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Your model for Chapecoense-sc v Fluminense

Serie A · Sat 24 Oct, 23:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

130 players across every market.

Fouls committed17
GarcezRM · #31+0pp
RenêLB · #6-7pp
More players (15)
Bruno PachecoLB · #91-10pp
IgnacioRCB · #4-11pp
Giovanni AugustoRS · #10-14pp
Samuel XavierRB · #2-15pp
Julián MillánLCB · #29-15pp
Yeferson SoteldoLM · #30-15pp
NonatoRDM · #16-16pp
Bruno MatiasRCM · #16-17pp
CamiloLCM · #27-18pp
Yannick BolasieLS · #11-18pp
DomaLCB · #3-19pp
Agustín CanobbioRM · #17-20pp
FernandoRB · #12-21pp
MartinelliLDM · #8-25pp
Luciano AcostaCAM · #32-30pp
Fouls drawn17
Samuel XavierRB · #2-13pp
RenêLB · #6-16pp
More players (15)
Bruno PachecoLB · #91-17pp
NonatoRDM · #16-18pp
FernandoRB · #12-19pp
Agustín CanobbioRM · #17-19pp
Luciano AcostaCAM · #32-19pp
MartinelliLDM · #8-19pp
GarcezRM · #31-21pp
DomaLCB · #3-23pp
Yannick BolasieLS · #11-24pp
Giovanni AugustoRS · #10-25pp
Yeferson SoteldoLM · #30-26pp
IgnacioRCB · #4-26pp
Julián MillánLCB · #29-30pp
Bruno MatiasRCM · #16-34pp
CamiloLCM · #27-44pp
Shots17
Bruno PachecoLB · #91+0pp
Yannick BolasieLS · #11-2pp
More players (15)
GarcezRM · #31-10pp
Julián MillánLCB · #29-19pp
Agustín CanobbioRM · #17-22pp
MartinelliLDM · #8-25pp
DomaLCB · #3-27pp
IgnacioRCB · #4-28pp
Giovanni AugustoRS · #10-29pp
RenêLB · #6-29pp
CamiloLCM · #27-31pp
Samuel XavierRB · #2-34pp
Luciano AcostaCAM · #32-35pp
Bruno MatiasRCM · #16-47pp
NonatoRDM · #16-47pp
FernandoRB · #12-49pp
Yeferson SoteldoLM · #30-53pp
Shots on target16
Bruno PachecoLB · #91+7pp
DomaLCB · #3+2pp
More players (14)
RenêLB · #6-1pp
Giovanni AugustoRS · #10-2pp
MartinelliLDM · #8-3pp
Julián MillánLCB · #29-5pp
Bruno MatiasRCM · #16-6pp
CamiloLCM · #27-6pp
Samuel XavierRB · #2-8pp
GarcezRM · #31-17pp
FernandoRB · #12-17pp
NonatoRDM · #16-19pp
Yannick BolasieLS · #11-20pp
Yeferson SoteldoLM · #30-26pp
Luciano AcostaCAM · #32-29pp
Agustín CanobbioRM · #17-31pp
To be booked120

The books expect about 5 cards.

NonatoRDM · #16+11pp
MartinelliLDM · #8+2pp
More players (18)
Bruno PachecoLB · #91-1pp
Agustín CanobbioRM · #17-3pp
Samuel XavierRB · #2-5pp
Giovanni AugustoRS · #10-5pp
CamiloLCM · #27-7pp
Yannick BolasieLS · #11-10pp
Julián MillánLCB · #29-12pp
Luciano AcostaCAM · #32-13pp
DomaLCB · #3-15pp
Bruno MatiasRCM · #16-15pp
RenêLB · #6-15pp
FábioGK · #1-15pp
Yeferson SoteldoLM · #30-18pp
GarcezRM · #31-20pp
IgnacioRCB · #4
Márcio Antônio de Sousa JúniorLM · #7
John KennedyST · #9
FernandoRB · #12
Headed shot on target21
Yannick BolasieLS · #11
DomaLCB · #3
More players (19)
AndersonGK · #98
IgnacioRCB · #4
Julián MillánLCB · #29
FábioGK · #1
FernandoRB · #12
Giovanni AugustoRS · #10
Bruno PachecoLB · #91
GarcezRM · #31
John KennedyST · #9
RenêLB · #6
Samuel XavierRB · #2
CamiloLCM · #27
Márcio Antônio de Sousa JúniorLM · #7
MartinelliLDM · #8
Agustín CanobbioRM · #17
NonatoRDM · #16
Bruno MatiasRCM · #16
Yeferson SoteldoLM · #30
Luciano AcostaCAM · #32
Shot on target from outside the box22
MartinelliLDM · #8
Samuel XavierRB · #2
More players (20)
Agustín CanobbioRM · #17
John KennedyST · #9
Bruno MatiasRCM · #16
Julián MillánLCB · #29
GarcezRM · #31
Yeferson SoteldoLM · #30
Giovanni AugustoRS · #10
Luciano AcostaCAM · #32
DomaLCB · #3
RenêLB · #6
Yannick BolasieLS · #11
Bruno PachecoLB · #91
CamiloLCM · #27
NonatoRDM · #16
IgnacioRCB · #4
FábioGK · #1
Márcio Antônio de Sousa JúniorLM · #7
AndersonGK · #98
FernandoRB · #12
Kauan Faria GomesRCB · #21
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Anderson Daronco will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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