Vikings season simulation and futures prices

Vikings

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+2258DataPitch 6%Market 4% · Gap +2pp

Do not win the conference-915DataPitch 87%Market 90% · Gap -3pp

Win the division+136DataPitch 48%Market 42% · Gap +6pp

Make the playoffs-459DataPitch 86%Market 82% · Gap +4pp

Expected wins11.8Market 6.3EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Detroit LionsGap +8pp+398EXCHANGE

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB

Kyler MurrayMINn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Rushing yards leaderRB

Jordan MasonMINn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Rushing yards leaderRB

Aaron JonesMINn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Receiving yards leaderWR

Justin JeffersonMIN+5404

DataPitch 4%Market 2%Gap +2pp

Our own projection.

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Win total: 11.8

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Packers leverage 90pp

vs Bears leverage 90pp

vs Buccaneers leverage 90pp

vs Dolphins leverage 90pp

vs Saints leverage 90pp

vs Lions leverage 13pp

vs Commanders leverage 13pp

vs Bears leverage 13pp

Advanced: force a playoff path

Vikings reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.