v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Miguel Sesma Espinosa runs average on cards, and 2 of the 2 rows we would back are Rayo Vallecano's.
161 players across every market.
Germán ValeraLM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
price too short
Víctor ChustLCB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
Lucas CepedaLS · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
Mujaid SadickLCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Gonzalo VillarRCM · #12Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
Roy RevivoCB · #3-13ppRoy RevivoCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
Adrià PedrosaLB · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Sergio CamelloST · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
Federico RedondoCM · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
Iván BalliuRB · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
Pathé CissLDM · #6-15ppPathé CissLDM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
J. MorcilloRM · #47Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Florian LejeuneRCB · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
Jorge de FrutosRM · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
Fer NiñoRS · #14-21ppFer NiñoRS · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
Unai LópezRDM · #8-23ppUnai LópezRDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Thomas LemarLCM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
Álvaro GarcíaLM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 39% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
Isi PalazónCAM · #7-40ppIsi PalazónCAM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 43% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
price too short
Buba SangaréRCB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
price too short
Lucas CepedaLS · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 81% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
Mujaid SadickLCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Unai LópezRDM · #8-18ppUnai LópezRDM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
Álvaro GarcíaLM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Adrià PedrosaLB · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 41% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Víctor ChustLCB · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 25% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Germán ValeraLM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 67% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
Roy RevivoCB · #3-22ppRoy RevivoCB · #3Fouls drawn
DataPitch 61% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
Fer NiñoRS · #14-23ppFer NiñoRS · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 65% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Sergio CamelloST · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
Florian LejeuneRCB · #24Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Jorge de FrutosRM · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 54% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
Pathé CissLDM · #6-29ppPathé CissLDM · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
price too short
Thomas LemarLCM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
Gonzalo VillarRCM · #12Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
Buba SangaréRCB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
Isi PalazónCAM · #7-36ppIsi PalazónCAM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 55% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
Iván BalliuRB · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
price too short
Federico RedondoCM · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
J. MorcilloRM · #47Fouls drawn
DataPitch 0% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -64pp
price too short
Florian LejeuneRCB · #24Tackles
DataPitch 59% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Lucas CepedaLS · #21Tackles
DataPitch 26% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Sergio CamelloST · #10Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Thomas LemarLCM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 52% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
Jorge de FrutosRM · #19Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Isi PalazónCAM · #7-14ppIsi PalazónCAM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 28% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Federico RedondoCM · #5Tackles
DataPitch 60% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
price too short
Iván BalliuRB · #20Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Unai LópezRDM · #8-19ppUnai LópezRDM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 43% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Mujaid SadickLCB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Víctor ChustLCB · #23Tackles
DataPitch 51% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
Roy RevivoCB · #3-27ppRoy RevivoCB · #3Tackles
DataPitch 17% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Gonzalo VillarRCM · #12Tackles
DataPitch 50% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
Buba SangaréRCB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
Pathé CissLDM · #6-35ppPathé CissLDM · #6Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
J. MorcilloRM · #47Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
Álvaro GarcíaLM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 16% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Germán ValeraLM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
price too short
Adrià PedrosaLB · #17Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
price too short
Álvaro GarcíaLM · #18Shots
DataPitch 95% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Fer NiñoRS · #14Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Sergio CamelloST · #10Shots
DataPitch 94% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lucas CepedaLS · #21Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Víctor ChustLCB · #23Shots
DataPitch 30% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Unai LópezRDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 71% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Jorge de FrutosRM · #19Shots
DataPitch 76% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
J. MorcilloRM · #47Shots
DataPitch 35% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Buba SangaréRCB · #2Shots
DataPitch 4% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Adrià PedrosaLB · #17Shots
DataPitch 49% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Pathé CissLDM · #6-18ppPathé CissLDM · #6Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Isi PalazónCAM · #7-26ppIsi PalazónCAM · #7Shots
DataPitch 65% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Gonzalo VillarRCM · #12Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Mujaid SadickLCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 9% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Federico RedondoCM · #5Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Iván BalliuRB · #20Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Florian LejeuneRCB · #24Shots
DataPitch 54% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Germán ValeraLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Roy RevivoCB · #3-31ppRoy RevivoCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 19% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Thomas LemarLCM · #18Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
J. MorcilloRM · #47Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Gonzalo VillarRCM · #12Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Víctor ChustLCB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Buba SangaréRCB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Federico RedondoCM · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Adrià PedrosaLB · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Germán ValeraLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Unai LópezRDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Pathé CissLDM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Mujaid SadickLCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Álvaro GarcíaLM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 56% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Roy RevivoCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Isi PalazónCAM · #7-14ppIsi PalazónCAM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Florian LejeuneRCB · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lucas CepedaLS · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 38% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Thomas LemarLCM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Iván BalliuRB · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Sergio CamelloST · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 56% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Jorge de FrutosRM · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 45% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Fer NiñoRS · #14-26ppFer NiñoRS · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
Lucas CepedaLS · #21To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Florian LejeuneRCB · #24To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Jorge de FrutosRM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Germán ValeraLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Adrià PedrosaLB · #17To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Álvaro GarcíaLM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Iván BalliuRB · #20To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Fer NiñoRS · #14-10ppFer NiñoRS · #14To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Pathé CissLDM · #6-11ppPathé CissLDM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Unai LópezRDM · #8-11ppUnai LópezRDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Thomas LemarLCM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Isi PalazónCAM · #7-13ppIsi PalazónCAM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Matías DituroGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Federico RedondoCM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Mujaid SadickLCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Sergio CamelloST · #10To be booked
DataPitch 10% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Buba SangaréRCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Víctor ChustLCB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Gonzalo VillarRCM · #12To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Roy RevivoCB · #3-25ppRoy RevivoCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Buba SangaréRCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (183cm over a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Florian LejeuneRCB · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (189cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Federico RedondoCM · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (188cm over a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Víctor ChustLCB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (182cm over a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Iván BalliuRB · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
gives up height in the air (172cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Gonzalo VillarRCM · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
level in the air (181cm against a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Mujaid SadickLCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
level in the air (183cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Unai LópezRDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (170cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Thomas LemarLCM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (171cm against a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Pathé CissLDM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (186cm over a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Isi PalazónCAM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (169cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Germán ValeraLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
gives up height in the air (170cm against a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Álvaro GarcíaLM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (167cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Lucas CepedaLS · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 180cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Jorge de FrutosRM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Sergio CamelloST · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
gives up height in the air (177cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Adrià PedrosaLB · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 182cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Fer NiñoRS · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 27%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matías DituroGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Emilio AuderoGK · #25Emilio AuderoGK · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sergio CamelloST · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 39% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 8 logged matches
Florian LejeuneRCB · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 34% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 8 logged matches
Álvaro GarcíaLM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 36% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +19pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 8 logged matches
Adrià PedrosaLB · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 27% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 6 logged matches
Unai LópezRDM · #8+16ppUnai LópezRDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 36% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 8 logged matches
Thomas LemarLCM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 34% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 6 logged matches
J. MorcilloRM · #47Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 9 logged matches
Víctor ChustLCB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 9 logged matches
Gonzalo VillarRCM · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
Buba SangaréRCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 8 logged matches
Lucas CepedaLS · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 28% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.6 times a game across 9 logged matches
Germán ValeraLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
Federico RedondoCM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 8 matches we have logged
Roy RevivoCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 9 matches we have logged
Mujaid SadickLCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 5 matches we have logged
Jorge de FrutosRM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 6 logged matches
Iván BalliuRB · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
no shots from outside the box in the 8 matches we have logged
Pathé CissLDM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 12 logged matches
Isi PalazónCAM · #7-32ppIsi PalazónCAM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 3 logged matches
Fer NiñoRS · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matías DituroGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Emilio AuderoGK · #25Emilio AuderoGK · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Miguel Sesma Espinosa will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 37 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.57/match · Away 2.57/match
4.56/match in tight games · 2.75/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.