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Your model for New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami

Major League Soccer · Sat 24 Oct, 22:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

139 players across every market.

Fouls committed19
Julián BazánLCB · #14-3pp
Jorge RuvalcabaRW · #11-6pp
More players (17)
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2-9pp
Ronald DonkorRCM · #48-10pp
Lionel MessiRW · #10-12pp
Justin CheRCB · #2-15pp
Dylan NealisRB · #12-17pp
Julian HallST · #16-17pp
Cade CowellLW · #7-17pp
CasemiroRCB · #5-17pp
MicaelLCB · #16-18pp
Luis SuárezST · #9-18pp
Mohammed SofoLCM · #37-21pp
Germán BerterameLW · #19-24pp
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7-27pp
Adri MehmetiCM · #15-28pp
Devin PadelfordLB · #59-28pp
Facundo MuraRCM · #4-28pp
ReguilónLB · #3-29pp
Fouls drawn19
CasemiroRCB · #5-9pp
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7-12pp
More players (17)
Ronald DonkorRCM · #48-12pp
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2-13pp
Luis SuárezST · #9-15pp
Julian HallST · #16-15pp
Cade CowellLW · #7-15pp
Justin CheRCB · #2-16pp
Lionel MessiRW · #10-17pp
Dylan NealisRB · #12-18pp
Adri MehmetiCM · #15-19pp
Julián BazánLCB · #14-20pp
Devin PadelfordLB · #59-21pp
Germán BerterameLW · #19-25pp
MicaelLCB · #16-25pp
Mohammed SofoLCM · #37-27pp
Jorge RuvalcabaRW · #11-30pp
ReguilónLB · #3-35pp
Facundo MuraRCM · #4-38pp
Shots20
Justin CheRCB · #2+10pp
Lionel MessiRW · #10+2pp
More players (18)
Germán BerterameLW · #19+1pp
Julian HallST · #16+0pp
Cade CowellLW · #7-5pp
Luis SuárezST · #9-6pp
Jorge RuvalcabaRW · #11-9pp
Devin PadelfordLB · #59-14pp
Mohammed SofoLCM · #37-26pp
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7-31pp
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2-34pp
CasemiroRCB · #5-35pp
Ronald DonkorRCM · #48-35pp
Julián BazánLCB · #14-36pp
Yannick BrightCM · #42-46pp
Facundo MuraRCM · #4-48pp
ReguilónLB · #3-50pp
Dylan NealisRB · #12-50pp
MicaelLCB · #16-53pp
Adri MehmetiCM · #15-55pp
Shots on target20
Devin PadelfordLB · #59+6pp
Justin CheRCB · #2+6pp
More players (18)
Julián BazánLCB · #14+1pp
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7-6pp
Lionel MessiRW · #10-7pp
Ronald DonkorRCM · #48-9pp
MicaelLCB · #16-10pp
Dylan NealisRB · #12-10pp
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2-10pp
Julian HallST · #16-12pp
Adri MehmetiCM · #15-13pp
Facundo MuraRCM · #4-14pp
CasemiroRCB · #5-16pp
ReguilónLB · #3-16pp
Yannick BrightCM · #42-18pp
Jorge RuvalcabaRW · #11-19pp
Cade CowellLW · #7-20pp
Germán BerterameLW · #19-24pp
Luis SuárezST · #9-26pp
Mohammed SofoLCM · #37-32pp
To be booked21

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Mohammed SofoLCM · #37+1pp
Dylan NealisRB · #12+0pp
More players (19)
Justin CheRCB · #2+0pp
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2-1pp
Ronald DonkorRCM · #48-3pp
Devin PadelfordLB · #59-4pp
Luis SuárezST · #9-5pp
Yannick BrightCM · #42-6pp
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7-6pp
Germán BerterameLW · #19-6pp
CasemiroRCB · #5-7pp
Adri MehmetiCM · #15-7pp
Facundo MuraRCM · #4-8pp
Cade CowellLW · #7-8pp
ReguilónLB · #3-9pp
Jorge RuvalcabaRW · #11-11pp
Lionel MessiRW · #10-11pp
Dayne St. ClairGK · #97-12pp
Ethan HorvathGK · #34-14pp
Julián BazánLCB · #14
MicaelLCB · #16
Headed shot on target18
MicaelLCB · #16
CasemiroRCB · #5
More players (16)
Justin CheRCB · #2
Dayne St. ClairGK · #97
Ethan HorvathGK · #34
Cade CowellLW · #7
Devin PadelfordLB · #59
Luis SuárezST · #9
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2
Dylan NealisRB · #12
Yannick BrightCM · #42
ReguilónLB · #3
Lionel MessiRW · #10
Germán BerterameLW · #19
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7
Facundo MuraRCM · #4
Ronald DonkorRCM · #48
Mohammed SofoLCM · #37
Shot on target from outside the box22
Lionel MessiRW · #10
Germán BerterameLW · #19
More players (20)
Julian HallST · #16
Cade CowellLW · #7
ReguilónLB · #3
Rodrigo De PaulLCM · #7
Mohammed SofoLCM · #37
Jorge RuvalcabaRW · #11
Julián BazánLCB · #14
Justin CheRCB · #2
Luis SuárezST · #9
CasemiroRCB · #5
Facundo MuraRCM · #4
Dayne St. ClairGK · #97
MicaelLCB · #16
Gonzalo LujánRB · #2
Yannick BrightCM · #42
Ethan HorvathGK · #34
Dylan NealisRB · #12
Devin PadelfordLB · #59
Ronald DonkorRCM · #48
Adri MehmetiCM · #15
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New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Filip Dujic will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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