We use analytics to see what works.
Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.
Win the Super Bowl+2321DataPitch 4%Market 4% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the conference-1233DataPitch 92%Market 92% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the division-257DataPitch 74%Market 72% · Gap +2pp
Make the playoffs-250DataPitch 73%Market 71% · Gap +2pp
Expected wins10.6Market 6.7EXCHANGE
Season series
Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.
vs Las Vegas RaidersGap -2pp+116EXCHANGEModel 10.6, you10.6
Players
These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.
Passing yards leaderQB
Bo NixDEN+5738DataPitch 3%Market 2%Gap +1pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
J.K. DobbinsDENn/a Market n/a
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Courtland SuttonDENn/a Market n/a
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Bo NixDEN+16107 Market +16107
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.
Sim it yourself
Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.
Force a result
Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.
vs Chiefs leverage 75pp
vs Jaguars leverage 75pp
vs Rams leverage 75pp
vs 49ers leverage 75pp
vs Chargers leverage 75pp
vs Seahawks leverage 75ppvs Raiders leverage 28pp 
vs Steelers leverage 26ppAdvanced: force a playoff path
Broncos reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.
