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Your model for Mirassol v Sao Paulo

Serie A · Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

141 players across every market.

Fouls committed17
Domingos DuarteRCB · #22-6pp
IagoLM · #12-10pp
More players (15)
Willian MachadoLCB · #3-10pp
EduardoCAM · #33-12pp
Bruno SantosST · #30-16pp
Damián BobadillaLCM · #16-17pp
João VictorRCB · #34-18pp
AlessonLM · #77-20pp
SabinoLCB · #35-21pp
ArturRM · #37-23pp
Pablo MaiaLAM · #29-24pp
ReinaldoLB · #6-24pp
Marcos AntônioRCM · #8-26pp
Igor FormigaRB · #32-28pp
LucianoST · #10-29pp
Robert ArboledaCB · #5-30pp
DenilsonLDM · #27-33pp
Fouls drawn17
Robert ArboledaCB · #5-8pp
Bruno SantosST · #30-11pp
More players (15)
Willian MachadoLCB · #3-14pp
SabinoLCB · #35-14pp
Marcos AntônioRCM · #8-17pp
LucianoST · #10-19pp
Damián BobadillaLCM · #16-20pp
AlessonLM · #77-22pp
ArturRM · #37-22pp
Pablo MaiaLAM · #29-25pp
Domingos DuarteRCB · #22-25pp
João VictorRCB · #34-25pp
Igor FormigaRB · #32-28pp
ReinaldoLB · #6-37pp
EduardoCAM · #33-38pp
IagoLM · #12-41pp
DenilsonLDM · #27-48pp
Tackles11
Domingos DuarteRCB · #22-1pp
Bruno SantosST · #30-15pp
More players (9)
Robert ArboledaCB · #5-16pp
Igor FormigaRB · #32-17pp
SabinoLCB · #35-17pp
DenilsonLDM · #27-18pp
Damián BobadillaLCM · #16-22pp
Willian MachadoLCB · #3-22pp
AlessonLM · #77-24pp
IagoLM · #12-26pp
Pablo MaiaLAM · #29-30pp
Shots17
Bruno SantosST · #30-3pp
ArturRM · #37-4pp
More players (15)
Domingos DuarteRCB · #22-4pp
LucianoST · #10-6pp
EduardoCAM · #33-8pp
IagoLM · #12-10pp
Pablo MaiaLAM · #29-12pp
DenilsonLDM · #27-12pp
AlessonLM · #77-14pp
SabinoLCB · #35-15pp
Robert ArboledaCB · #5-15pp
Igor FormigaRB · #32-17pp
Willian MachadoLCB · #3-17pp
João VictorRCB · #34-24pp
ReinaldoLB · #6-33pp
Damián BobadillaLCM · #16-44pp
Marcos AntônioRCM · #8-49pp
Shots on target17
Pablo MaiaLAM · #29+2pp
DenilsonLDM · #27+0pp
More players (15)
Domingos DuarteRCB · #22-1pp
Willian MachadoLCB · #3-2pp
João VictorRCB · #34-4pp
Robert ArboledaCB · #5-4pp
SabinoLCB · #35-8pp
Igor FormigaRB · #32-10pp
AlessonLM · #77-14pp
IagoLM · #12-15pp
Bruno SantosST · #30-18pp
Marcos AntônioRCM · #8-19pp
ReinaldoLB · #6-22pp
ArturRM · #37-23pp
LucianoST · #10-26pp
Damián BobadillaLCM · #16-26pp
EduardoCAM · #33-29pp
To be booked22

The books expect about 4.5 cards.

Domingos DuarteRCB · #22+1pp
Willian MachadoLCB · #3+0pp
More players (20)
DenilsonLDM · #27-1pp
Pablo MaiaLAM · #29-6pp
AlessonLM · #77-6pp
Damián BobadillaLCM · #16-7pp
Igor FormigaRB · #32-8pp
Bruno SantosST · #30-9pp
SabinoLCB · #35-9pp
Robert ArboledaCB · #5-19pp
Gustavo CazonattiRDM · #55-20pp
IagoLM · #12-28pp
LucianoST · #10
EdsonRM · #95
ReinaldoLB · #6
João VictorRCB · #34
DanielzinhoRAM · #94
EduardoCAM · #33
Marcos AntônioRCM · #8
ArturRM · #37
RafaelGK · #23
WalterGK · #22
Headed shot on target18
Domingos DuarteRCB · #22
Robert ArboledaCB · #5
More players (16)
João VictorRCB · #34
Willian MachadoLCB · #3
Bruno SantosST · #30
SabinoLCB · #35
RafaelGK · #23
LucianoST · #10
ReinaldoLB · #6
Igor FormigaRB · #32
IagoLM · #12
Damián BobadillaLCM · #16
AlessonLM · #77
EduardoCAM · #33
EdsonRM · #95
Gustavo CazonattiRDM · #55
Marcos AntônioRCM · #8
ArturRM · #37
Shot on target from outside the box22
ArturRM · #37
ReinaldoLB · #6
More players (20)
EdsonRM · #95
AlessonLM · #77
Igor FormigaRB · #32
EduardoCAM · #33
SabinoLCB · #35
Bruno SantosST · #30
Pablo MaiaLAM · #29
DenilsonLDM · #27
LucianoST · #10
Marcos AntônioRCM · #8
Domingos DuarteRCB · #22
Robert ArboledaCB · #5
Willian MachadoLCB · #3
IagoLM · #12
Damián BobadillaLCM · #16
RafaelGK · #23
WalterGK · #22
DanielzinhoRAM · #94
Gustavo CazonattiRDM · #55
João VictorRCB · #34
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Mirassol
Sao Paulo

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Lucas Casagrande will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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