Ravens season simulation and futures prices

Ravens

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+1139DataPitch 6%Market 8% · Gap -2pp

Do not win the conference-641DataPitch 88%Market 87% · Gap +1pp

Win the division+115DataPitch 43%Market 47% · Gap -4pp

Make the playoffs-326DataPitch 73%Market 77% · Gap -4pp

Expected wins10.4Market 6.9EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Cincinnati BengalsGap +3pp+269EXCHANGE

vs Pittsburgh SteelersGap -10pp+108EXCHANGE

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB

Lamar JacksonBAL+11582

DataPitch 2%Market 1%Gap +1pp

Our own projection.

Rushing yards leaderRB

Derrick HenryBAL+916

DataPitch 11%Market 10%Gap +1pp

Our own projection.

Receiving yards leaderWR

Zay FlowersBAL+4853

DataPitch 5%Market 2%Gap +3pp

Our own projection.

Most Valuable PlayerQB

Lamar JacksonBAL+1773

Market +1773

The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Win total: 10.4

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Colts leverage 68pp

vs Saints leverage 68pp

vs Cowboys leverage 68pp

vs Titans leverage 68pp

vs Falcons leverage 68pp

vs Browns leverage 68pp

vs Steelers leverage 29pp

vs Browns leverage 29pp

Advanced: force a playoff path

Ravens reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.