Colts season simulation and futures prices

Colts

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+21639DataPitch <1%Market <1% · Gap +0pp

Do not win the conference-8621DataPitch 99%Market 99% · Gap +0pp

Do not win the division-1901DataPitch 94%Market 95% · Gap -1pp

Miss the playoffs-669DataPitch 88%Market 87% · Gap +1pp

Expected wins7.0Market 4.8EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Jacksonville JaguarsGap -37pp+107EXCHANGE

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB

Daniel JonesINDn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Rushing yards leaderRB

Jonathan TaylorIND+1320

DataPitch 11%Market 7%Gap +4pp

Our own projection.

Receiving yards leaderWR

Alec PierceINDn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Win total: 7.0

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Jaguars leverage 19pp

vs Texans leverage 18pp

vs Jaguars leverage 17pp

vs Bengals leverage 14pp

vs Vikings leverage 13pp

vs Eagles leverage 12pp

vs Browns leverage 12pp

vs Titans leverage 12pp

Advanced: force a playoff path

Colts reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.