v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Braulio da Silva Machado runs strict on cards, and the 2 rows we would back lean evenly between the two sides.
134 players across every market.
Gustavo GómezCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Marlon FreitasLCM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Eduardo SashaST · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Joaquín PiquerezLM · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -7pp
Gustavo MarquesRCB · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Agustín GiayRM · #4-15ppAgustín GiayRM · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Guzmán RodríguezLCB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -15pp
Ariel Sant'AnnaRB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Lucas BarbosaRM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 71% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 71% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 71% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
FernandoLM · #11-18ppFernandoLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
MuriloRCB · #26-18ppMuriloRCB · #26Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Vitor RoqueST · #9-22ppVitor RoqueST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Juninho CapixabaLB · #29Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -24pp
Andreas PereiraRCM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -25pp
Alexander BarbozaLCB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 89%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -26pp
Eric RamiresLDM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -28pp
José LópezLAM · #42Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Lucas EvangelistaRAM · #30Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Juninho CapixabaLB · #29Fouls drawn
DataPitch 70% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap +18pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap +18pp
FernandoLM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 78% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
MuriloRCB · #26-10ppMuriloRCB · #26Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 45% at 2.20 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Ariel Sant'AnnaRB · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -11pp
Lucas EvangelistaRAM · #30Fouls drawn
DataPitch 75% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 75% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 75% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Guzmán RodríguezLCB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 29% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -15pp
Vitor RoqueST · #9-18ppVitor RoqueST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 76% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 76% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 76% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
José LópezLAM · #42Fouls drawn
DataPitch 68% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Eduardo SashaST · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Gustavo GómezCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -21pp
Andreas PereiraRCM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -23pp
Marlon FreitasLCM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 20% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -24pp
Agustín GiayRM · #4-25ppAgustín GiayRM · #4Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Lucas BarbosaRM · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Eric RamiresLDM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -30pp
Gustavo MarquesRCB · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Joaquín PiquerezLM · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 31% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -36pp
Alexander BarbozaLCB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 20% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -38pp
FernandoLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 100% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 100% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap +7pp
Now: DataPitch 100% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap +7pp
Eric RamiresLDM · #7Shots
DataPitch 56% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap +4pp
José LópezLAM · #42Shots
DataPitch 98% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 98% · Market 98% at 1.02 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 98% · Market 98% at 1.02 Bet365, gap +0pp
Gustavo MarquesRCB · #16Shots
DataPitch 49% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Vitor RoqueST · #9Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 92% · Market 99% at 1.01 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 92% · Market 99% at 1.01 Bet365, gap -7pp
Joaquín PiquerezLM · #22Shots
DataPitch 62% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -7pp
Agustín GiayRM · #4Shots
DataPitch 46% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -9pp
Gustavo GómezCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 56% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -13pp
Lucas BarbosaRM · #21Shots
DataPitch 73% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 73% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 73% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -15pp
Alexander BarbozaLCB · #2Shots
DataPitch 52% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -19pp
MuriloRCB · #26-25ppMuriloRCB · #26Shots
DataPitch 37% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Andreas PereiraRCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 62% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -26pp
Eduardo SashaST · #8Shots
DataPitch 62% · Market 89%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -27pp
Guzmán RodríguezLCB · #2Shots
DataPitch 13% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Ariel Sant'AnnaRB · #23Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -37pp
Juninho CapixabaLB · #29Shots
DataPitch 21% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -43pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -43pp
Lucas EvangelistaRAM · #30Shots
DataPitch 44% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -46pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -46pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -46pp
Marlon FreitasLCM · #17Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -53pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -53pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -53pp
Alexander BarbozaLCB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Gustavo MarquesRCB · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Juninho CapixabaLB · #29Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Joaquín PiquerezLM · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 31% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap +0pp
MuriloRCB · #26Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Agustín GiayRM · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +0pp
Ariel Sant'AnnaRB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Eric RamiresLDM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Guzmán RodríguezLCB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Gustavo GómezCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -10pp
FernandoLM · #11-11ppFernandoLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Lucas BarbosaRM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Marlon FreitasLCM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
José LópezLAM · #42Shots on target
DataPitch 59% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -19pp
Andreas PereiraRCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
Vitor RoqueST · #9-26ppVitor RoqueST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 54% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -26pp
Lucas EvangelistaRAM · #30Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -28pp
Eduardo SashaST · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -31pp
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Alexander BarbozaLCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 41% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Juninho CapixabaLB · #29To be booked
DataPitch 35% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Marlon FreitasLCM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -2pp
Vitor RoqueST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -4pp
José LópezLAM · #42To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Ariel Sant'AnnaRB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -8pp
Gustavo GómezCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Lucas EvangelistaRAM · #30To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
Eduardo SashaST · #8To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
Lucas BarbosaRM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Andreas PereiraRCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -10pp
Agustín GiayRM · #4-11ppAgustín GiayRM · #4To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -11pp
Eric RamiresLDM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap -14pp
Joaquín PiquerezLM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -14pp
Gustavo MarquesRCB · #16To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Tiago VolpiGK · #18To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
Guzmán RodríguezLCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -22pp
RodrigoRDM · #20RodrigoRDM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
FernandoLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MuriloRCB · #26To be booked
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
WallaceCAM · #47WallaceCAM · #47To be booked
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alexander BarbozaLCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 40%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Carlos MiguelGK · #1Carlos MiguelGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 29%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MuriloRCB · #26Headed shot on target
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gustavo GómezCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
José LópezLAM · #42Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marlon FreitasLCM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joaquín PiquerezLM · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gustavo MarquesRCB · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas EvangelistaRAM · #30Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Vitor RoqueST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tiago VolpiGK · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Guzmán RodríguezLCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Agustín GiayRM · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andreas PereiraRCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eduardo SashaST · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Juninho CapixabaLB · #29Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ariel Sant'AnnaRB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
FernandoLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eric RamiresLDM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andreas PereiraRCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 45%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
José LópezLAM · #42Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 40%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
FernandoLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 36%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
RodrigoRDM · #20RodrigoRDM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 29%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marlon FreitasLCM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas BarbosaRM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas EvangelistaRAM · #30Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
WallaceCAM · #47WallaceCAM · #47Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Vitor RoqueST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alexander BarbozaLCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joaquín PiquerezLM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Agustín GiayRM · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ariel Sant'AnnaRB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gustavo GómezCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Juninho CapixabaLB · #29Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
MuriloRCB · #26Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gustavo MarquesRCB · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eduardo SashaST · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eric RamiresLDM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Carlos MiguelGK · #1Carlos MiguelGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tiago VolpiGK · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Guzmán RodríguezLCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Braulio da Silva Machado will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
strict, 130 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.84/match · Away 2.90/match
5.27/match in tight games · 5.37/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.