Bears season simulation and futures prices

Bears

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+1738DataPitch 5%Market 5% · Gap +0pp

Do not win the conference-853DataPitch 91%Market 90% · Gap +1pp

Do not win the division-317DataPitch 81%Market 76% · Gap +5pp

Make the playoffs-197DataPitch 65%Market 66% · Gap -1pp

Expected wins10.0Market 6.3EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Detroit LionsGap -1pp+261EXCHANGE

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB

Caleb WilliamsCHI+2887

DataPitch 2%Market 3%Gap -1pp

Our own projection.

Rushing yards leaderRB

D'Andre SwiftCHIn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Most Valuable PlayerQB

Caleb WilliamsCHI+2659

Market +2659

The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Win total: 10.0

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Panthers leverage 63pp

vs Vikings leverage 63pp

vs Eagles leverage 63pp

vs Jets leverage 63pp

vs Packers leverage 63pp

vs Falcons leverage 63pp

vs Lions leverage 31pp

vs Packers leverage 31pp

Advanced: force a playoff path

Bears reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.