v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda runs strict on cards, and 2 of the 2 rows we would back are Internacional's.
151 players across every market.
PaulinhoRAM · #27Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -8pp
Gabriel MercadoCB · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -11pp
Alan PatrickST · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -11pp
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -13pp
Álvaro MontoroCAM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
HuguinhoRDM · #75-16ppHuguinhoRDM · #75Fouls committed
DataPitch 66% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Guillermo MaripánRCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -16pp
Bruno GomesLCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Alex TellesLB · #13Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Arthur CabralST · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Matheus MartinsLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Alexandro BernabeiRM · #26Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap -27pp
VitinhoRB · #2-28ppVitinhoRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Rodrigo VillagraRCM · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -29pp
VitinhoLM · #28-29ppVitinhoLM · #28Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Bruno HenriqueLCM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Thiago MaiaLAM · #29Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
DaniloLDM · #8-36ppDaniloLDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -36pp
Bruno GomesLCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 79% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 79% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 79% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Rodrigo VillagraRCM · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 69% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -6pp
VitinhoLM · #28Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Matheus MartinsLM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 72% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Guillermo MaripánRCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 32% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
PaulinhoRAM · #27-17ppPaulinhoRAM · #27Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -17pp
VitinhoRB · #2-17ppVitinhoRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
HuguinhoRDM · #75-23ppHuguinhoRDM · #75Fouls drawn
DataPitch 68% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Alexandro BernabeiRM · #26Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Gabriel MercadoCB · #25Fouls drawn
DataPitch 18% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -26pp
Thiago MaiaLAM · #29Fouls drawn
DataPitch 28% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Alan PatrickST · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -29pp
Alex TellesLB · #13Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Bruno HenriqueLCM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Arthur CabralST · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -34pp
Álvaro MontoroCAM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
DaniloLDM · #8-41ppDaniloLDM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
PaulinhoRAM · #27+29ppPaulinhoRAM · #27Tackles
DataPitch 58% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +29pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +29pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +29pp
Alan PatrickST · #10Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -1pp
Thiago MaiaLAM · #29Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -9pp
Matheus MartinsLM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 45% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -20pp
Gabriel MercadoCB · #25Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -20pp
Rodrigo VillagraRCM · #5Tackles
DataPitch 46% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
Arthur CabralST · #19Tackles
DataPitch 13% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -23pp
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 57% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -26pp
Alex TellesLB · #13Tackles
DataPitch 24% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -32pp
Álvaro MontoroCAM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -33pp
Alexandro BernabeiRM · #26Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -35pp
Guillermo MaripánRCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -38pp
Bruno GomesLCB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -52pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -52pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -52pp
Arthur CabralST · #19Shots
DataPitch 96% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 96% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 96% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap +4pp
Matheus MartinsLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 95% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 95% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 95% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Alan PatrickST · #10Shots
DataPitch 87% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 87% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 87% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap +1pp
Alex TellesLB · #13Shots
DataPitch 56% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap +0pp
Álvaro MontoroCAM · #10Shots
DataPitch 72% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -5pp
DaniloLDM · #8-10ppDaniloLDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 85% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 85% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 30% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Alexandro BernabeiRM · #26Shots
DataPitch 80% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 80% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 80% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -13pp
Gabriel MercadoCB · #25Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -18pp
Bruno HenriqueLCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 61% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Guillermo MaripánRCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 31% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
VitinhoLM · #28-30ppVitinhoLM · #28Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
HuguinhoRDM · #75-31ppHuguinhoRDM · #75Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Rodrigo VillagraRCM · #5Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -31pp
PaulinhoRAM · #27-34ppPaulinhoRAM · #27Shots
DataPitch 24% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -34pp
Thiago MaiaLAM · #29Shots
DataPitch 26% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -38pp
VitinhoRB · #2-39ppVitinhoRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 32% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -39pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -39pp
Bruno GomesLCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 17% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -47pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -47pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -47pp
Alex TellesLB · #13Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Gabriel MercadoCB · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +2pp
PaulinhoRAM · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
VitinhoLM · #28Shots on target
DataPitch 32% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Álvaro MontoroCAM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -5pp
Alan PatrickST · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -6pp
Guillermo MaripánRCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Bruno GomesLCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Rodrigo VillagraRCM · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -9pp
Thiago MaiaLAM · #29Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -12pp
VitinhoRB · #2-15ppVitinhoRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Matheus MartinsLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 47% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Arthur CabralST · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 45% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -17pp
Bruno HenriqueLCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 44% at 2.25 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 44% at 2.25 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
HuguinhoRDM · #75-21ppHuguinhoRDM · #75Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 37%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 37% at 2.70 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Alexandro BernabeiRM · #26Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -23pp
DaniloLDM · #8-31ppDaniloLDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
The books expect about 6 cards.
Alexandro BernabeiRM · #26To be booked
DataPitch 40% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap +5pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap +5pp
Álvaro MontoroCAM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Guillermo MaripánRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Thiago MaiaLAM · #29To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -3pp
Rodrigo VillagraRCM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Alex TellesLB · #13To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Bruno GomesLCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -7pp
Gabriel MercadoCB · #25To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -8pp
Arthur CabralST · #19To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -8pp
Alan PatrickST · #10To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
not offered at this price
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
PaulinhoRAM · #27To be booked
DataPitch 43% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -9pp
Matheus MartinsLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -15pp
Gabriel BatistaGK · #12To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Hakim ZiyechRM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -19pp
Lucas MonzónLCB · #33To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 49% at 2.05 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 49% at 2.05 Bet365, gap -20pp
HuguinhoRDM · #75To be booked
DataPitch 43%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
VitinhoLM · #28To be booked
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno HenriqueLCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
DaniloLDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
VitinhoRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matheus CunhaGK · #23Matheus CunhaGK · #23To be booked
DataPitch 0%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Guillermo MaripánRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 30%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Arthur CabralST · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gabriel MercadoCB · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas MonzónLCB · #33Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gabriel BatistaGK · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alex TellesLB · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alan PatrickST · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno GomesLCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matheus CunhaGK · #23Matheus CunhaGK · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno HenriqueLCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thiago MaiaLAM · #29Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
VitinhoRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rodrigo VillagraRCM · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
VitinhoLM · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hakim ZiyechRM · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
PaulinhoRAM · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alexandro BernabeiRM · #26Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matheus MartinsLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
DaniloLDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Álvaro MontoroCAM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
HuguinhoRDM · #75Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hakim ZiyechRM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 46%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matheus MartinsLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 44%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
VitinhoLM · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 29%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno GomesLCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 29%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alexandro BernabeiRM · #26Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
HuguinhoRDM · #75Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alan PatrickST · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alex TellesLB · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Álvaro MontoroCAM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Arthur CabralST · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thiago MaiaLAM · #29Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
DaniloLDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno HenriqueLCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
VitinhoRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rodrigo VillagraRCM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Guillermo MaripánRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gabriel MercadoCB · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
PaulinhoRAM · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matheus CunhaGK · #23Matheus CunhaGK · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gabriel BatistaGK · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Lucas MonzónLCB · #33Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Davi de Oliveira Lacerda will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
strict, 90 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.08/match · Away 2.73/match
5.31/match in tight games · 4.19/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.