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Your model for Santos v Bahia

Serie A · Sun 25 Oct, 01:00 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

145 players across every market.

Fouls committed17
Alejo VélizRS · #9-3pp
KanuLCB · #4-4pp
More players (15)
EvertonLM · #7-8pp
Erick PulgaLS · #16-11pp
David DuarteCB · #33-12pp
Roman GomezRWB · #31-13pp
Álvaro BarrealRM · #22-15pp
Christian OlivaRDM · #28-17pp
Rodrigo NestorLCM · #11-19pp
Gonzalo EscobarLB · #31-19pp
RodineiRB · #23-19pp
Willian ArãoLCB · #15-20pp
Gabriel BontempoCAM · #8-20pp
Lucas VeríssimoRCB · #4-21pp
Gabriel BarbosaST · #9-21pp
Luciano JubaLWB · #46-28pp
Nicolás AcevedoCM · #5-33pp
Fouls drawn17
KanuLCB · #4+0pp
Nicolás AcevedoCM · #5-6pp
More players (15)
RodineiRB · #23-7pp
Gonzalo EscobarLB · #31-8pp
David DuarteCB · #33-10pp
Roman GomezRWB · #31-11pp
Alejo VélizRS · #9-15pp
Gabriel BontempoCAM · #8-15pp
Lucas VeríssimoRCB · #4-20pp
Willian ArãoLCB · #15-20pp
Luciano JubaLWB · #46-28pp
Gabriel BarbosaST · #9-28pp
Erick PulgaLS · #16-29pp
Álvaro BarrealRM · #22-29pp
Rodrigo NestorLCM · #11-36pp
Christian OlivaRDM · #28-37pp
EvertonLM · #7-39pp
Tackles16
KanuLCB · #4-1pp
David DuarteCB · #33-2pp
More players (14)
RodineiRB · #23-4pp
Alejo VélizRS · #9-4pp
Luciano JubaLWB · #46-7pp
Gabriel BarbosaST · #9-15pp
Lucas VeríssimoRCB · #4-16pp
Roman GomezRWB · #31-20pp
Willian ArãoLCB · #15-29pp
Nicolás AcevedoCM · #5-30pp
Gonzalo EscobarLB · #31-33pp
Erick PulgaLS · #16-33pp
Álvaro BarrealRM · #22-35pp
Gabriel BontempoCAM · #8-37pp
Rodrigo NestorLCM · #11-38pp
Christian OlivaRDM · #28-44pp
Shots17
Nicolás AcevedoCM · #5+20pp
Luciano JubaLWB · #46+13pp
More players (15)
Alejo VélizRS · #9+6pp
Erick PulgaLS · #16+1pp
Gabriel BarbosaST · #9+0pp
EvertonLM · #7-2pp
Rodrigo NestorLCM · #11-6pp
Álvaro BarrealRM · #22-16pp
RodineiRB · #23-19pp
David DuarteCB · #33-21pp
KanuLCB · #4-21pp
Roman GomezRWB · #31-24pp
Christian OlivaRDM · #28-34pp
Gonzalo EscobarLB · #31-35pp
Willian ArãoLCB · #15-38pp
Gabriel BontempoCAM · #8-42pp
Lucas VeríssimoRCB · #4-47pp
Shots on target17
Nicolás AcevedoCM · #5+4pp
KanuLCB · #4+4pp
More players (15)
Christian OlivaRDM · #28+0pp
David DuarteCB · #33-3pp
Roman GomezRWB · #31-4pp
Gonzalo EscobarLB · #31-5pp
RodineiRB · #23-9pp
Willian ArãoLCB · #15-12pp
Rodrigo NestorLCM · #11-13pp
Luciano JubaLWB · #46-13pp
Gabriel BarbosaST · #9-15pp
Erick PulgaLS · #16-16pp
Lucas VeríssimoRCB · #4-17pp
Alejo VélizRS · #9-19pp
Gabriel BontempoCAM · #8-29pp
EvertonLM · #7-33pp
Álvaro BarrealRM · #22-34pp
To be booked21

The books expect about 5.5 cards.

KanuLCB · #4+1pp
Lucas VeríssimoRCB · #4+1pp
More players (19)
RodineiRB · #23+0pp
Gonzalo EscobarLB · #31-2pp
Álvaro BarrealRM · #22-4pp
Alejo VélizRS · #9-4pp
Erick PulgaLS · #16-5pp
Willian ArãoLCB · #15-6pp
Rodrigo NestorLCM · #11-8pp
Nicolás AcevedoCM · #5-9pp
Christian OlivaRDM · #28-10pp
Roman GomezRWB · #31-11pp
Luciano JubaLWB · #46-12pp
Gabriel BarbosaST · #9-16pp
David DuarteCB · #33-16pp
Gabriel BontempoCAM · #8-21pp
Marco MorenoRCB · #3-25pp
Gustavo Henrique PereiraLDM · #48
EvertonLM · #7
Gabriel BrazãoGK · #77
RonaldoGK · #1
Headed shot on target18
David DuarteCB · #33
Marco MorenoRCB · #3
More players (16)
Lucas VeríssimoRCB · #4
Alejo VélizRS · #9
RonaldoGK · #1
KanuLCB · #4
Gabriel BrazãoGK · #77
Willian ArãoLCB · #15
Gabriel BarbosaST · #9
Gonzalo EscobarLB · #31
RodineiRB · #23
Luciano JubaLWB · #46
Erick PulgaLS · #16
EvertonLM · #7
Álvaro BarrealRM · #22
Christian OlivaRDM · #28
Rodrigo NestorLCM · #11
Nicolás AcevedoCM · #5
Shot on target from outside the box22
EvertonLM · #7
Gabriel BontempoCAM · #8
More players (20)
Gabriel BarbosaST · #9
Álvaro BarrealRM · #22
Rodrigo NestorLCM · #11
RodineiRB · #23
Gustavo Henrique PereiraLDM · #48
Christian OlivaRDM · #28
Erick PulgaLS · #16
Lucas VeríssimoRCB · #4
Luciano JubaLWB · #46
Nicolás AcevedoCM · #5
Roman GomezRWB · #31
Alejo VélizRS · #9
Willian ArãoLCB · #15
Çağatay YılmazRCM · #57
Gonzalo EscobarLB · #31
Gabriel BrazãoGK · #77
David DuarteCB · #33
RonaldoGK · #1
KanuLCB · #4
Marco MorenoRCB · #3
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Santos
Bahia

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Savio Pereira Sampaio will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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