v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Sven Jablonski runs average on cards, and 5 of the 5 rows we would back are Manchester City's.
165 players across every market.
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap +1pp
VitinhaCM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -3pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -6pp
João NevesRCM · #87Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -9pp
Erling HaalandST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-14ppFabián RuizLCM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -14pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 68% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -15pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -16pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 37% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -23pp
William PachoLCB · #51Fouls committed
DataPitch 44% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -24pp
Ferran TorresST · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 39% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -25pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -26pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-26ppMarquinhosRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 41% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 47% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -32pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 32% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -37pp
William PachoLCB · #51Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 67% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 67% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 67% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Ferran TorresST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -10pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25Fouls drawn
DataPitch 72% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -11pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 76% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 76% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 76% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-14ppRúben DiasRCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 24% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -14pp
Erling HaalandST · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-15ppMarquinhosRCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 23% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -15pp
João NevesRCM · #87Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-17ppFabián RuizLCM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 38% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
VitinhaCM · #17-21ppVitinhaCM · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 37% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -23pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Erling HaalandST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 11% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 22% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -9pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -13pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17Tackles
DataPitch 46% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -14pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -15pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10Tackles
DataPitch 12% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -15pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5-16ppMarquinhosRCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -16pp
Ferran TorresST · #9Tackles
DataPitch 10% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -17pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -23pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 27% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -23pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -25pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-26ppFabián RuizLCM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
VitinhaCM · #17-27ppVitinhaCM · #17Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -27pp
William PachoLCB · #51Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -29pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -31pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 23% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -33pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5Tackles
DataPitch 48% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -35pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -36pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -36pp
João NevesRCM · #87Tackles
DataPitch 44% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -42pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -42pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 31% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -44pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -44pp
Ferran TorresST · #9Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap +6pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7Shots
DataPitch 97% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 97% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 97% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap +6pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10Shots
DataPitch 98% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 98% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 98% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 81% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 81% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 81% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap +3pp
Erling HaalandST · #9Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 97% at 1.03 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
João NevesRCM · #87Shots
DataPitch 75% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 75% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 75% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap +2pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 72% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5Shots
DataPitch 62% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -3pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -4pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 26% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 31% at 3.25 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
William PachoLCB · #51Shots
DataPitch 16% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
VitinhaCM · #17-12ppVitinhaCM · #17Shots
DataPitch 59% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -12pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25Shots
DataPitch 56% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -13pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17Shots
DataPitch 66% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 66% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -20pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27Shots
DataPitch 13% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -20pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-27ppRúben DiasRCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 11% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -27pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10Shots
DataPitch 61% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -35pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -42pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -42pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
William PachoLCB · #51Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -5pp
VitinhaCM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -5pp
João NevesRCM · #87Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -6pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -9pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -12pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -12pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 55% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -14pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 40% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -15pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -15pp
Ferran TorresST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 50% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -17pp
Erling HaalandST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 70% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 70% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 70% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -18pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 58% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -19pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 42% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -20pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 36% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -20pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -21pp
The books expect about 3.5 cards.
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 39% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +22pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +22pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +22pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +14pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +14pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap +11pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap +11pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +9pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +9pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +9pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Erling HaalandST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +1pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 14% at 7.00 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 14% at 7.00 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -3pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
João NevesRCM · #87To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -8pp
VitinhaCM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8-10ppFabián RuizLCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -10pp
William PachoLCB · #51To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Gianluigi DonnarummaGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -13pp
Matvey SafonovGK · #39To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Ferran TorresST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 6% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap -15pp
William PachoLCB · #51Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (188cm over a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +10pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap +10pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (187cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
level in the air (183cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap +9pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (189cm over a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (181cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Ferran TorresST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
level in the air (184cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
level in the air (183cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Erling HaalandST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 34% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (195cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
VitinhaCM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
gives up height in the air (172cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
level in the air (183cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
level in the air (182cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Gianluigi DonnarummaGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matvey SafonovGK · #39Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ousmane DembéléRW · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 33% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
shoots from range 1.7 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +13pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +13pp
Achraf HakimiRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 1.2 times a game across 14 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
VitinhaCM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 22% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 1.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -1pp
William PachoLCB · #51Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 34.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 34.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
MarquinhosRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 14 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 34.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 3% at 34.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 15 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 12 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Fabián RuizLCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Elliot AndersonLDM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Joško GvardiolLB · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Nuno MendesLB · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
João NevesRCM · #87Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 14 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Ferran TorresST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Erling HaalandST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -12pp
Enzo FernándezRDM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -13pp
Antoine SemenyoCAM · #42Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -20pp
Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
shoots from range 1.1 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -23pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -24pp
Rayan CherkiRM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -39pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -39pp
Matvey SafonovGK · #39Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gianluigi DonnarummaGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Sven Jablonski will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 139 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.78/match · Away 2.09/match
3.87/match in tight games · 3.34/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.