Raiders season simulation and futures prices

Raiders

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+13985DataPitch <1%Market 1% · Gap -1pp

Do not win the conference-4785DataPitch 99%Market 98% · Gap +1pp

Do not win the division-2532DataPitch 97%Market 96% · Gap +1pp

Miss the playoffs-365DataPitch 82%Market 78% · Gap +4pp

Expected wins7.5Market 4.7EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Denver BroncosGap +11pp+2878EXCHANGE

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB

Kirk CousinsLVn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Rushing yards leaderRB

Ashton JeantyLVn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Win total: 7.5

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Broncos leverage 23pp

vs Chiefs leverage 21pp

vs Broncos leverage 20pp

vs Browns leverage 18pp

vs Jets leverage 16pp

vs 49ers leverage 16pp

vs Chargers leverage 16pp

vs Dolphins leverage 15pp

Advanced: force a playoff path

Raiders reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.