Eagles season simulation and futures prices

Eagles

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+22122DataPitch 1%Market <1% · Gap +1pp

Do not win the conference-3745DataPitch 97%Market 97% · Gap +0pp

Do not win the division-488DataPitch 77%Market 83% · Gap -6pp

Miss the playoffs-441DataPitch 75%Market 82% · Gap -7pp

Expected wins7.7Market 4.2EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Dallas CowboysGap -21pp+122EXCHANGE

vs New York GiantsGap +1pp+192EXCHANGE

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB

Jalen HurtsPHI+4729

DataPitch 3%Market 2%Gap +1pp

Our own projection.

Rushing yards leaderRB

Saquon BarkleyPHI+2302

DataPitch 6%Market 4%Gap +2pp

Our own projection.

Receiving yards leaderWR

DeVonta SmithPHI+7094

DataPitch 2%Market 1%Gap +1pp

Our own projection.

Most Valuable PlayerQB

Jalen HurtsPHI+17475

Market +17475

The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Win total: 7.7

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Commanders leverage 32pp

vs Titans leverage 32pp

vs Bears leverage 32pp

vs Rams leverage 32pp

vs Jaguars leverage 32pp

vs Panthers leverage 32pp

vs Cowboys leverage 31pp

vs Cowboys leverage 30pp

Advanced: force a playoff path

Eagles reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.