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Your model for Aston Villa v Manchester City

Premier League · Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

164 players across every market.

Fouls committed120
Pau TorresLCB · #14+6pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+2pp
More players (18)
Victor LindelöfRCB · #3-3pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-4pp
Enzo FernándezCAM · #17-7pp
Elliot AndersonRDM · #5-9pp
Philip FodenRM · #47-10pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-10pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-12pp
Nico O'ReillyLB · #33-13pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-16pp
Ian MaatsenLB · #22-17pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-18pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-18pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-19pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-19pp
Ayyoub BouaddiLDM · #32-21pp
João GomesLDM · #35-23pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-23pp
John McGinnRM · #7-24pp
Fouls drawn20
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44+4pp
João GomesLDM · #35-5pp
More players (18)
Enzo FernándezCAM · #17-6pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-11pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-11pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-18pp
Victor LindelöfRCB · #3-18pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-19pp
John McGinnRM · #7-20pp
Ayyoub BouaddiLDM · #32-20pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-20pp
Elliot AndersonRDM · #5-21pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-21pp
Pau TorresLCB · #14-23pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-24pp
Philip FodenRM · #47-25pp
Nico O'ReillyLB · #33-29pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-30pp
Ian MaatsenLB · #22-41pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-46pp
Tackles19
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6+21pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-3pp
More players (17)
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-8pp
Philip FodenRM · #47-11pp
Enzo FernándezCAM · #17-12pp
Victor LindelöfRCB · #3-12pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-13pp
Pau TorresLCB · #14-14pp
João GomesLDM · #35-20pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-20pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-21pp
John McGinnRM · #7-24pp
Elliot AndersonRDM · #5-25pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-35pp
Ian MaatsenLB · #22-37pp
Ayyoub BouaddiLDM · #32-38pp
Nico O'ReillyLB · #33-38pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-40pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-45pp
Shots20
Nicolas JacksonST · #11+7pp
Enzo FernándezCAM · #17+5pp
More players (18)
Erling HaalandST · #9+2pp
Pau TorresLCB · #14+2pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27+1pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-2pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-3pp
Elliot AndersonRDM · #5-4pp
Victor LindelöfRCB · #3-4pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-7pp
Nico O'ReillyLB · #33-9pp
Ian MaatsenLB · #22-10pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-14pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-24pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-32pp
Philip FodenRM · #47-35pp
João GomesLDM · #35-35pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-41pp
Ayyoub BouaddiLDM · #32-48pp
John McGinnRM · #7-51pp
Shots on target20
Pau TorresLCB · #14+9pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+7pp
More players (18)
Matheus NunesRB · #27+4pp
Matthew CashRB · #2+2pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-2pp
Ian MaatsenLB · #22-3pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-3pp
João GomesLDM · #35-5pp
Victor LindelöfRCB · #3-8pp
Elliot AndersonRDM · #5-9pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-10pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-15pp
John McGinnRM · #7-16pp
Nico O'ReillyLB · #33-17pp
Enzo FernándezCAM · #17-18pp
Ayyoub BouaddiLDM · #32-18pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-20pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-20pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-24pp
Philip FodenRM · #47-29pp
To be booked122
João GomesLDM · #35+4pp
Pau TorresLCB · #14-4pp
More players (20)
Enzo FernándezCAM · #17-5pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-5pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-6pp
Victor LindelöfRCB · #3-6pp
John McGinnRM · #7-7pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-8pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3-8pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-8pp
Elliot AndersonRDM · #5-9pp
Philip FodenRM · #47-9pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-9pp
Nico O'ReillyLB · #33-11pp
Zion SuzukiGK · #1-11pp
Ian MaatsenLB · #22-12pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-14pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-14pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-14pp
Ayyoub BouaddiLDM · #32-15pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-16pp
Gianluigi DonnarummaGK · #1-18pp
Headed shot on target21
Pau TorresLCB · #14+17pp
Matthew CashRB · #2+10pp
More players (19)
Matheus NunesRB · #27+9pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+7pp
Victor LindelöfRCB · #3+4pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-1pp
Ian MaatsenLB · #22-1pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11-2pp
João GomesLDM · #35-3pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-4pp
John McGinnRM · #7-4pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-4pp
Philip FodenRM · #47-5pp
Elliot AndersonRDM · #5-7pp
Enzo FernándezCAM · #17-10pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-11pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10-13pp
Nico O'ReillyLB · #33-17pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-24pp
Gianluigi DonnarummaGK · #1
Zion SuzukiGK · #1
Shot on target from outside the box22
John McGinnRM · #7+9pp
Nicolas JacksonST · #11+7pp
More players (20)
Elliot AndersonRDM · #5+7pp
Emiliano BuendíaLM · #10+2pp
Rúben DiasRCB · #3+0pp
Ian MaatsenLB · #22-1pp
Pau TorresLCB · #14-1pp
Matthew CashRB · #2-2pp
Ayyoub BouaddiLDM · #32-3pp
Erling HaalandST · #9-4pp
Boubacar KamaraRDM · #8-4pp
Matheus NunesRB · #27-4pp
Marc-Israel GuéhiLCB · #6-4pp
Victor LindelöfRCB · #3-4pp
Enzo FernándezCAM · #17-5pp
Johan ManzambiCAM · #44-8pp
João GomesLDM · #35-9pp
Nico O'ReillyLB · #33-11pp
Jérémy DokuLM · #11-26pp
Philip FodenRM · #47-34pp
Gianluigi DonnarummaGK · #1
Zion SuzukiGK · #1
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Aston Villa
Manchester City

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Peter Bankes will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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