We use analytics to see what works.
Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.
Win the Super Bowl+2574DataPitch 3%Market 4% · Gap -1pp
Do not win the conference-1309DataPitch 93%Market 93% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the division-217DataPitch 68%Market 68% · Gap +0pp
Make the playoffs-155DataPitch 63%Market 61% · Gap +2pp
Expected wins10.2Market 7.1EXCHANGE
Season series
Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.
vs Baltimore RavensGap +5pp+430EXCHANGE
vs Cleveland BrownsGap +16pp+173EXCHANGEModel 10.2, you10.2
Players
These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.
Passing yards leaderQB
Joe BurrowCIN+3170DataPitch 9%Market 3%Gap +6pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
Chase BrownCINn/a Market n/a
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN+3237 DataPitch 8%Market 3%Gap +5pp
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Tee HigginsCINn/a Market n/a
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Joe BurrowCIN+1368 Market +1368
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.
Sim it yourself
Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.
Force a result
Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.
vs Buccaneers leverage 65pp
vs Texans leverage 65pp
vs Steelers leverage 65pp
vs Jaguars leverage 65pp
vs Dolphins leverage 65ppvs Browns leverage 33pp vs Browns leverage 30pp vs Steelers leverage 29pp Advanced: force a playoff path
Bengals reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.
