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Your model for Botafogo v Vasco DA Gama

Serie A · Thu 8 Oct, 00:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

214 lines on 7 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.

Fouls committed19
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5
Álvaro MontoroLM · #10
More players (17)
VitinhoRB · #2
HuguinhoRCM · #75
Facundo ColidioLW · #9
BrennerRW · #20
Paulo HenriqueRB · #96
Bruno DuarteST · #19
Matheus MartinsRM · #11
Andrés GómezRCM · #11
Robert RenanLCB · #30
Arthur CabralLS · #19
Tchê TchêCM · #3
DaniloRS · #90
Alex TellesLB · #13
Thiago MendesLCM · #188
CuiabanoLB · #66
Carlos CuestaRCB · #46
DaniloLCM · #8
Fouls drawn19
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5
Carlos CuestaRCB · #46
More players (17)
Bruno DuarteST · #19
VitinhoRB · #2
Matheus MartinsRM · #11
BrennerRW · #20
Robert RenanLCB · #30
HuguinhoRCM · #75
Tchê TchêCM · #3
Arthur CabralLS · #19
CuiabanoLB · #66
Thiago MendesLCM · #188
DaniloLCM · #8
DaniloRS · #90
Alex TellesLB · #13
Facundo ColidioLW · #9
Álvaro MontoroLM · #10
Andrés GómezRCM · #11
Paulo HenriqueRB · #96
Shots19
Bruno DuarteST · #19
Arthur CabralLS · #19
More players (17)
Matheus MartinsRM · #11
BrennerRW · #20
Thiago MendesLCM · #188
Álvaro MontoroLM · #10
Robert RenanLCB · #30
Andrés GómezRCM · #11
CuiabanoLB · #66
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5
DaniloRS · #90
Tchê TchêCM · #3
Alex TellesLB · #13
VitinhoRB · #2
DaniloLCM · #8
Facundo ColidioLW · #9
Paulo HenriqueRB · #96
HuguinhoRCM · #75
Carlos CuestaRCB · #46
Shots on target19
Bruno DuarteST · #19
Alex TellesLB · #13
More players (17)
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5
Paulo HenriqueRB · #96
VitinhoRB · #2
Thiago MendesLCM · #188
Robert RenanLCB · #30
Tchê TchêCM · #3
Álvaro MontoroLM · #10
CuiabanoLB · #66
Carlos CuestaRCB · #46
BrennerRW · #20
DaniloRS · #90
Andrés GómezRCM · #11
Arthur CabralLS · #19
HuguinhoRCM · #75
Matheus MartinsRM · #11
Facundo ColidioLW · #9
DaniloLCM · #8
To be booked21

The books expect about 5.5 cards.

Álvaro MontoroLM · #10
Carlos CuestaRCB · #46
More players (19)
Andrés GómezRCM · #11
Alex TellesLB · #13
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5
Arthur CabralLS · #19
Robert RenanLCB · #30
Tchê TchêCM · #3
Facundo ColidioLW · #9
Thiago MendesLCM · #188
Matheus MartinsRM · #11
Gabriel BatistaGK · #12
Lucas MonzónLCB · #33
BrennerRW · #20
Léo JardimGK · #1
Bruno DuarteST · #19
HuguinhoRCM · #75
CuiabanoLB · #66
Paulo HenriqueRB · #96
DaniloLCM · #8
VitinhoRB · #2
Headed shot on target21
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5
Arthur CabralLS · #19
More players (19)
Robert RenanLCB · #30
Lucas MonzónLCB · #33
Gabriel BatistaGK · #12
Bruno DuarteST · #19
Facundo ColidioLW · #9
Léo JardimGK · #1
Carlos CuestaRCB · #46
Alex TellesLB · #13
DaniloRS · #90
VitinhoRB · #2
BrennerRW · #20
Paulo HenriqueRB · #96
Matheus MartinsRM · #11
DaniloLCM · #8
Tchê TchêCM · #3
Thiago MendesLCM · #188
Andrés GómezRCM · #11
Álvaro MontoroLM · #10
HuguinhoRCM · #75
Shot on target from outside the box22
Facundo ColidioLW · #9
Matheus MartinsRM · #11
More players (20)
HuguinhoRCM · #75
Álvaro MontoroLM · #10
Arthur CabralLS · #19
DaniloRS · #90
Alex TellesLB · #13
Tchê TchêCM · #3
CuiabanoLB · #66
Andrés GómezRCM · #11
Thiago MendesLCM · #188
BrennerRW · #20
Nahuel FerraresiRCB · #5
DaniloLCM · #8
Robert RenanLCB · #30
Bruno DuarteST · #19
Carlos CuestaRCB · #46
VitinhoRB · #2
Paulo HenriqueRB · #96
Gabriel BatistaGK · #12
Lucas MonzónLCB · #33
Léo JardimGK · #1
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Bruno Arleu will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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