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Your model for Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe

UEFA Champions League · Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

160 players across every market.

Fouls committed119
Pau TorresLB · #14+6pp
Victor LindelöfLCB · #3+2pp
More players (17)
Mason GreenwoodRW · #11-10pp
Kerem AktürkoğluLW · #7-12pp
N'Golo KantéRCM · #91-13pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-13pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-14pp
Aaron Wan-BissakaRCB · #29-14pp
Nathan AkéLCB · #15-14pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-17pp
Archibald BrownLB · #3-18pp
Mattéo GuendouziCM · #6-18pp
Nélson SemedoRB · #27-18pp
Milan ŠkriniarRCB · #37-19pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-19pp
João GomesLDM · #35-20pp
John McGinnRM · #7-21pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-25pp
Vedat MuriqiST · #19-26pp
Fouls drawn19
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44+2pp
Archibald BrownLB · #3-2pp
More players (17)
Milan ŠkriniarRCB · #37-8pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-8pp
John McGinnRM · #7-9pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-11pp
Mattéo GuendouziCM · #6-12pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-13pp
Nathan AkéLCB · #15-14pp
Aaron Wan-BissakaRCB · #29-16pp
N'Golo KantéRCM · #91-16pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-18pp
Nélson SemedoRB · #27-19pp
Mason GreenwoodRW · #11-20pp
Vedat MuriqiST · #19-21pp
João GomesLDM · #35-21pp
Kerem AktürkoğluLW · #7-23pp
Pau TorresLB · #14-23pp
Victor LindelöfLCB · #3-30pp
Tackles19
Nicolas JacksonST · #11+0pp
Aaron Wan-BissakaRCB · #29-9pp
More players (17)
Kerem AktürkoğluLW · #7-11pp
Pau TorresLB · #14-12pp
Mason GreenwoodRW · #11-12pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-15pp
Milan ŠkriniarRCB · #37-16pp
Archibald BrownLB · #3-19pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-19pp
João GomesLDM · #35-21pp
Nélson SemedoRB · #27-21pp
Victor LindelöfLCB · #3-21pp
Nathan AkéLCB · #15-22pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-25pp
John McGinnRM · #7-25pp
Vedat MuriqiST · #19-25pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-31pp
Mattéo GuendouziCM · #6-32pp
N'Golo KantéRCM · #91-45pp
Shots19
Kerem AktürkoğluLW · #7+10pp
Victor LindelöfLCB · #3+8pp
More players (17)
Mattéo GuendouziCM · #6+2pp
Mason GreenwoodRW · #11+1pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11+1pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-4pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-5pp
Nathan AkéLCB · #15-5pp
John McGinnRM · #7-7pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-9pp
N'Golo KantéRCM · #91-9pp
Vedat MuriqiST · #19-10pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-12pp
Milan ŠkriniarRCB · #37-13pp
Archibald BrownLB · #3-15pp
Nélson SemedoRB · #27-24pp
Pau TorresLB · #14-26pp
Aaron Wan-BissakaRCB · #29-26pp
João GomesLDM · #35-48pp
Shots on target19
Mattéo GuendouziCM · #6+8pp
Milan ŠkriniarRCB · #37+7pp
More players (17)
Nélson SemedoRB · #27+5pp
N'Golo KantéRCM · #91+1pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-2pp
Nathan AkéLCB · #15-3pp
Archibald BrownLB · #3-4pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-8pp
João GomesLDM · #35-8pp
Pau TorresLB · #14-10pp
Aaron Wan-BissakaRCB · #29-12pp
Victor LindelöfLCB · #3-13pp
Kerem AktürkoğluLW · #7-14pp
Vedat MuriqiST · #19-16pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-17pp
John McGinnRM · #7-18pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-21pp
Mason GreenwoodRW · #11-25pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-29pp
To be booked421

The books expect about 4 cards.

João GomesLDM · #35+10pp
Matthew CashRB · #2+8pp
More players (19)
John McGinnRM · #7+7pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11+4pp
Vedat MuriqiST · #19+3pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44+1pp
Nélson SemedoRB · #27+0pp
Archibald BrownLB · #3-2pp
Milan ŠkriniarRCB · #37-2pp
N'Golo KantéRCM · #91-2pp
Pau TorresLB · #14-2pp
Victor LindelöfLCB · #3-2pp
Mattéo GuendouziCM · #6-4pp
Aaron Wan-BissakaRCB · #29-4pp
Mason GreenwoodRW · #11-4pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-5pp
Kerem AktürkoğluLW · #7-6pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-11pp
Zion SuzukiGK · #1-12pp
Nathan AkéLCB · #15-13pp
EdersonGK · #31-18pp
Headed shot on target22
Pau TorresLB · #14+14pp
Archibald BrownLB · #3+11pp
More players (20)
Aaron Wan-BissakaRCB · #29+8pp
Milan ŠkriniarRCB · #37+7pp
Matthew CashRB · #2+7pp
Mattéo GuendouziCM · #6+3pp
Nélson SemedoRB · #27+2pp
Victor LindelöfLCB · #3+0pp
N'Golo KantéRCM · #91+0pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-3pp
Nathan AkéLCB · #15-3pp
Kerem AktürkoğluLW · #7-3pp
João GomesLDM · #35-4pp
Bartuğ ElmazLCM · #28-5pp
John McGinnRM · #7-6pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-8pp
Vedat MuriqiST · #19-9pp
Mason GreenwoodRW · #11-12pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-21pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-26pp
Zion SuzukiGK · #1
EdersonGK · #31
Shot on target from outside the box22
John McGinnRM · #7+3pp
Milan ŠkriniarRCB · #37+1pp
More players (20)
Mattéo GuendouziCM · #6-1pp
Pau TorresLB · #14-1pp
Nathan AkéLCB · #15-1pp
Nélson SemedoRB · #27-2pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-3pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-3pp
Aaron Wan-BissakaRCB · #29-3pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-4pp
Victor LindelöfLCB · #3-4pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-5pp
N'Golo KantéRCM · #91-7pp
Archibald BrownLB · #3-9pp
Vedat MuriqiST · #19-11pp
Bartuğ ElmazLCM · #28-13pp
Kerem AktürkoğluLW · #7-13pp
João GomesLDM · #35-13pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-18pp
Mason GreenwoodRW · #11-25pp
Zion SuzukiGK · #1
EdersonGK · #31
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Ivan Kruzliak will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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