Buccaneers season simulation and futures prices

Buccaneers

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+19131DataPitch <1%Market 1% · Gap -1pp

Do not win the conference-18182DataPitch 99%Market 99% · Gap +0pp

Do not win the division-809DataPitch 89%Market 89% · Gap +0pp

Miss the playoffs-614DataPitch 86%Market 86% · Gap +0pp

Expected wins6.0Market 4.8EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Atlanta FalconsGap +5pp+311EXCHANGE

vs Carolina PanthersGap +2pp+383EXCHANGE

vs New Orleans SaintsGap -11pp+129EXCHANGE

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB

Baker MayfieldTB+6096

DataPitch 3%Market 2%Gap +1pp

Our own projection.

Rushing yards leaderRB

Bucky IrvingTBn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Receiving yards leaderWR

Emeka EgbukaTB+14584

DataPitch 1%Market 1%Gap +0pp

Our own projection.

Most Valuable PlayerQB

Baker MayfieldTB+23374

Market +23374

The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Win total: 6.0

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Panthers leverage 20pp

vs Panthers leverage 17pp

vs Falcons leverage 16pp

vs Saints leverage 15pp

vs Falcons leverage 14pp

vs Lions leverage 14pp

vs Bengals leverage 14pp

Advanced: force a playoff path

Buccaneers reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.