanRS · #14
Mykola MatvienkoLCB · #22
Eduard SarapyiRCB · #3
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16
E. YarmolyukRCM · #18
Oleksii KashchukRM · #7
Heorhii SudakovLM · #8
Shot on target from outside the box22
Justin DevennyLWB · #3+8pp
Ciaron BrownLCB · #22+7pp
More players (20)
Ethan GalbraithRM · #7+6pp
Oleh OcheretkoLCM · #18+6pp
Terry DevlinRWB · #2+3pp
Isaac PriceLM · #14+0pp
Ruairi McConvilleCB · #15+0pp
Tom AtchesonRCB · #4-1pp
Illia ZabarnyiRB · #13-1pp
Trai HumeRCM · #5-5pp
Roman YaremchukLS · #9-6pp
Jamie DonleyST · #10-14pp
Shea CharlesLCM · #19-14pp
Eduard SarapyiRCB · #3
Heorhii SudakovLM · #8
Danylo SikanRS · #14
Oleksii KashchukRM · #7
Vitalii MykolenkoLB · #16
E. YarmolyukRCM · #18
Mykola MatvienkoLCB · #22
Pierce CharlesGK · #1
Anatolii TrubinGK · #12
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Northern Ireland
Ukraine

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Francois Letexier will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

Every match in play, refreshed every two minutesGet told in Telegram when it happensToday's fixtures, priced player by playerPortugal v Denmark, UEFA Nations LeagueAustria v Rep. Of Ireland, UEFA Nations LeagueRomania v Poland, UEFA Nations LeagueMirassol v Atletico-MG, Serie ANorway v Wales, UEFA Nations League

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