v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Urs Schnyder runs average on cards, and nothing on this match is strong enough to back tonight, so we are backing none of it.
62 players across every market.
The books expect about 3.5 cards.
8Sondre AuklendRW · #8Sondre AuklendRW · #8To be booked
DataPitch 36%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
26Julian RyersonRM · #26Julian RyersonRM · #26To be booked
DataPitch 31%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
5Ramy BensebaïniLCB · #5Ramy BensebaïniLCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 31%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
3Waldemar AntonCB · #3Waldemar AntonCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 29%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
7Jobe BellinghamRAM · #7Jobe BellinghamRAM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 24%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
9Serhou GuirassyST · #9Serhou GuirassyST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 20%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
22Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22To be booked
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
24Daniel SvenssonLM · #24Daniel SvenssonLM · #24To be booked
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
8Felix NmechaLCM · #8Felix NmechaLCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
5Haitam AleesamiLCB · #5Haitam AleesamiLCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
25Johannes VeermanRCM · #25Johannes VeermanRCM · #25To be booked
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
7Patrick BergRCM · #7Patrick BergRCM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
15Fredrik BjørkanLB · #15Fredrik BjørkanLB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
18Ethan NwaneriLAM · #18Ethan NwaneriLAM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
16Joshua KitolanoCM · #16Joshua KitolanoCM · #16To be booked
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
11Ole Didrik BlombergST · #11Ole Didrik BlombergST · #11To be booked
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
20Fredrik SjøvoldRB · #20Fredrik SjøvoldRB · #20To be booked
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
19Sondre FetLCM · #19Sondre FetLCM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
2Villads NielsenRCB · #2Villads NielsenRCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Gregor KobelGK · #1Gregor KobelGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
12Nikita HaikinGK · #12Nikita HaikinGK · #12To be booked
DataPitch 0%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
22Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 32%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
3Waldemar AntonCB · #3Waldemar AntonCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
9Serhou GuirassyST · #9Serhou GuirassyST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
9Andreas HelmersenLW · #9Andreas HelmersenLW · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
5Ramy BensebaïniLCB · #5Ramy BensebaïniLCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Gregor KobelGK · #1Gregor KobelGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
8Felix NmechaLCM · #8Felix NmechaLCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
25Johannes VeermanRCM · #25Johannes VeermanRCM · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
26Julian RyersonRM · #26Julian RyersonRM · #26Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
24Daniel SvenssonLM · #24Daniel SvenssonLM · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
5Haitam AleesamiLCB · #5Haitam AleesamiLCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
15Fredrik BjørkanLB · #15Fredrik BjørkanLB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
12Nikita HaikinGK · #12Nikita HaikinGK · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
11Ole Didrik BlombergST · #11Ole Didrik BlombergST · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
20Fredrik SjøvoldRB · #20Fredrik SjøvoldRB · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
7Patrick BergRCM · #7Patrick BergRCM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
16Joshua KitolanoCM · #16Joshua KitolanoCM · #16Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
19Sondre FetLCM · #19Sondre FetLCM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
18Ethan NwaneriLAM · #18Ethan NwaneriLAM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
18Ethan NwaneriLAM · #18Ethan NwaneriLAM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
9Serhou GuirassyST · #9Serhou GuirassyST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
9Andreas HelmersenLW · #9Andreas HelmersenLW · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
7Patrick BergRCM · #7Patrick BergRCM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
25Johannes VeermanRCM · #25Johannes VeermanRCM · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
7Jobe BellinghamRAM · #7Jobe BellinghamRAM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
22Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22Kouakou Joane GadouRCB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
3Waldemar AntonCB · #3Waldemar AntonCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
8Felix NmechaLCM · #8Felix NmechaLCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
19Sondre FetLCM · #19Sondre FetLCM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
11Ole Didrik BlombergST · #11Ole Didrik BlombergST · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
5Ramy BensebaïniLCB · #5Ramy BensebaïniLCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
8Sondre AuklendRW · #8Sondre AuklendRW · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
5Haitam AleesamiLCB · #5Haitam AleesamiLCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
26Julian RyersonRM · #26Julian RyersonRM · #26Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
1Gregor KobelGK · #1Gregor KobelGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
24Daniel SvenssonLM · #24Daniel SvenssonLM · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
20Fredrik SjøvoldRB · #20Fredrik SjøvoldRB · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
12Nikita HaikinGK · #12Nikita HaikinGK · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
15Fredrik BjørkanLB · #15Fredrik BjørkanLB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
16Joshua KitolanoCM · #16Joshua KitolanoCM · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
2Villads NielsenRCB · #2Villads NielsenRCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Urs Schnyder will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 124 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.81/match · Away 2.07/match
3.43/match in tight games · 3.26/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
