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Your model for Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution

Major League Soccer · Sun 25 Oct, 00:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

120 players across every market.

Fouls committed118
Dor TurgemanST · #99+10pp
Luca LangoniLW · #41+1pp
More players (16)
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2-5pp
Carles GilCM · #10-6pp
William SandsLB · #23-8pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6-9pp
Peyton MillerRW · #25-13pp
Bruno DamianiLS · #9-19pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39-20pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44-21pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-23pp
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21-24pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10-25pp
Matthew PolsterRB · #8-27pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26-30pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27-30pp
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22-34pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19-37pp
Shots19
Bruno DamianiLS · #9+3pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10+2pp
More players (17)
Cavan SullivanRM · #6-3pp
Luca LangoniLW · #41-4pp
Dor TurgemanST · #99-6pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39-12pp
Peyton MillerRW · #25-15pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19-15pp
Carles GilCM · #10-19pp
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22-19pp
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11-23pp
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21-24pp
William SandsLB · #23-25pp
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2-27pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-29pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27-35pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44-37pp
Matthew PolsterRB · #8-41pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26-47pp
Shots on target19
Kai WagnerLB · #27+4pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39-1pp
More players (17)
Matthew PolsterRB · #8-1pp
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21-2pp
William SandsLB · #23-3pp
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11-5pp
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22-6pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6-7pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26-9pp
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2-11pp
Luca LangoniLW · #41-15pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10-16pp
Peyton MillerRW · #25-18pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4-19pp
Bruno DamianiLS · #9-22pp
Dor TurgemanST · #99-22pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44-26pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19-34pp
Carles GilCM · #10-35pp
To be booked122

The books expect about 4.5 cards.

Bruno DamianiLS · #9+8pp
Neil PierreRCB · #44+3pp
More players (20)
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21+2pp
Jovan LukićLCM · #4+2pp
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26+1pp
Peyton MillerRW · #25+0pp
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11-4pp
Matthew PolsterRB · #8-5pp
Francis WestfieldRB · #39-5pp
Milan IloskiRS · #10-5pp
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22-5pp
Luca LangoniLW · #41-6pp
Indiana VassilevLM · #19-7pp
Carles GilCM · #10-7pp
Kai WagnerLB · #27-9pp
William SandsLB · #23-9pp
Dor TurgemanST · #99-12pp
Cavan SullivanRM · #6-13pp
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2-13pp
Andre BlakeGK · #18-13pp
Matthew TurnerGK · #30-15pp
Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21
Headed shot on target20
Neil PierreRCB · #44
Bruno DamianiLS · #9
More players (18)
Kai WagnerLB · #27
Andre BlakeGK · #18
Milan IloskiRS · #10
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2
Matthew TurnerGK · #30
Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26
Matthew PolsterRB · #8
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22
Jovan LukićLCM · #4
Luca LangoniLW · #41
Peyton MillerRW · #25
Indiana VassilevLM · #19
Cavan SullivanRM · #6
William SandsLB · #23
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11
Carles GilCM · #10
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21
Shot on target from outside the box22
Cavan SullivanRM · #6
Milan IloskiRS · #10
More players (20)
Bruno DamianiLS · #9
Indiana VassilevLM · #19
Kai WagnerLB · #27
Danley Jean-JacquesRCM · #21
Peyton MillerRW · #25
Carles GilCM · #10
Jovan LukićLCM · #4
Francis WestfieldRB · #39
Neil PierreRCB · #44
Dor TurgemanST · #99
Jack HarrisonRCM · #11
Luca LangoniLW · #41
Matthew PolsterRB · #8
William SandsLB · #23
Nathan HarrielLCB · #26
Brooklyn RainesLCM · #21
Andre BlakeGK · #18
Ethan KohlerRCB · #22
Mamadou FofanaLCB · #2
Matthew TurnerGK · #30
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Malik Badawi will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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