Falcons season simulation and futures prices

Falcons

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+12246DataPitch 1%Market 1% · Gap +0pp

Do not win the conference-6135DataPitch 99%Market 98% · Gap +1pp

Do not win the division-334DataPitch 81%Market 77% · Gap +4pp

Miss the playoffs-326DataPitch 80%Market 77% · Gap +3pp

Expected wins6.7Market 5.0EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersGap -2pp+288EXCHANGE

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB

Tua TagovailoaATLn/a

Market n/a

Our own projection.

Rushing yards leaderRB

Bijan RobinsonATL+270

DataPitch 7%Market 27%Gap -20pp

Our own projection.

Receiving yards leaderWR

Drake LondonATL+10094

DataPitch 1%Market 1%Gap +0pp

Our own projection.

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Win total: 6.7

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Panthers leverage 25pp

vs Saints leverage 19pp

vs Vikings leverage 19pp

vs Buccaneers leverage 19pp

vs Steelers leverage 18pp

vs Panthers leverage 18pp

vs Packers leverage 18pp

vs Saints leverage 18pp

Advanced: force a playoff path

Falcons reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.