v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Malik Badawi runs average on cards, and the 2 rows we would back lean evenly between the two sides.
120 players across every market.
Dor TurgemanST · #99Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap +10pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap +10pp
Luca LangoniLW · #41Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Carles GilCM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 42% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
William SandsLB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 71% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 71% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 71% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Peyton MillerRW · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Bruno DamianiLS · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 72% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 91% at 1.10 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-23ppJovan LukićLCM · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Matthew PolsterRB · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27-30ppKai WagnerLB · #27Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -37pp
Bruno DamianiLS · #9Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10Shots
DataPitch 100% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 100% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 100% · Market 98% at 1.02 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6Shots
DataPitch 94% · Market 97%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 94% · Market 97% at 1.03 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 94% · Market 97% at 1.03 Bet365, gap -3pp
Luca LangoniLW · #41Shots
DataPitch 79% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 79% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 79% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Dor TurgemanST · #99Shots
DataPitch 82% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 82% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 82% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39Shots
DataPitch 57% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -12pp
Peyton MillerRW · #25Shots
DataPitch 78% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -15pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19Shots
DataPitch 68% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Carles GilCM · #10-19ppCarles GilCM · #10Shots
DataPitch 69% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22Shots
DataPitch 19% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 38% at 2.60 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 38% at 2.60 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11Shots
DataPitch 55% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -23pp
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21Shots
DataPitch 19% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
William SandsLB · #23Shots
DataPitch 25% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -25pp
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2Shots
DataPitch 11% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 38% at 2.60 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 38% at 2.60 Paddy Power, gap -27pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-29ppJovan LukićLCM · #4Shots
DataPitch 49% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -29pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27-35ppKai WagnerLB · #27Shots
DataPitch 32% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -37pp
Matthew PolsterRB · #8Shots
DataPitch 11% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -41pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -47pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -47pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -47pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Matthew PolsterRB · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
William SandsLB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -5pp
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 64% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -7pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -11pp
Luca LangoniLW · #41Shots on target
DataPitch 40% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -15pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 73% · Market 89%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 73% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 73% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -16pp
Peyton MillerRW · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 40% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -18pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-19ppJovan LukićLCM · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Bruno DamianiLS · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 58% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Dor TurgemanST · #99Shots on target
DataPitch 42% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 64% at 1.57 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -26pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Carles GilCM · #10-35ppCarles GilCM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Bruno DamianiLS · #9To be booked
DataPitch 35% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap +8pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +3pp
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 38% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap +2pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4To be booked
DataPitch 33% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap +2pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +1pp
Peyton MillerRW · #25To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Matthew PolsterRB · #8To be booked
DataPitch 26% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -5pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -5pp
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Luca LangoniLW · #41To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -6pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Carles GilCM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -9pp
William SandsLB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -9pp
Dor TurgemanST · #99To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -12pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -13pp
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 31% at 3.20 Bet365, gap -13pp
Andre BlakeGK · #18To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Matthew TurnerGK · #30To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 33%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Neil PierreRCB · #44Headed shot on target
DataPitch 47%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno DamianiLS · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kai WagnerLB · #27Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andre BlakeGK · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Milan IloskiRS · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew TurnerGK · #30Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew PolsterRB · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jovan LukićLCM · #4Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Luca LangoniLW · #41Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Peyton MillerRW · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Indiana VassilevLM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Cavan SullivanRM · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
William SandsLB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Carles GilCM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Cavan SullivanRM · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 44%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Milan IloskiRS · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 43%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Bruno DamianiLS · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Indiana VassilevLM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kai WagnerLB · #27Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Peyton MillerRW · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Carles GilCM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jovan LukićLCM · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Francis WestfieldRB · #39Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Neil PierreRCB · #44Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Dor TurgemanST · #99Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Luca LangoniLW · #41Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew PolsterRB · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
William SandsLB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andre BlakeGK · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew TurnerGK · #30Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Malik Badawi will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 53 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.98/match · Away 2.00/match
4.25/match in tight games · 3.65/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.