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Your model for AS Roma v Real Madrid

UEFA Champions League · Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

164 players across every market.

Fouls committed21
Kylian MbappéST · #10-2pp
Paulo DybalaLM · #21-7pp
More players (19)
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4-8pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8-10pp
Marten de RoonRAM · #15-12pp
Yan DiomandeLDM · #25-13pp
Donyell MalenST · #14-15pp
Evan NdickaCB · #5-16pp
Ibrahima KonatéRCB · #16-17pp
M. KonéLCM · #17-18pp
Vinícius JúniorLM · #7-19pp
Bryan CristanteRCM · #4-20pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5-20pp
Matías SouléRM · #18-20pp
Gianluca ManciniRCB · #23-22pp
Niccolò PisilliLAM · #61-22pp
Arda GülerRM · #15-24pp
Denzel DumfriesRB · #24-26pp
HermosoLCB · #22-29pp
Marc CucurellaGK · #17-32pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLB · #14-35pp
Fouls drawn21
Bryan CristanteRCM · #4-4pp
HermosoLCB · #22-6pp
More players (19)
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4-8pp
M. KonéLCM · #17-11pp
Donyell MalenST · #14-13pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLB · #14-13pp
Marten de RoonRAM · #15-13pp
Arda GülerRM · #15-15pp
Matías SouléRM · #18-17pp
Yan DiomandeLDM · #25-18pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10-18pp
Marc CucurellaGK · #17-18pp
Vinícius JúniorLM · #7-19pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5-20pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8-23pp
Gianluca ManciniRCB · #23-25pp
Niccolò PisilliLAM · #61-25pp
Denzel DumfriesRB · #24-26pp
Paulo DybalaLM · #21-28pp
Evan NdickaCB · #5-32pp
Ibrahima KonatéRCB · #16-33pp
Tackles19
Kylian MbappéST · #10+7pp
Paulo DybalaLM · #21-8pp
More players (17)
Vinícius JúniorLM · #7-9pp
Yan DiomandeLDM · #25-10pp
Matías SouléRM · #18-17pp
Bryan CristanteRCM · #4-18pp
HermosoLCB · #22-20pp
Donyell MalenST · #14-20pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLB · #14-26pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8-26pp
Marc CucurellaGK · #17-27pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4-27pp
Niccolò PisilliLAM · #61-28pp
Ibrahima KonatéRCB · #16-28pp
Marten de RoonRAM · #15-30pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5-32pp
Arda GülerRM · #15-32pp
Gianluca ManciniRCB · #23-34pp
Denzel DumfriesRB · #24-49pp
Shots21
Ibrahima KonatéRCB · #16+13pp
Denzel DumfriesRB · #24+11pp
More players (19)
Matías SouléRM · #18+4pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10+2pp
Donyell MalenST · #14+1pp
Vinícius JúniorLM · #7+0pp
Paulo DybalaLM · #21+0pp
Arda GülerRM · #15-4pp
Gianluca ManciniRCB · #23-4pp
Yan DiomandeLDM · #25-7pp
Niccolò PisilliLAM · #61-14pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5-15pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8-16pp
Marc CucurellaGK · #17-16pp
Bryan CristanteRCM · #4-20pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4-22pp
Evan NdickaCB · #5-26pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLB · #14-27pp
Marten de RoonRAM · #15-31pp
M. KonéLCM · #17-32pp
HermosoLCB · #22-35pp
Shots on target19
Gianluca ManciniRCB · #23+4pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4+4pp
More players (17)
Niccolò PisilliLAM · #61+0pp
Bryan CristanteRCM · #4+0pp
Denzel DumfriesRB · #24-1pp
Ibrahima KonatéRCB · #16-6pp
HermosoLCB · #22-9pp
Marc CucurellaGK · #17-10pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10-13pp
Arda GülerRM · #15-14pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8-14pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLB · #14-15pp
Marten de RoonRAM · #15-18pp
Matías SouléRM · #18-19pp
Donyell MalenST · #14-20pp
Paulo DybalaLM · #21-21pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5-25pp
Vinícius JúniorLM · #7-27pp
Yan DiomandeLDM · #25-32pp
To be booked20

The books expect about 4 cards.

Jude BellinghamCAM · #5+2pp
Arda GülerRM · #15+2pp
More players (18)
M. KonéLCM · #17+1pp
Vinícius JúniorLM · #7+0pp
Yan DiomandeLDM · #25-1pp
Gianluca ManciniRCB · #23-3pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8-4pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10-4pp
Ibrahima KonatéRCB · #16-5pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLB · #14-5pp
Marc CucurellaGK · #17-6pp
Evan NdickaCB · #5-6pp
Bryan CristanteRCM · #4-7pp
Donyell MalenST · #14-9pp
Denzel DumfriesRB · #24-11pp
Paulo DybalaLM · #21-11pp
Marten de RoonRAM · #15-12pp
Matías SouléRM · #18-13pp
Niccolò PisilliLAM · #61-14pp
HermosoLCB · #22
Headed shot on target21
Ibrahima KonatéRCB · #16+11pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4+10pp
More players (19)
Gianluca ManciniRCB · #23+2pp
Denzel DumfriesRB · #24+1pp
HermosoLCB · #22-1pp
Niccolò PisilliLAM · #61-1pp
Marten de RoonRAM · #15-4pp
Bryan CristanteRCM · #4-6pp
Marc CucurellaGK · #17-6pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLB · #14-8pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10-8pp
Paulo DybalaLM · #21-11pp
Donyell MalenST · #14-15pp
Arda GülerRM · #15-18pp
Matías SouléRM · #18-21pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8-21pp
Vinícius JúniorLM · #7-21pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5-25pp
Evan NdickaCB · #5
Mile SvilarGK · #99
M. KonéLCM · #17
Shot on target from outside the box22
Bryan CristanteRCM · #4+2pp
Arda GülerRM · #15-1pp
More players (20)
HermosoLCB · #22-1pp
Ibrahima KonatéRCB · #16-1pp
Gianluca ManciniRCB · #23-3pp
Donyell MalenST · #14-4pp
Dean HuijsenLCB · #4-6pp
Denzel DumfriesRB · #24-6pp
Marc CucurellaGK · #17-8pp
Marten de RoonRAM · #15-8pp
Yan DiomandeLDM · #25-10pp
Niccolò PisilliLAM · #61-10pp
Aurélien TchouaméniLB · #14-12pp
Paulo DybalaLM · #21-17pp
Matías SouléRM · #18-21pp
Federico ValverdeRDM · #8-21pp
Vinícius JúniorLM · #7-25pp
Kylian MbappéST · #10-30pp
Jude BellinghamCAM · #5-31pp
M. KonéLCM · #17
Mile SvilarGK · #99
Evan NdickaCB · #5
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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AS Roma
Real Madrid

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Francois Letexier will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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