v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
R. Pereira runs average on cards, and 2 of the 3 rows we would back are Vasco DA Gama's.
143 players across every market.
Kauan Faria GomesLCB · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
JairDM · #8-2ppJairDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 72% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
price too short
Victor CaetanoRCB · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Alan SaldiviaRCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Robert RenanLCB · #30Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.33 to 1.55 Ladbrokes.
MaxRM · #22-6ppMaxRM · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
José RodríguezRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.40 to 1.67 Ladbrokes.
Bruno PachecoLB · #91Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
Giovanni AugustoCAM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
CamiloRDM · #27-10ppCamiloRDM · #27Fouls committed
DataPitch 73% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.13 to 1.20 Ladbrokes.
Andrés GómezLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.30 to 1.44 Ladbrokes.
Alan LescanoRCM · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 68%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
Facundo ColidioLCM · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
Yago FelipeLDM · #88Fouls committed
DataPitch 75% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Lucas PitonLB · #6-25ppLucas PitonLB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
Bruno DuarteST · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 42% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
JairDM · #8+8ppJairDM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Victor CaetanoRCB · #25Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Alan LescanoRCM · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 70% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Alan SaldiviaRCB · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
José RodríguezRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Robert RenanLCB · #30Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Bruno PachecoLB · #91Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
Lucas PitonLB · #6-23ppLucas PitonLB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 39% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Andrés GómezLM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
Facundo ColidioLCM · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
Bruno DuarteST · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
MaxRM · #22-29ppMaxRM · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
Giovanni AugustoCAM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
Yago FelipeLDM · #88Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
Kauan Faria GomesLCB · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 1% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
CamiloRDM · #27-41ppCamiloRDM · #27Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
price too short
Alan LescanoRCM · #22Tackles
DataPitch 46% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
Alan SaldiviaRCB · #4Tackles
DataPitch 45% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Giovanni AugustoCAM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Kauan Faria GomesLCB · #21Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Facundo ColidioLCM · #9Tackles
DataPitch 24% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lucas PitonLB · #6-14ppLucas PitonLB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Andrés GómezLM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.50 to 1.73 Ladbrokes.
Victor CaetanoRCB · #25Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
José RodríguezRB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
Drifted since this morning: 1.50 to 1.80 Ladbrokes.
Bruno PachecoLB · #91Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
JairDM · #8-27ppJairDM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
Kauan Faria GomesLCB · #21Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Andrés GómezLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 96% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Bruno DuarteST · #19Shots
DataPitch 96% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
José RodríguezRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.11 to 1.13 Ladbrokes.
Yago FelipeLDM · #88Shots
DataPitch 61% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Facundo ColidioLCM · #9Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Bruno PachecoLB · #91Shots
DataPitch 31% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Alan LescanoRCM · #22Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Robert RenanLCB · #30Shots
DataPitch 30% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.91 to 2.00 Ladbrokes.
Victor CaetanoRCB · #25Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lucas PitonLB · #6-22ppLucas PitonLB · #6Shots
DataPitch 30% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Giovanni AugustoCAM · #10Shots
DataPitch 44% · Market 70%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
CamiloRDM · #27-26ppCamiloRDM · #27Shots
DataPitch 24% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.91 to 2.00 Paddy Power.
Alan SaldiviaRCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
MaxRM · #22-37ppMaxRM · #22Shots
DataPitch 45% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
JairDM · #8-51ppJairDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 24% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -51pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Kauan Faria GomesLCB · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Bruno PachecoLB · #91Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Robert RenanLCB · #30Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 5.50 to 5.75 Ladbrokes.
Victor CaetanoRCB · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lucas PitonLB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
CamiloRDM · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Giovanni AugustoCAM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Yago FelipeLDM · #88Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Alan SaldiviaRCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 19%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
José RodríguezRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 2.05 to 2.20 Ladbrokes.
MaxRM · #22-11ppMaxRM · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Andrés GómezLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 52% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Drifted since this morning: 1.43 to 1.44 Ladbrokes.
JairDM · #8-18ppJairDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Alan LescanoRCM · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Bruno DuarteST · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 49% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Facundo ColidioLCM · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
The books expect about 3.5 cards.
Andrés GómezLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 4.75 to 6.00 Bet365.
Alan LescanoRCM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Facundo ColidioLCM · #9To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Bruno PachecoLB · #91To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
JairDM · #8-5ppJairDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Giovanni AugustoCAM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Lucas PitonLB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Alan SaldiviaRCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Léo JardimGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 8.00 to 11.00 Ladbrokes.
José RodríguezRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Drifted since this morning: 4.33 to 5.00 Bet365.
Bruno DuarteST · #19To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
HeitorRB · #5-13ppHeitorRB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Robert RenanLCB · #30To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Marino HinestrozaRM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 3% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Yago FelipeLDM · #88To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Victor CaetanoRCB · #25To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Dylan BorreroLM · #77To be booked
DataPitch 5% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
CamiloRDM · #27-21ppCamiloRDM · #27To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
MaxRM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno DuarteST · #19Offsides
DataPitch 32% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
on the page, not in our picks yet
TúlioST · #9TúlioST · #9Offsides
DataPitch 35%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Giovanni AugustoCAM · #10Offsides
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dylan BorreroLM · #77Offsides
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marino HinestrozaRM · #18Offsides
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Facundo ColidioLCM · #9Offsides
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MaxRM · #22Offsides
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Robert RenanLCB · #30Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno DuarteST · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Léo JardimGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Victor CaetanoRCB · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alan SaldiviaRCB · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Facundo ColidioLCM · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
José RodríguezRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gabriel WernerGK · #14Gabriel WernerGK · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alan LescanoRCM · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dylan BorreroLM · #77Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
JairDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas PitonLB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marino HinestrozaRM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andrés GómezLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MaxRM · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
CamiloRDM · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
HeitorRB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno PachecoLB · #91Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Giovanni AugustoCAM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Yago FelipeLDM · #88Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Facundo ColidioLCM · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 43%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno DuarteST · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 30%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andrés GómezLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
José RodríguezRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
TúlioST · #9TúlioST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas PitonLB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Robert RenanLCB · #30Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Yago FelipeLDM · #88Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alan SaldiviaRCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alan LescanoRCM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Giovanni AugustoCAM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
JairDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Léo JardimGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marino HinestrozaRM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno PachecoLB · #91Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
CamiloRDM · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Victor CaetanoRCB · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
HeitorRB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dylan BorreroLM · #77Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MaxRM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gabriel WernerGK · #14Gabriel WernerGK · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kauan Faria GomesLCB · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think R. Pereira will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 26 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.08/match · Away 2.12/match
5.67/match in tight games · 2/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.