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Your model for Manchester City v Paris Saint Germain

UEFA Champions League · Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

165 players across every market.

Fouls committed20
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+1pp
VitinhaCM · #17-3pp
More players (18)
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-6pp
João NevesRCM · #87-9pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-14pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-14pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5-15pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17-16pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42-19pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10-19pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24-23pp
William PachoLCB · #51-23pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-24pp
Ferran TorresST · #9-25pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7-26pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-26pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25-27pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2-31pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-32pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10-37pp
Fouls drawn20
William PachoLCB · #51-7pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10-8pp
More players (18)
Ferran TorresST · #9-10pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25-11pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17-11pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-12pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2-12pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-14pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-15pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-15pp
João NevesRCM · #87-17pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-17pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-18pp
VitinhaCM · #17-21pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5-23pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7-24pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-24pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24-24pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10-24pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42-30pp
Tackles20
Erling HaalandST · #9-2pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-9pp
More players (18)
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42-13pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17-14pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-15pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10-15pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-16pp
Ferran TorresST · #9-17pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7-23pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10-23pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24-25pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-26pp
VitinhaCM · #17-27pp
William PachoLCB · #51-29pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-31pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-33pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5-35pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25-36pp
João NevesRCM · #87-42pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2-44pp
Shots20
Ferran TorresST · #9+6pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7+6pp
More players (18)
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10+4pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2+3pp
Erling HaalandST · #9+2pp
João NevesRCM · #87+2pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-2pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5-3pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42-4pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-5pp
William PachoLCB · #51-9pp
VitinhaCM · #17-12pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25-13pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17-17pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-20pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-20pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-27pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10-30pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-35pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24-42pp
Shots on target20
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+2pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27+1pp
More players (18)
MarquinhosRCB · #5-1pp
William PachoLCB · #51-1pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-5pp
VitinhaCM · #17-5pp
João NevesRCM · #87-6pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24-9pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25-12pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5-12pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2-13pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10-14pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17-15pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-15pp
Ferran TorresST · #9-17pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-18pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7-19pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10-20pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-20pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42-21pp
To be booked522

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Enzo FernándezRDM · #17+22pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5+14pp
More players (20)
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42+11pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+9pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6+9pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24+3pp
Erling HaalandST · #9+2pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27+1pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10-1pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-2pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25-3pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-3pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2-7pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10-7pp
João NevesRCM · #87-8pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7-8pp
VitinhaCM · #17-8pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-10pp
William PachoLCB · #51-12pp
Gianluigi DonnarummaGK · #1-13pp
Matvey SafonovGK · #39-14pp
Ferran TorresST · #9-15pp
Headed shot on target21
William PachoLCB · #51+10pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+9pp
More players (19)
Matheus NunesRB · #27+9pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8+2pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24+0pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2-1pp
Ferran TorresST · #9-3pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-3pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42-3pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-3pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-6pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25-6pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10-6pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5-6pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10-8pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17-8pp
VitinhaCM · #17-8pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7-9pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-10pp
Gianluigi DonnarummaGK · #1
Matvey SafonovGK · #39
Shot on target from outside the box22
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10+13pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2-1pp
More players (20)
VitinhaCM · #17-1pp
William PachoLCB · #51-1pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-2pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-4pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-4pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-5pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5-5pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24-6pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-6pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25-7pp
João NevesRCM · #87-8pp
Ferran TorresST · #9-11pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-12pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17-13pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42-20pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7-23pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-24pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10-39pp
Matvey SafonovGK · #39
Gianluigi DonnarummaGK · #1
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Manchester City
Paris Saint Germain

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Sven Jablonski will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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