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Chiefs

Our prices from 20,000 simulated seasons, then a slider to build your own.

Do not win the Super Bowl-1499DataPitch 95%Market 94% · Gap +1pp
Do not win the conference-952DataPitch 90%Market 90% · Gap +0pp
Win the division+205DataPitch 34%Market 33% · Gap +1pp
Make the playoffs-168DataPitch 63%Market 63% · Gap +0pp
Expected wins9.9Market 9.9EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Denver BroncosGap +2pp+270EXCHANGE
vs Los Angeles ChargersGap +8pp+447EXCHANGE
vs Las Vegas RaidersGap -9pp-165EXCHANGE

Players

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB
Patrick MahomesKC+2967
DataPitch 5%Market 3%Gap +1pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
Kenneth Walker IIIKCn/a
Market n/a
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Patrick MahomesKC+1798
Market +1798
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.

Sim it yourself

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Force a result

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Chargers leverage 28pp
vs Raiders leverage 28pp
vs Broncos leverage 28pp
vs Chargers leverage 28pp
vs Broncos leverage 27pp
vs Colts leverage 27pp
vs Raiders leverage 27pp
vs Jets leverage 27pp
Advanced: force a playoff path

Chiefs reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.