64 captures so far, 2026-08-17 to 2026-10-24. Every point is de-vigged; a bookmaker point is the consensus of the books quoting this runner that day.
Settles: End of the 2026 regular season. Market-consistent, prices as of 2026-10-20T11:56:46+00:00.
+463 on the board against our 25 percent once we shrink toward the market, a gap of +6.8 points. The season runs out at 7.7 wins on average with a good case of 11 across 20,000 simulated seasons. It is a watch, not a bet: our raw model makes this price worth +74 percent, which is far enough from the market to read as our model not having converged rather than a mispriced team.
Sim it yourself →Board run Tue Oct 20, 8:03 AM ET
