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AFC North winner

Cincinnati Bengals

Book Exchange Our number

84 captures so far, 2026-08-17 to 2026-11-13. Every point is de-vigged; a bookmaker point is the consensus of the books quoting this runner that day.

Yes-163exchange
Our number67%
Book implies 62%Gap +5ppAbout this team +3.0ppBACK

Settles: End of the 2026 regular season. Market-consistent, prices as of 2026-11-10T12:00:15+00:00.

At -163 with our number at 66.6 percent, we still see a 4.6 point gap even after shrinking back toward the market. The defense is the swing factor after allowing 28 points per game and bottom tier efficiency numbers last year, so this back leans on Burrow staying healthy and the rebuilt front lifting them from 17th in our power ratings to something closer to their 12.2 win projection.

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Board run Tue Nov 10, 7:03 AM ET

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