We use analytics to see what works.
Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.
Win the Super Bowl+1673DataPitch 6%Market 6% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the conference-770DataPitch 89%Market 89% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the division-770DataPitch 89%Market 89% · Gap +0pp
Make the playoffs-152DataPitch 62%Market 60% · Gap +2pp
Expected wins9.8Market 6.9EXCHANGE
Season series
Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.
vs Los Angeles RamsGap -15pp+122EXCHANGEModel 9.8, you9.8
Players
These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.
Passing yards leaderQB
Sam DarnoldSEA+6389DataPitch 4%Market 2%Gap +3pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
Zach CharbonnetSEAn/a Market n/a
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA+207 DataPitch 16%Market 33%Gap -17pp
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Sam DarnoldSEA+42453 Market +42453
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.
Sim it yourself
Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.
Force a result
Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.
vs Patriots leverage 63pp
vs Cardinals leverage 63pp
vs Commanders leverage 63pp
vs Chargers leverage 63pp
vs 49ers leverage 63pp
vs Broncos leverage 63ppvs Rams leverage 32pp 
vs Bears leverage 31ppAdvanced: force a playoff path
Seahawks reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.
